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Progrès
VS Scheduled Luxembourg 26/27 National Division · Matchday 12
Swift
Recent matches

Progrès

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-16 Luxembourg, National Division 26/27 Progrès0–0Racing
2026-09-12 Luxembourg, National Division 26/27 Wiltz1–2Progrès
2026-09-06 Luxembourg, National Division 26/27 Progrès3–0Rumelange
2026-08-30 Luxembourg, National Division 26/27 Mondorf2–1Progrès
2026-08-22 Luxembourg, National Division 26/27 Progrès0–1Strassen
2026-08-16 Luxembourg, National Division 26/27 Atert0–4Progrès
2026-08-09 Luxembourg, National Division 26/27 Résidence Walferdange0–1Progrès
2026-08-01 Luxembourg, National Division 26/27 Progrès2–1Esch

Swift

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-16 Luxembourg, National Division 26/27 Differdange3–0Swift
2026-09-13 Luxembourg, National Division 26/27 Swift0–3Résidence Walferdange
2026-09-06 Luxembourg, National Division 26/27 Swift0–3Etzella
2026-08-30 Luxembourg, National Division 26/27 Käerjéng6–0Swift
2026-08-23 Luxembourg, National Division 26/27 Swift0–2Hostert
2026-08-16 Luxembourg, National Division 26/27 Racing5–0Swift
2026-08-09 Luxembourg, National Division 26/27 Swift2–7Wiltz
2026-08-02 Luxembourg, National Division 26/27 Rumelange1–0Swift
Progrès Swift

Wins

62%
0%

Over 2.5 goals

62%
75%

Both teams scored

38%
12%

Clean sheets

50%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Progrès

Home · National Division
HomeAway1st goal
5 Progrès 0–1 Strassen 1 70′ Away
5 Progrès Differdange 2
5 Progrès Mondorf 3
5 Progrès 0–0 Racing 4 –
5 · Progrès
5 Progrès Käerjéng 6
5 Progrès Atert 7
5 Progrès Résidence Walferdange 8
5 Progrès Hostert 9
5 Progrès 2–1 Esch 10 6′ Away
5 Progrès Dudelange 11
5 Progrès 3–0 Rumelange 12 20′ Home
5 Progrès Rosport 13
5 Progrès Etzella 14
5 Progrès Wiltz 15
5 Progrès Swift 16

Swift

Away · National Division
HomeAway1st goal
1 Strassen Swift 16
2 Differdange 3–0 Swift 16 11′ Home
3 Mondorf Swift 16
4 Racing 5–0 Swift 16 51′ Home
5 Progrès Swift 16
6 Käerjéng 6–0 Swift 16 3′ Home
7 Atert Swift 16
8 Résidence Walferdange Swift 16
9 Hostert Swift 16
10 Esch Swift 16
11 Dudelange Swift 16
12 Rumelange 1–0 Swift 16 44′ Home
13 Rosport Swift 16
14 Etzella Swift 16
15 Wiltz Swift 16
16 · Swift
Progrès Home Swift Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National Division · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Progrès

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway4 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match1.752.252.00
Draws25.0%0.0%12.5%
Goals scored / match1.252.001.62
Goals conceded / match0.500.750.62
Total goals / match1.752.752.25
Failed to score50.0%0.0%25.0%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%25.0%37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 2 50%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3010
31–4500
46–6000
61–7511
76–9030

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Swift

8 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway4 matchesOverall8 matches
Points / match0.000.000.00
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match0.500.000.25
Goals conceded / match3.753.753.75
Total goals / match4.253.754.00
Failed to score75.0%100.0%87.5%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%25.0%25.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 4 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1502
16–3002
31–4502
46–6003
61–7504
76–9002

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelProgrèsDraw SwiftHow it works
Strength (Elo) 73.5% 5.8% 20.7% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 75.3% 8.7% 4.0% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
3.32–0.64 Model expected goals
63.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals
40.1% Both teams to score
3-0 Most likely score, at 11.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
3-011.6%
2-010.5%
4-09.6%
3-17.5%
2-16.7%
5-06.4%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureProgrèsSwift How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1543 1382 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 35 -109 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1513 1503 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Progrès 0.501.12 0.120.50
Swift 0.000.25 1.881.88

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Progrès 12%25%0%50%12%
Swift 0%12%12%38%38%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.75 Progrès at home, 4 matches
0.00 Swift away, 4 matches
45d Days of rest for Progrès
45d Days of rest for Swift
— Manager of Progrès
— Manager of Swift
0 Matches for Progrès in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Swift in the last 14 days
8 Points for Progrès behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone
24 Points for Swift behind the leaders, and -5 above the relegation zone
3.44 League goals per match
9.4% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Progrès, the right bar represents Swift.

On the ball

20 matches
2.5
corners
4.67
—
fouls
14.0
2.5
yellow cards
3.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Progrès DWWLLWWW 2.00 1.62–0.62 1D
Swift LLLLLLLL 0.00 0.25–3.75 8L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Progrès4 31 10
Swift0 26 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Progrès

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Swift

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.