Wiltz

Wiltz

VS Scheduled Sunday 25 Oct 202615:00

Luxembourg 26/27 National Division · Matchday 11

Rumelange

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-16	26/27	Atert4–2Wiltz
2026-09-12	26/27	Wiltz1–2Progrès
2026-09-06	26/27	Esch5–1Wiltz
2026-08-30	26/27	Wiltz1–2Dudelange
2026-08-23	26/27	Rosport4–0Wiltz
2026-08-15	26/27	Wiltz1–2Differdange
2026-08-09	26/27	Swift2–7Wiltz
2026-08-01	26/27	Wiltz1–1Etzella

Rumelange

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-16	26/27	Strassen2–0Rumelange
2026-09-13	26/27	Rumelange0–6Atert
2026-09-06	26/27	Progrès3–0Rumelange
2026-08-30	26/27	Rumelange2–5Esch
2026-08-23	26/27	Dudelange3–2Rumelange
2026-08-16	26/27	Rumelange3–2Rosport
2026-08-09	26/27	Differdange2–0Rumelange
2026-08-02	26/27	Rumelange1–0Swift

Wiltz Rumelange

Wins

12%

25%

Over 2.5 goals

88%

62%

Both teams scored

88%

38%

Clean sheets

0%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Wiltz

Home · National Division

Home			Away		1st goal
15	Wiltz		Strassen	1
15	Wiltz	1–2	Differdange	2	12′ Home
15	Wiltz		Mondorf	3
15	Wiltz		Racing	4
15	Wiltz	1–2	Progrès	5	14′ Away
15	Wiltz		Käerjéng	6
15	Wiltz		Atert	7
15	Wiltz		Résidence Walferdange	8
15	Wiltz		Hostert	9
15	Wiltz		Esch	10
15	Wiltz	1–2	Dudelange	11	28′ Away
15	Wiltz		Rumelange	12
15	Wiltz		Rosport	13
15	Wiltz	1–1	Etzella	14	6′ Away
15 · Wiltz
15	Wiltz		Swift	16

Rumelange

Away · National Division

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Strassen	2–0	Rumelange	12	31′ Home
2	Differdange	2–0	Rumelange	12	59′ Home
3	Mondorf		Rumelange	12
4	Racing		Rumelange	12
5	Progrès	3–0	Rumelange	12	20′ Home
6	Käerjéng		Rumelange	12
7	Atert		Rumelange	12
8	Résidence Walferdange		Rumelange	12
9	Hostert		Rumelange	12
10	Esch		Rumelange	12
11	Dudelange	3–2	Rumelange	12	3′ Away
12 · Rumelange
13	Rosport		Rumelange	12
14	Etzella		Rumelange	12
15	Wiltz		Rumelange	12
16	Swift		Rumelange	12

Wiltz Home Rumelange Away

Wins

0%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

75%

50%

Over 3.5

0%

25%

Both teams scored

100%

25%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

25%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National Division · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Wiltz

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	0.25	0.75	0.50
Draws	25.0%	0.0%	12.5%
Goals scored / match	1.00	2.50	1.75
Goals conceded / match	1.75	3.75	2.75
Total goals / match	2.75	6.25	4.50
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	0.0%	12.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	2
16–30	0	2
31–45	0	0
46–60	2	0
61–75	0	1
76–90	1	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Rumelange

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.50	0.00	0.75
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	1.50	0.50	1.00
Goals conceded / match	3.25	2.50	2.88
Total goals / match	4.75	3.00	3.88
Failed to score	25.0%	75.0%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	50.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	0	1
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	1
61–75	0	3
76–90	1	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Wiltz	Draw	Rumelange	How it works
Strength (Elo)	55.2%	8.9%	36.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	53.8%	17.5%	21.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.76–1.71 Model expected goals

75.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

70.9% Both teams to score

2-1 Most likely score, at 7.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-17.5%

3-16.9%

2-26.4%

3-25.9%

1-15.4%

4-14.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Wiltz	Rumelange	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1444	1430	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-54	-79	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1496	1499	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Wiltz	0.88	0.88	1.12	1.62
Rumelange	0.50	0.50	1.25	1.62

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Wiltz	0%	0%	12%	38%	50%
Rumelange	0%	12%	25%	12%	50%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.25 Wiltz at home, 4 matches

0.00 Rumelange away, 4 matches

39d Days of rest for Wiltz

39d Days of rest for Rumelange

— Manager of Wiltz

— Manager of Rumelange

0 Matches for Wiltz in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Rumelange in the last 14 days

20 Points for Wiltz behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

18 Points for Rumelange behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

3.44 League goals per match

9.4% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Wiltz, the right bar represents Rumelange.

On the ball

20 matches

4.2

corners

4.0

—

fouls

11.0

2.71

yellow cards

2.5

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Wiltz	LLLLLLWD	0.50	1.75–2.75	6L
Rumelange	LLLLLWLW	0.75	1.00–2.88	5L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Wiltz	1	1	6	0	0
Rumelange	2	2	4	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Wiltz

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Rumelange

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.