Istra

Istra

VS Scheduled Saturday 22 May 202701:00

Croatia 26/27 HNL · Matchday 36

Osijek

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Istra0–1Gorica
2026-09-13	26/27	Istra3–2Rudeš
2026-09-04	26/27	Varazdin0–0Istra
2026-08-29	26/27	Istra2–2Dinamo Zagreb
2026-08-23	26/27	Rijeka3–2Istra
2026-08-15	26/27	Istra3–0Slaven
2026-08-09	26/27	Hajduk Split2–2Istra
2026-08-01	26/27	Istra2–3Lok Zagreb

Osijek

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Varazdin0–0Osijek
2026-09-12	26/27	Osijek4–2Dinamo Zagreb
2026-09-05	26/27	Rijeka4–1Osijek
2026-08-30	26/27	Osijek3–0Slaven
2026-08-23	26/27	Hajduk Split4–0Osijek
2026-08-15	26/27	Osijek1–0Lok Zagreb
2026-08-08	26/27	Rudeš1–6Osijek
2026-08-01	26/27	Gorica0–2Osijek

Istra Osijek

Wins

25%

62%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

62%

Both teams scored

62%

38%

Clean sheets

25%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Istra

Home · HNL

Home			Away		1st goal
6	Istra	2–2	Dinamo Zagreb	1	14′ Home
6	Istra		Hajduk Split	2
6	Istra		Osijek	3
6	Istra		Varazdin	4
6	Istra		Rijeka	5
6 · Istra
6	Istra	2–3	Lok Zagreb	7	25′ Away
6	Istra	3–0	Slaven	8	16′ Home
6	Istra	0–1	Gorica	9	85′ Away
6	Istra	3–2	Rudeš	10	11′ Home

Osijek

Away · HNL

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Dinamo Zagreb		Osijek	3
2	Hajduk Split	4–0	Osijek	3	9′ Home
3 · Osijek
4	Varazdin	0–0	Osijek	3	–
5	Rijeka	4–1	Osijek	3	15′ Away
6	Istra		Osijek	3
7	Lok Zagreb		Osijek	3
8	Slaven		Osijek	3
9	Gorica	0–2	Osijek	3	7′ Away
10	Rudeš	1–6	Osijek	3	12′ Away

Istra Home Osijek Away

Wins

40%

Over 1.5

80%

Over 2.5

80%

60%

Over 3.5

60%

Both teams scored

60%

40%

Clean sheets

20%

40%

Scores first

60%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

HNL · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Istra

8 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away3 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.40	0.67	1.12
Draws	20.0%	66.7%	37.5%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.33	1.75
Goals conceded / match	1.60	1.67	1.62
Total goals / match	3.60	3.00	3.38
Failed to score	20.0%	33.3%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	20.0%	33.3%	25.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	3 of 3	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 3	67%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	0
16–30	4	2
31–45	1	1
46–60	3	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	5

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Osijek

8 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away5 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.40	2.00
Draws	0.0%	20.0%	12.5%
Goals scored / match	2.67	1.80	2.12
Goals conceded / match	0.67	1.80	1.38
Total goals / match	3.33	3.60	3.50
Failed to score	0.0%	40.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	40.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 3	67%
Scores first → wins	2 of 3	67%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	4	1
16–30	1	1
31–45	2	2
46–60	0	1
61–75	1	1
76–90	1	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Istra	Draw	Osijek	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	13.0%	14.9%	64.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.22–2.91 Model expected goals

70.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

61.3% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 8.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-28.3%

1-38.1%

0-26.8%

0-36.6%

1-45.9%

1-15.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Istra	Osijek	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Istra	1.00	0.75	0.75	0.88
Osijek	1.38	0.75	0.50	0.88

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Istra	12%	12%	0%	12%	62%
Osijek	12%	12%	12%	12%	50%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.40 Istra at home, 5 matches

1.40 Osijek away, 5 matches

245d Days of rest for Istra

245d Days of rest for Osijek

— Manager of Istra

— Manager of Osijek

0 Matches for Istra in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Osijek in the last 14 days

7 Points for Istra behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Osijek behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone

3.15 League goals per match

20.5% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Istra, the right bar represents Osijek.

On the ball

20 matches

4.25

corners

4.57

11.12

fouls

14.12

1.8

yellow cards

2.67

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Istra	LWDDLWDL	1.12	1.75–1.62	1L
Osijek	DWLWLWWW	2.00	2.12–1.38	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Istra	3	3	2	0	1
Osijek	4	2	2	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Istra

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Osijek

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.