Esch

Esch

VS Scheduled Saturday 31 Oct 202617:00

Luxembourg 26/27 National Division · Matchday 12

Differdange

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-16	26/27	Hostert1–1Esch
2026-09-12	26/27	Racing5–1Esch
2026-09-06	26/27	Esch5–1Wiltz
2026-08-30	26/27	Rumelange2–5Esch
2026-08-23	26/27	Esch1–3Mondorf
2026-08-16	26/27	Strassen1–0Esch
2026-08-09	26/27	Esch0–2Atert
2026-08-01	26/27	Progrès2–1Esch

Differdange

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-16	26/27	Differdange3–0Swift
2026-09-12	26/27	Differdange1–0Etzella
2026-09-06	26/27	Differdange4–1Käerjéng
2026-08-30	26/27	Hostert0–2Differdange
2026-08-23	26/27	Differdange3–0Racing
2026-08-15	26/27	Wiltz1–2Differdange
2026-08-09	26/27	Differdange2–0Rumelange
2026-08-02	26/27	Mondorf3–2Differdange

Esch Differdange

Wins

25%

88%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Both teams scored

75%

38%

Clean sheets

0%

62%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Esch

Home · National Division

Home			Away		1st goal
10	Esch		Strassen	1
10	Esch		Differdange	2
10	Esch	1–3	Mondorf	3	14′ Away
10	Esch		Racing	4
10	Esch		Progrès	5
10	Esch		Käerjéng	6
10	Esch	0–2	Atert	7	26′ Away
10	Esch		Résidence Walferdange	8
10	Esch		Hostert	9
10 · Esch
10	Esch		Dudelange	11
10	Esch		Rumelange	12
10	Esch		Rosport	13
10	Esch		Etzella	14
10	Esch	5–1	Wiltz	15	5′ Home
10	Esch		Swift	16

Differdange

Away · National Division

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Strassen		Differdange	2
2 · Differdange
3	Mondorf	3–2	Differdange	2	33′ Away
4	Racing		Differdange	2
5	Progrès		Differdange	2
6	Käerjéng		Differdange	2
7	Atert		Differdange	2
8	Résidence Walferdange		Differdange	2
9	Hostert	0–2	Differdange	2	1′ Away
10	Esch		Differdange	2
11	Dudelange		Differdange	2
12	Rumelange		Differdange	2
13	Rosport		Differdange	2
14	Etzella		Differdange	2
15	Wiltz	1–2	Differdange	2	12′ Home
16	Swift		Differdange	2

Esch Home Differdange Away

Wins

33%

67%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

67%

Over 3.5

67%

33%

Both teams scored

67%

Clean sheets

0%

33%

Scores first

33%

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National Division · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Esch

8 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away5 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.80	0.88
Draws	0.0%	20.0%	12.5%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.60	1.75
Goals conceded / match	2.00	2.20	2.12
Total goals / match	4.00	3.80	3.88
Failed to score	33.3%	20.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	40.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	0	1
31–45	0	1
46–60	1	0
61–75	2	1
76–90	2	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Differdange

8 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away3 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.00	2.62
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	2.60	2.00	2.38
Goals conceded / match	0.20	1.33	0.62
Total goals / match	2.80	3.33	3.00
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	33.3%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	1	0
31–45	2	2
46–60	1	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Esch	Draw	Differdange	How it works
Strength (Elo)	40.9%	9.3%	49.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	5.5%	10.5%	74.2%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.73–3.14 Model expected goals

64.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

44.5% Both teams to score

0-3 Most likely score, at 10.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-310.8%

0-210.3%

0-48.4%

1-37.9%

1-27.5%

0-16.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Esch	Differdange	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1481	1575	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-11	83	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1511	1493	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Esch	0.62	1.12	1.00	1.12
Differdange	1.25	1.12	0.38	0.25

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Esch	0%	12%	25%	12%	50%
Differdange	0%	12%	25%	38%	25%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Esch at home, 3 matches

2.00 Differdange away, 3 matches

45d Days of rest for Esch

45d Days of rest for Differdange

— Manager of Esch

— Manager of Differdange

0 Matches for Esch in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Differdange in the last 14 days

17 Points for Esch behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

3 Points for Differdange behind the leaders, and 16 above the relegation zone

3.44 League goals per match

9.4% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Esch, the right bar represents Differdange.

On the ball

20 matches

3.83

corners

9.5

—

fouls

—

3.2

yellow cards

3.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Esch	DLWWLLLL	0.88	1.75–2.12	1D
Differdange	WWWWWWWL	2.62	2.38–0.62	7W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Esch	3	1	4	0	1
Differdange	5	2	1	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Esch

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Differdange

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.