Levski

Levski

VS Scheduled Saturday 3 Apr 202701:00

Bulgaria 26/27 First League · Matchday 24

Cherno More

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-13	26/27	Botev Vratsa0–0Levski
2026-09-05	26/27	Levski1–0CSKA 1948
2026-09-02	26/27	Slavia Sofia1–2Levski
2026-08-30	26/27	Botev Plovdiv1–3Levski
2026-08-22	26/27	Levski6–0Spartak Varna
2026-08-07	26/27	Levski2–0Lok Plovdiv
2026-08-01	26/27	Levski3–0Septemvri
2026-07-25	26/27	Lokomotiv Sf1–2Levski

Cherno More

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Arda1–1Cherno More
2026-09-11	26/27	Cherno More2–2Lokomotiv Sf
2026-09-06	26/27	Lok Plovdiv1–0Cherno More
2026-08-30	26/27	CSKA Sofia3–1Cherno More
2026-08-21	26/27	Cherno More3–1Dunav
2026-08-14	26/27	CSKA 19484–1Cherno More
2026-08-09	26/27	Cherno More2–3Ludogorets
2026-08-01	26/27	Botev Plovdiv1–0Cherno More

Levski Cherno More

Wins

88%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Both teams scored

38%

75%

Clean sheets

62%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Levski

Home · First League

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Levski
1	Levski		CSKA Sofia	2
1	Levski		Ludogorets	3
1	Levski	1–0	CSKA 1948	4	58′ Home
1	Levski		Arda	5
1	Levski		Botev Plovdiv	6
1	Levski		Slavia Sofia	7
1	Levski	6–0	Spartak Varna	8	8′ Home
1	Levski		Botev Vratsa	9
1	Levski	3–0	Septemvri	10	34′ Home
1	Levski		Lokomotiv Sf	11
1	Levski	2–0	Lok Plovdiv	12	5′ Home
1	Levski		Cherno More	13
1	Levski	2–1	Dunav	14	22′ Home

Cherno More

Away · First League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Levski		Cherno More	13
2	CSKA Sofia	3–1	Cherno More	13	20′ Home
3	Ludogorets		Cherno More	13
4	CSKA 1948	4–1	Cherno More	13	10′ Away
5	Arda	1–1	Cherno More	13	70′ Away
6	Botev Plovdiv	1–0	Cherno More	13	23′ Home
7	Slavia Sofia		Cherno More	13
8	Spartak Varna		Cherno More	13
9	Botev Vratsa	1–1	Cherno More	13	70′ Away
10	Septemvri		Cherno More	13
11	Lokomotiv Sf		Cherno More	13
12	Lok Plovdiv	1–0	Cherno More	13	21′ Home
13 · Cherno More
14	Dunav		Cherno More	13

Levski Home Cherno More Away

Wins

100%

0%

Over 1.5

80%

67%

Over 2.5

60%

33%

Over 3.5

20%

33%

Both teams scored

20%

67%

Clean sheets

80%

0%

Scores first

100%

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

First League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Levski

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.50	2.78
Draws	0.0%	25.0%	11.1%
Goals scored / match	2.80	1.75	2.33
Goals conceded / match	0.20	0.75	0.44
Total goals / match	3.00	2.50	2.78
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	11.1%
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	25.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	4 of 5	80%
Scores first → wins	5 of 5	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	3	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	2	0
61–75	2	0
76–90	5	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Cherno More

10 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away6 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.33	0.60
Draws	25.0%	33.3%	30.0%
Goals scored / match	1.75	0.67	1.10
Goals conceded / match	2.25	1.83	2.00
Total goals / match	4.00	2.50	3.10
Failed to score	25.0%	33.3%	30.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	66.7%	40.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 3	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 3	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 6/6 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	4
31–45	1	1
46–60	0	1
61–75	2	2
76–90	0	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Levski	Draw	Cherno More	How it works
Strength (Elo)	63.3%	16.6%	20.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	78.6%	8.4%	3.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

3.15–0.48 Model expected goals

60.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

32.4% Both teams to score

3-0 Most likely score, at 13.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

3-013.9%

2-013.2%

4-010.9%

1-08.4%

5-06.9%

3-16.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Levski	Cherno More	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1589	1449	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	80	-52	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1499	1499	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Levski	0.56	1.78	0.00	0.44
Cherno More	0.50	0.60	0.60	1.40

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Levski	11%	11%	11%	44%	22%
Cherno More	0%	20%	20%	10%	50%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Levski at home, 5 matches

0.33 Cherno More away, 6 matches

202d Days of rest for Levski

196d Days of rest for Cherno More

— Manager of Levski

— Manager of Cherno More

0 Matches for Levski in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Cherno More in the last 14 days

0 Points for Levski behind the leaders, and 18 above the relegation zone

19 Points for Cherno More behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

2.67 League goals per match

24.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Levski, the right bar represents Cherno More.

On the ball

20 matches

5.57

corners

5.33

9.56

fouls

12.7

1.4

yellow cards

3.11

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Levski	DWWWWWWWW	2.78	2.33–0.44	1D
Cherno More	DDLLWLLLLD	0.60	1.10–2.00	2D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Levski	4	5	0	0	0
Cherno More	2	4	4	0	2

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Levski

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Cherno More

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.