Lok Plovdiv

Lok Plovdiv

VS Scheduled Saturday 17 Apr 202701:00

Bulgaria 26/27 First League · Matchday 26

Botev Vratsa

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Lok Plovdiv1–1CSKA Sofia
2026-09-13	26/27	Botev Plovdiv2–0Lok Plovdiv
2026-09-06	26/27	Lok Plovdiv1–0Cherno More
2026-08-28	26/27	CSKA 19482–0Lok Plovdiv
2026-08-24	26/27	Lok Plovdiv0–1Arda
2026-08-16	26/27	Lok Plovdiv1–2Dunav
2026-08-07	26/27	Levski2–0Lok Plovdiv
2026-08-03	26/27	Spartak Varna1–0Lok Plovdiv

Botev Vratsa

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Dunav2–2Botev Vratsa
2026-09-13	26/27	Botev Vratsa0–0Levski
2026-09-04	26/27	Septemvri2–3Botev Vratsa
2026-08-31	26/27	Arda2–0Botev Vratsa
2026-08-24	26/27	Botev Vratsa1–0Botev Plovdiv
2026-08-16	26/27	CSKA Sofia5–0Botev Vratsa
2026-08-10	26/27	Botev Vratsa0–3Slavia Sofia
2026-08-02	26/27	Ludogorets2–1Botev Vratsa

Lok Plovdiv Botev Vratsa

Wins

12%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

12%

62%

Both teams scored

25%

38%

Clean sheets

12%

25%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Lok Plovdiv

Home · First League

Home			Away		1st goal
12	Lok Plovdiv		Levski	1
12	Lok Plovdiv	1–1	CSKA Sofia	2	10′ Home
12	Lok Plovdiv		Ludogorets	3
12	Lok Plovdiv		CSKA 1948	4
12	Lok Plovdiv	0–1	Arda	5	65′ Away
12	Lok Plovdiv		Botev Plovdiv	6
12	Lok Plovdiv		Slavia Sofia	7
12	Lok Plovdiv		Spartak Varna	8
12	Lok Plovdiv		Botev Vratsa	9
12	Lok Plovdiv	2–1	Septemvri	10	5′ Home
12	Lok Plovdiv		Lokomotiv Sf	11
12 · Lok Plovdiv
12	Lok Plovdiv	1–0	Cherno More	13	21′ Home
12	Lok Plovdiv	1–2	Dunav	14	4′ Home

Botev Vratsa

Away · First League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Levski		Botev Vratsa	9
2	CSKA Sofia	5–0	Botev Vratsa	9	12′ Home
3	Ludogorets	2–1	Botev Vratsa	9	22′ Home
4	CSKA 1948	2–1	Botev Vratsa	9	19′ Home
5	Arda	2–0	Botev Vratsa	9	60′ Home
6	Botev Plovdiv		Botev Vratsa	9
7	Slavia Sofia		Botev Vratsa	9
8	Spartak Varna		Botev Vratsa	9
9 · Botev Vratsa
10	Septemvri	2–3	Botev Vratsa	9	41′ Away
11	Lokomotiv Sf		Botev Vratsa	9
12	Lok Plovdiv		Botev Vratsa	9
13	Cherno More		Botev Vratsa	9
14	Dunav	2–2	Botev Vratsa	9	9′ Home

Lok Plovdiv Home Botev Vratsa Away

Wins

40%

17%

Over 1.5

60%

100%

Over 2.5

40%

83%

Over 3.5

0%

50%

Both teams scored

60%

67%

Clean sheets

20%

0%

Scores first

80%

17%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

First League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Lok Plovdiv

10 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away5 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	1.40	0.00	0.70
Draws	20.0%	0.0%	10.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.00	0.50
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.60	1.30
Total goals / match	2.00	1.60	1.80
Failed to score	20.0%	100.0%	60.0%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	100.0%	80.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 4	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 4	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	3	0
16–30	1	1
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	2
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Botev Vratsa

10 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away6 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	1.25	0.67	0.90
Draws	50.0%	16.7%	30.0%
Goals scored / match	0.50	1.17	0.90
Goals conceded / match	1.00	2.50	1.90
Total goals / match	1.50	3.67	2.80
Failed to score	50.0%	33.3%	40.0%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	16.7%	40.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 5	0%

Scoring order known: 6/6 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	2
16–30	0	2
31–45	2	3
46–60	0	2
61–75	2	3
76–90	3	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Lok Plovdiv	Draw	Botev Vratsa	How it works
Strength (Elo)	42.6%	24.2%	33.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	27.2%	33.2%	39.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.76–0.98 Model expected goals

25.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

33.3% Both teams to score

0-0 Most likely score, at 17.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-017.5%

0-117.2%

1-013.3%

1-113.1%

0-28.5%

1-26.4%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Lok Plovdiv	Botev Vratsa	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1449	1466	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-43	-33	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1509	1509	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Lok Plovdiv	0.40	0.10	0.80	0.50
Botev Vratsa	0.30	0.60	0.70	1.20

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Lok Plovdiv	0%	40%	40%	20%	0%
Botev Vratsa	10%	10%	20%	30%	30%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.40 Lok Plovdiv at home, 5 matches

0.67 Botev Vratsa away, 6 matches

209d Days of rest for Lok Plovdiv

210d Days of rest for Botev Vratsa

— Manager of Lok Plovdiv

— Manager of Botev Vratsa

0 Matches for Lok Plovdiv in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Botev Vratsa in the last 14 days

18 Points for Lok Plovdiv behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

16 Points for Botev Vratsa behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

2.67 League goals per match

24.6% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Lok Plovdiv, the right bar represents Botev Vratsa.

On the ball

20 matches

4.44

corners

4.4

11.8

fouls

12.1

2.7

yellow cards

2.14

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Lok Plovdiv	DLWLLLLLWL	0.70	0.50–1.30	1D
Botev Vratsa	DDWLWLLLLD	0.90	0.90–1.90	2D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Lok Plovdiv	2	3	5	0	1
Botev Vratsa	2	4	4	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Lok Plovdiv

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Botev Vratsa

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.