Paksi

Paksi

VS Scheduled Saturday 27 Feb 202700:00

Hungary 26/27 NB I · Matchday 23

Ferencvaros

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings

PaksiWins: 1
Draws0.0% of meetings: 0
FerencvarosWins: 0

Goals per match: 6.00
Over 2.5 goals: 100.0%
Both teams scored: 100.0%

Date	Season	Match
2026-07-26	26/27	Paksi4–2Ferencvaros

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Kisvárda0–1Paksi
2026-09-05	26/27	Paksi2–4Debrecen
2026-08-29	26/27	Nyíregyháza1–1Paksi
2026-08-21	26/27	Paksi2–0Újpest
2026-08-16	26/27	Puskás3–2Paksi
2026-08-09	26/27	Paksi2–2Honved
2026-08-03	26/27	ZTE5–2Paksi
2026-07-26	26/27	Paksi4–2Ferencvaros

Ferencvaros

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Nyíregyháza1–1Ferencvaros
2026-09-06	26/27	Ferencvaros2–2Újpest
2026-09-03	26/27	Győr0–3Ferencvaros
2026-08-30	26/27	Puskás1–2Ferencvaros
2026-08-17	26/27	ZTE0–1Ferencvaros
2026-08-02	26/27	Ferencvaros0–0Vasas
2026-07-26	26/27	Paksi4–2Ferencvaros

Paksi Ferencvaros

Wins

38%

43%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

57%

Both teams scored

75%

57%

Clean sheets

25%

43%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Paksi

Home · NB I

Home			Away		1st goal
6	Paksi		Győr	1
6	Paksi		Puskás	2
6	Paksi		Vasas	3
6	Paksi	2–0	Újpest	4	21′ Home
6	Paksi	4–2	Ferencvaros	5	18′ Away
6 · Paksi
6	Paksi		MTK Budapeste	7
6	Paksi		Kisvárda	8
6	Paksi	2–4	Debrecen	9	—
6	Paksi		Nyíregyháza	10
6	Paksi	2–2	Honved	11	59′ Home
6	Paksi		ZTE	12

Ferencvaros

Away · NB I

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Győr	0–3	Ferencvaros	5	27′ Away
2	Puskás	1–2	Ferencvaros	5	53′ Away
3	Vasas		Ferencvaros	5
4	Újpest		Ferencvaros	5
5 · Ferencvaros
6	Paksi	4–2	Ferencvaros	5	18′ Away
7	MTK Budapeste		Ferencvaros	5
8	Kisvárda		Ferencvaros	5
9	Debrecen		Ferencvaros	5
10	Nyíregyháza	1–1	Ferencvaros	5	7′ Home
11	Honved		Ferencvaros	5
12	ZTE	0–1	Ferencvaros	5	38′ Away

Paksi Home Ferencvaros Away

Wins

50%

60%

Over 1.5

100%

80%

Over 2.5

75%

60%

Over 3.5

75%

20%

Both teams scored

75%

60%

Clean sheets

25%

40%

Scores first

N/A

80%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

NB I · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Paksi

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.75	1.00	1.38
Draws	25.0%	25.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	2.50	1.50	2.00
Goals conceded / match	2.00	2.25	2.12
Total goals / match	4.50	3.75	4.12
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	50.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Ferencvaros

7 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away5 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.00	2.00	1.71
Draws	100.0%	20.0%	42.9%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.80	1.57
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.20	1.14
Total goals / match	2.00	3.00	2.71
Failed to score	50.0%	0.0%	14.3%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	40.0%	42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 4	50%
Scores first → wins	3 of 4	75%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	2	1
31–45	2	1
46–60	2	3
61–75	3	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Paksi	Draw	Ferencvaros	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	19.7%	19.4%	57.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.26–2.30 Model expected goals

65.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

62.2% Both teams to score

1-2 Most likely score, at 9.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-29.5%

1-18.2%

0-27.5%

1-37.3%

0-16.5%

2-26.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Paksi	Ferencvaros	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Paksi	1.00	1.00	1.25	0.88
Ferencvaros	0.86	0.71	0.57	0.57

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Paksi	0%	12%	25%	0%	62%
Ferencvaros	14%	14%	14%	29%	29%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.75 Paksi at home, 4 matches

2.00 Ferencvaros away, 5 matches

161d Days of rest for Paksi

160d Days of rest for Ferencvaros

— Manager of Paksi

— Manager of Ferencvaros

0 Matches for Paksi in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Ferencvaros in the last 14 days

4 Points for Paksi behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

3 Points for Ferencvaros behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

3.26 League goals per match

27.7% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Paksi, the right bar represents Ferencvaros.

On the ball

20 matches

6.25

corners

4.43

11.71

fouls

16.0

2.33

yellow cards

2.17

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Paksi	WLDWLDLW	1.38	2.00–2.12	1W
Ferencvaros	DDWWWDL	1.71	1.57–1.14	2D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Paksi	1	4	3	0	0
Ferencvaros	3	3	1	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Paksi

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Ferencvaros

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.