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Ludogorets
VS Scheduled Bulgaria 26/27 First League · Matchday 21
Lokomotiv Sf

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings
LudogoretsWins
1
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
Lokomotiv SfWins
0
Goals per match
3.00
Over 2.5 goals
100.0%
Both teams scored
100.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-06 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Lokomotiv Sf1–2Ludogorets
Recent matches

Ludogorets

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-14 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Ludogorets2–1Septemvri
2026-09-06 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Lokomotiv Sf1–2Ludogorets
2026-08-30 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Spartak Varna1–1Ludogorets
2026-08-22 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Ludogorets1–1Slavia Sofia
2026-08-15 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Ludogorets2–0Botev Plovdiv
2026-08-09 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Cherno More2–3Ludogorets
2026-08-02 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Ludogorets2–1Botev Vratsa
2026-07-27 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Dunav0–2Ludogorets

Lokomotiv Sf

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Spartak Varna0–1Lokomotiv Sf
2026-09-16 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Lokomotiv Sf0–2CSKA Sofia
2026-09-11 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Cherno More2–2Lokomotiv Sf
2026-09-06 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Lokomotiv Sf1–2Ludogorets
2026-08-31 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Dunav2–2Lokomotiv Sf
2026-08-17 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Arda3–1Lokomotiv Sf
2026-08-08 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Lokomotiv Sf1–3CSKA 1948
2026-07-31 Bulgaria, First League 26/27 Slavia Sofia1–1Lokomotiv Sf
Ludogorets Lokomotiv Sf

Wins

75%
12%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
62%

Both teams scored

75%
75%

Clean sheets

25%
12%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Ludogorets

Home · First League
HomeAway1st goal
3 Ludogorets Levski 1
3 Ludogorets CSKA Sofia 2
3 · Ludogorets
3 Ludogorets CSKA 1948 4
3 Ludogorets Arda 5
3 Ludogorets 2–0 Botev Plovdiv 6 —
3 Ludogorets 1–1 Slavia Sofia 7 7′ Away
3 Ludogorets Spartak Varna 8
3 Ludogorets 2–1 Botev Vratsa 9 22′ Home
3 Ludogorets 2–1 Septemvri 10 21′ Home
3 Ludogorets Lokomotiv Sf 11
3 Ludogorets 1–0 Lok Plovdiv 12 45+1′ Home
3 Ludogorets Cherno More 13
3 Ludogorets Dunav 14

Lokomotiv Sf

Away · First League
HomeAway1st goal
1 Levski Lokomotiv Sf 11
2 CSKA Sofia Lokomotiv Sf 11
3 Ludogorets Lokomotiv Sf 11
4 CSKA 1948 Lokomotiv Sf 11
5 Arda 3–1 Lokomotiv Sf 11 31′ Home
6 Botev Plovdiv 1–1 Lokomotiv Sf 11 49′ Away
7 Slavia Sofia 1–1 Lokomotiv Sf 11 36′ Away
8 Spartak Varna 0–1 Lokomotiv Sf 11 —
9 Botev Vratsa Lokomotiv Sf 11
10 Septemvri Lokomotiv Sf 11
11 · Lokomotiv Sf
12 Lok Plovdiv Lokomotiv Sf 11
13 Cherno More 2–2 Lokomotiv Sf 11 6′ Home
14 Dunav 2–2 Lokomotiv Sf 11 39′ Home
Ludogorets Home Lokomotiv Sf Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

First League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Ludogorets

9 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway4 matchesOverall9 matches
Points / match2.602.502.56
Draws20.0%25.0%22.2%
Goals scored / match1.602.001.78
Goals conceded / match0.601.000.78
Total goals / match2.203.002.56
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals60.0%50.0%55.6%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 4 of 4 100%
Scores first → wins 4 of 4 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Lokomotiv Sf

10 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway6 matchesOverall10 matches
Points / match0.001.170.70
Draws0.0%66.7%40.0%
Goals scored / match0.751.331.10
Goals conceded / match2.251.501.80
Total goals / match3.002.832.90
Failed to score25.0%0.0%10.0%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%50.0%40.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 3 0%
Scores first → wins 1 of 3 33%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 6/6 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelLudogoretsDraw Lokomotiv SfHow it works
Strength (Elo) 58.9% 18.6% 22.5% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 68.3% 18.3% 11.1% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
2.17–0.72 Model expected goals
52.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals
44.3% Both teams to score
2-0 Most likely score, at 13.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
2-013.1%
1-012.1%
3-09.4%
2-19.4%
1-18.7%
3-16.8%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureLudogoretsLokomotiv Sf How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1566 1458 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 58 -43 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1489 1505 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Ludogorets 1.000.78 0.330.44
Lokomotiv Sf 0.200.90 0.801.00

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Ludogorets 0%11%44%33%11%
Lokomotiv Sf 0%10%30%20%40%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.60 Ludogorets at home, 5 matches
1.17 Lokomotiv Sf away, 6 matches
173d Days of rest for Ludogorets
167d Days of rest for Lokomotiv Sf
— Manager of Ludogorets
— Manager of Lokomotiv Sf
0 Matches for Ludogorets in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Lokomotiv Sf in the last 14 days
2 Points for Ludogorets behind the leaders, and 16 above the relegation zone
18 Points for Lokomotiv Sf behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
2.67 League goals per match
24.6% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Ludogorets, the right bar represents Lokomotiv Sf.

On the ball

20 matches
5.11
corners
4.1
9.67
fouls
14.3
2.17
yellow cards
3.12

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Ludogorets WWDDWWWWW 2.56 1.78–0.78 2W
Lokomotiv Sf WLDLDLLDLD 0.70 1.10–1.80 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Ludogorets5 31 10
Lokomotiv Sf0 64 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Ludogorets

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Lokomotiv Sf

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.