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Cherno More
VS Scheduled Bulgaria 26/27 First League · Matchday 21
Lok Plovdiv

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings
Cherno MoreWins
0
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
Lok PlovdivWins
1
Goals per match
1.00
Over 2.5 goals
0.0%
Both teams scored
0.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-06 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Lok Plovdiv1–0Cherno More
Recent matches

Cherno More

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Arda1–1Cherno More
2026-09-11 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Cherno More2–2Lokomotiv Sf
2026-09-06 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Lok Plovdiv1–0Cherno More
2026-08-30 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 CSKA Sofia3–1Cherno More
2026-08-21 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Cherno More3–1Dunav
2026-08-14 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 CSKA 19484–1Cherno More
2026-08-09 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Cherno More2–3Ludogorets
2026-08-01 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Botev Plovdiv1–0Cherno More

Lok Plovdiv

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Lok Plovdiv1–1CSKA Sofia
2026-09-13 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Botev Plovdiv2–0Lok Plovdiv
2026-09-06 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Lok Plovdiv1–0Cherno More
2026-08-28 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 CSKA 19482–0Lok Plovdiv
2026-08-24 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Lok Plovdiv0–1Arda
2026-08-16 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Lok Plovdiv1–2Dunav
2026-08-07 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Levski2–0Lok Plovdiv
2026-08-03 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Spartak Varna1–0Lok Plovdiv
Cherno More Lok Plovdiv

Wins

12%
12%

Over 2.5 goals

62%
12%

Both teams scored

75%
25%

Clean sheets

0%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Cherno More

Home · First League
HomeAway1st goal
13 Cherno More Levski 1
13 Cherno More CSKA Sofia 2
13 Cherno More 2–3 Ludogorets 3 30′ Home
13 Cherno More CSKA 1948 4
13 Cherno More Arda 5
13 Cherno More Botev Plovdiv 6
13 Cherno More Slavia Sofia 7
13 Cherno More 0–3 Spartak Varna 8 33′ Away
13 Cherno More Botev Vratsa 9
13 Cherno More Septemvri 10
13 Cherno More 2–2 Lokomotiv Sf 11 6′ Home
13 Cherno More Lok Plovdiv 12
13 · Cherno More
13 Cherno More 3–1 Dunav 14 55′ Home

Lok Plovdiv

Away · First League
HomeAway1st goal
1 Levski 2–0 Lok Plovdiv 12 5′ Home
2 CSKA Sofia Lok Plovdiv 12
3 Ludogorets 1–0 Lok Plovdiv 12 45+1′ Home
4 CSKA 1948 2–0 Lok Plovdiv 12 45+2′ Home
5 Arda Lok Plovdiv 12
6 Botev Plovdiv 2–0 Lok Plovdiv 12 9′ Home
7 Slavia Sofia Lok Plovdiv 12
8 Spartak Varna 1–0 Lok Plovdiv 12 8′ Home
9 Botev Vratsa Lok Plovdiv 12
10 Septemvri Lok Plovdiv 12
11 Lokomotiv Sf Lok Plovdiv 12
12 · Lok Plovdiv
13 Cherno More Lok Plovdiv 12
14 Dunav Lok Plovdiv 12
Cherno More Home Lok Plovdiv Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

First League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Cherno More

10 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway6 matchesOverall10 matches
Points / match1.000.330.60
Draws25.0%33.3%30.0%
Goals scored / match1.750.671.10
Goals conceded / match2.251.832.00
Total goals / match4.002.503.10
Failed to score25.0%33.3%30.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%66.7%40.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 3 67%
Scores first → wins 1 of 3 33%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3010
31–4511
46–6013
61–7502
76–9033

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Lok Plovdiv

10 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway5 matchesOverall10 matches
Points / match1.400.000.70
Draws20.0%0.0%10.0%
Goals scored / match1.000.000.50
Goals conceded / match1.001.601.30
Total goals / match2.001.601.80
Failed to score20.0%100.0%60.0%
Under 2.5 goals60.0%100.0%80.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 5 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1503
16–3000
31–4503
46–6000
61–7500
76–9002

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelCherno MoreDraw Lok PlovdivHow it works
Strength (Elo) 44.7% 23.8% 31.6% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 37.0% 32.7% 30.2% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.97–0.84 Model expected goals
27.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals
35.2% Both teams to score
0-0 Most likely score, at 16.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-016.4%
1-015.8%
0-113.8%
1-113.3%
2-07.7%
2-16.5%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureCherno MoreLok Plovdiv How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1449 1449 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -52 -43 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1499 1509 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Cherno More 0.500.60 0.601.40
Lok Plovdiv 0.400.10 0.800.50

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Cherno More 0%20%20%10%50%
Lok Plovdiv 0%40%40%20%0%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Cherno More at home, 4 matches
0.00 Lok Plovdiv away, 5 matches
168d Days of rest for Cherno More
167d Days of rest for Lok Plovdiv
— Manager of Cherno More
— Manager of Lok Plovdiv
0 Matches for Cherno More in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Lok Plovdiv in the last 14 days
19 Points for Cherno More behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone
18 Points for Lok Plovdiv behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
2.67 League goals per match
24.6% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Cherno More, the right bar represents Lok Plovdiv.

On the ball

20 matches
5.33
corners
4.44
12.7
fouls
11.8
3.11
yellow cards
2.7

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Cherno More DDLLWLLLLD 0.60 1.10–2.00 2D
Lok Plovdiv DLWLLLLLWL 0.70 0.50–1.30 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Cherno More2 44 02
Lok Plovdiv2 35 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Cherno More

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Lok Plovdiv

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.