Gorica

Gorica

VS Scheduled Saturday 24 Oct 202601:00

Croatia 26/27 HNL · Matchday 11

Lok Zagreb

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings

GoricaWins: 0
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
Lok ZagrebWins: 1

Goals per match: 4.00
Over 2.5 goals: 100.0%
Both teams scored: 100.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-08-08	26/27	Lok Zagreb3–1Gorica

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Istra0–1Gorica
2026-09-14	26/27	Gorica2–2Varazdin
2026-09-05	26/27	Dinamo Zagreb1–0Gorica
2026-08-31	26/27	Gorica0–0Rijeka
2026-08-22	26/27	Slaven2–0Gorica
2026-08-16	26/27	Gorica1–2Hajduk Split
2026-08-08	26/27	Lok Zagreb3–1Gorica
2026-08-01	26/27	Gorica0–2Osijek

Lok Zagreb

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Dinamo Zagreb3–2Lok Zagreb
2026-09-12	26/27	Lok Zagreb1–1Rijeka
2026-09-06	26/27	Slaven2–1Lok Zagreb
2026-08-31	26/27	Hajduk Split2–0Lok Zagreb
2026-08-21	26/27	Rudeš4–1Lok Zagreb
2026-08-15	26/27	Osijek1–0Lok Zagreb
2026-08-08	26/27	Lok Zagreb3–1Gorica
2026-08-01	26/27	Istra2–3Lok Zagreb

Gorica Lok Zagreb

Wins

12%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

62%

Both teams scored

38%

75%

Clean sheets

25%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Gorica

Home · HNL

Home			Away		1st goal
9	Gorica		Dinamo Zagreb	1
9	Gorica	1–2	Hajduk Split	2	3′ Away
9	Gorica	0–2	Osijek	3	7′ Away
9	Gorica	2–2	Varazdin	4	53′ Home
9	Gorica	0–0	Rijeka	5	–
9	Gorica		Istra	6
9	Gorica		Lok Zagreb	7
9	Gorica		Slaven	8
9 · Gorica
9	Gorica		Rudeš	10

Lok Zagreb

Away · HNL

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Dinamo Zagreb	3–2	Lok Zagreb	7	11′ Home
2	Hajduk Split	2–0	Lok Zagreb	7	16′ Home
3	Osijek	1–0	Lok Zagreb	7	90′ Home
4	Varazdin		Lok Zagreb	7
5	Rijeka		Lok Zagreb	7
6	Istra	2–3	Lok Zagreb	7	25′ Away
7 · Lok Zagreb
8	Slaven	2–1	Lok Zagreb	7	48′ Home
9	Gorica		Lok Zagreb	7
10	Rudeš	4–1	Lok Zagreb	7	—

Gorica Home Lok Zagreb Away

Wins

0%

17%

Over 1.5

75%

83%

Over 2.5

50%

67%

Over 3.5

25%

50%

Both teams scored

50%

67%

Clean sheets

25%

0%

Scores first

25%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

HNL · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Gorica

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	0.50	0.75	0.62
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	0.75	0.50	0.62
Goals conceded / match	1.50	1.50	1.50
Total goals / match	2.25	2.00	2.12
Failed to score	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	75.0%	62.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	3
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	1	1
61–75	0	0
76–90	2	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Lok Zagreb

8 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away6 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.00	0.50	0.88
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	12.5%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.17	1.38
Goals conceded / match	1.00	2.33	2.00
Total goals / match	3.00	3.50	3.38
Failed to score	0.0%	33.3%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	33.3%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 5/6 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Gorica	Draw	Lok Zagreb	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	16.7%	23.2%	59.2%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.80–1.75 Model expected goals

46.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals

45.0% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 13.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-113.6%

0-212.0%

1-110.9%

1-29.6%

0-07.8%

0-37.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Gorica	Lok Zagreb	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Gorica	0.00	0.62	1.00	0.50
Lok Zagreb	0.75	0.62	0.62	1.38

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Gorica	12%	25%	25%	12%	25%
Lok Zagreb	0%	12%	25%	12%	50%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.50 Gorica at home, 4 matches

0.50 Lok Zagreb away, 6 matches

35d Days of rest for Gorica

34d Days of rest for Lok Zagreb

— Manager of Gorica

— Manager of Lok Zagreb

0 Matches for Gorica in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Lok Zagreb in the last 14 days

11 Points for Gorica behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone

9 Points for Lok Zagreb behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

3.15 League goals per match

20.5% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Gorica, the right bar represents Lok Zagreb.

On the ball

20 matches

2.62

corners

4.25

9.62

fouls

14.25

1.8

yellow cards

2.86

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Gorica	WDLDLLLL	0.62	0.62–1.50	1W
Lok Zagreb	LDLLLLWW	0.88	1.38–2.00	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Gorica	0	3	5	0	0
Lok Zagreb	2	4	2	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Gorica

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Lok Zagreb

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.