Lok Plovdiv

Lok Plovdiv

VS Scheduled Saturday 3 Apr 202701:00

Bulgaria 26/27 First League · Matchday 24

Lokomotiv Sf

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Lok Plovdiv1–1CSKA Sofia
2026-09-13	26/27	Botev Plovdiv2–0Lok Plovdiv
2026-09-06	26/27	Lok Plovdiv1–0Cherno More
2026-08-28	26/27	CSKA 19482–0Lok Plovdiv
2026-08-24	26/27	Lok Plovdiv0–1Arda
2026-08-16	26/27	Lok Plovdiv1–2Dunav
2026-08-07	26/27	Levski2–0Lok Plovdiv
2026-08-03	26/27	Spartak Varna1–0Lok Plovdiv

Lokomotiv Sf

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Spartak Varna0–1Lokomotiv Sf
2026-09-16	26/27	Lokomotiv Sf0–2CSKA Sofia
2026-09-11	26/27	Cherno More2–2Lokomotiv Sf
2026-09-06	26/27	Lokomotiv Sf1–2Ludogorets
2026-08-31	26/27	Dunav2–2Lokomotiv Sf
2026-08-17	26/27	Arda3–1Lokomotiv Sf
2026-08-08	26/27	Lokomotiv Sf1–3CSKA 1948
2026-07-31	26/27	Slavia Sofia1–1Lokomotiv Sf

Lok Plovdiv Lokomotiv Sf

Wins

12%

Over 2.5 goals

12%

62%

Both teams scored

25%

75%

Clean sheets

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Lok Plovdiv

Home · First League

Home			Away		1st goal
12	Lok Plovdiv		Levski	1
12	Lok Plovdiv	1–1	CSKA Sofia	2	10′ Home
12	Lok Plovdiv		Ludogorets	3
12	Lok Plovdiv		CSKA 1948	4
12	Lok Plovdiv	0–1	Arda	5	65′ Away
12	Lok Plovdiv		Botev Plovdiv	6
12	Lok Plovdiv		Slavia Sofia	7
12	Lok Plovdiv		Spartak Varna	8
12	Lok Plovdiv		Botev Vratsa	9
12	Lok Plovdiv	2–1	Septemvri	10	5′ Home
12	Lok Plovdiv		Lokomotiv Sf	11
12 · Lok Plovdiv
12	Lok Plovdiv	1–0	Cherno More	13	21′ Home
12	Lok Plovdiv	1–2	Dunav	14	4′ Home

Lokomotiv Sf

Away · First League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Levski		Lokomotiv Sf	11
2	CSKA Sofia		Lokomotiv Sf	11
3	Ludogorets		Lokomotiv Sf	11
4	CSKA 1948		Lokomotiv Sf	11
5	Arda	3–1	Lokomotiv Sf	11	31′ Home
6	Botev Plovdiv	1–1	Lokomotiv Sf	11	49′ Away
7	Slavia Sofia	1–1	Lokomotiv Sf	11	36′ Away
8	Spartak Varna	0–1	Lokomotiv Sf	11	—
9	Botev Vratsa		Lokomotiv Sf	11
10	Septemvri		Lokomotiv Sf	11
11 · Lokomotiv Sf
12	Lok Plovdiv		Lokomotiv Sf	11
13	Cherno More	2–2	Lokomotiv Sf	11	6′ Home
14	Dunav	2–2	Lokomotiv Sf	11	39′ Home

Lok Plovdiv Home Lokomotiv Sf Away

Wins

40%

17%

Over 1.5

60%

83%

Over 2.5

40%

50%

Over 3.5

0%

50%

Both teams scored

60%

83%

Clean sheets

20%

17%

Scores first

80%

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

First League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Lok Plovdiv

10 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away5 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	1.40	0.00	0.70
Draws	20.0%	0.0%	10.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.00	0.50
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.60	1.30
Total goals / match	2.00	1.60	1.80
Failed to score	20.0%	100.0%	60.0%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	100.0%	80.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 4	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 4	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	3	0
16–30	1	1
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	2
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Lokomotiv Sf

10 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away6 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	0.00	1.17	0.70
Draws	0.0%	66.7%	40.0%
Goals scored / match	0.75	1.33	1.10
Goals conceded / match	2.25	1.50	1.80
Total goals / match	3.00	2.83	2.90
Failed to score	25.0%	0.0%	10.0%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	50.0%	40.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 3	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 3	33%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 6/6 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Lok Plovdiv	Draw	Lokomotiv Sf	How it works
Strength (Elo)	43.5%	24.0%	32.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	22.1%	30.3%	47.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.72–1.20 Model expected goals

30.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals

35.8% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 17.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-117.6%

0-014.6%

1-112.7%

0-210.6%

1-010.5%

1-27.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Lok Plovdiv	Lokomotiv Sf	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1449	1458	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-43	-43	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1509	1505	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Lok Plovdiv	0.40	0.10	0.80	0.50
Lokomotiv Sf	0.20	0.90	0.80	1.00

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Lok Plovdiv	0%	40%	40%	20%	0%
Lokomotiv Sf	0%	10%	30%	20%	40%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.40 Lok Plovdiv at home, 5 matches

1.17 Lokomotiv Sf away, 6 matches

195d Days of rest for Lok Plovdiv

195d Days of rest for Lokomotiv Sf

— Manager of Lok Plovdiv

— Manager of Lokomotiv Sf

0 Matches for Lok Plovdiv in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Lokomotiv Sf in the last 14 days

18 Points for Lok Plovdiv behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

18 Points for Lokomotiv Sf behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.67 League goals per match

24.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Lok Plovdiv, the right bar represents Lokomotiv Sf.

On the ball

20 matches

4.44

corners

4.1

11.8

fouls

14.3

2.7

yellow cards

3.12

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Lok Plovdiv	DLWLLLLLWL	0.70	0.50–1.30	1D
Lokomotiv Sf	WLDLDLLDLD	0.70	1.10–1.80	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Lok Plovdiv	2	3	5	0	1
Lokomotiv Sf	0	6	4	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Lok Plovdiv

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Lokomotiv Sf

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.