Racing

Racing

VS Scheduled Sunday 22 Nov 202615:00

Luxembourg 26/27 National Division · Matchday 13

Wiltz

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-16	26/27	Progrès0–0Racing
2026-09-12	26/27	Racing5–1Esch
2026-09-06	26/27	Dudelange1–3Racing
2026-08-30	26/27	Racing2–2Rosport
2026-08-23	26/27	Differdange3–0Racing
2026-08-16	26/27	Racing5–0Swift
2026-08-09	26/27	Etzella0–1Racing
2026-08-02	26/27	Racing5–1Käerjéng

Wiltz

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-16	26/27	Atert4–2Wiltz
2026-09-12	26/27	Wiltz1–2Progrès
2026-09-06	26/27	Esch5–1Wiltz
2026-08-30	26/27	Wiltz1–2Dudelange
2026-08-23	26/27	Rosport4–0Wiltz
2026-08-15	26/27	Wiltz1–2Differdange
2026-08-09	26/27	Swift2–7Wiltz
2026-08-01	26/27	Wiltz1–1Etzella

Racing Wiltz

Wins

62%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

75%

88%

Both teams scored

50%

88%

Clean sheets

38%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Racing

Home · National Division

Home			Away		1st goal
4	Racing		Strassen	1
4	Racing		Differdange	2
4	Racing		Mondorf	3
4 · Racing
4	Racing		Progrès	5
4	Racing	5–1	Käerjéng	6	4′ Home
4	Racing		Atert	7
4	Racing		Résidence Walferdange	8
4	Racing		Hostert	9
4	Racing	5–1	Esch	10	29′ Home
4	Racing		Dudelange	11
4	Racing		Rumelange	12
4	Racing	2–2	Rosport	13	18′ Away
4	Racing		Etzella	14
4	Racing		Wiltz	15
4	Racing	5–0	Swift	16	51′ Home

Wiltz

Away · National Division

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Strassen		Wiltz	15
2	Differdange		Wiltz	15
3	Mondorf		Wiltz	15
4	Racing		Wiltz	15
5	Progrès		Wiltz	15
6	Käerjéng		Wiltz	15
7	Atert	4–2	Wiltz	15	13′ Home
8	Résidence Walferdange		Wiltz	15
9	Hostert		Wiltz	15
10	Esch	5–1	Wiltz	15	5′ Home
11	Dudelange		Wiltz	15
12	Rumelange		Wiltz	15
13	Rosport	4–0	Wiltz	15	25′ Home
14	Etzella		Wiltz	15
15 · Wiltz
16	Swift	2–7	Wiltz	15	17′ Away

Racing Home Wiltz Away

Wins

75%

25%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

100%

Over 3.5

100%

Both teams scored

75%

Clean sheets

25%

0%

Scores first

75%

25%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National Division · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Racing

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	2.50	1.75	2.12
Draws	25.0%	25.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	4.25	1.00	2.62
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Total goals / match	5.25	2.00	3.62
Failed to score	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	50.0%	25.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 3	67%
Scores first → wins	3 of 3	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	2	1
31–45	6	0
46–60	3	0
61–75	3	2
76–90	2	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Wiltz

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	0.25	0.75	0.50
Draws	25.0%	0.0%	12.5%
Goals scored / match	1.00	2.50	1.75
Goals conceded / match	1.75	3.75	2.75
Total goals / match	2.75	6.25	4.50
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	12.5%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	0.0%	12.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	2
16–30	2	2
31–45	4	1
46–60	1	2
61–75	0	4
76–90	3	4

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Racing	Draw	Wiltz	How it works
Strength (Elo)	67.4%	7.1%	25.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	65.4%	8.3%	5.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

3.94–1.09 Model expected goals

67.1% Probability of over 2.5 goals

51.3% Both teams to score

3-1 Most likely score, at 7.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

3-17.3%

4-17.2%

3-06.7%

4-06.6%

5-15.6%

2-15.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Racing	Wiltz	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1553	1444	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	37	-54	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1499	1496	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Racing	1.12	1.50	0.38	0.62
Wiltz	0.88	0.88	1.12	1.62

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Racing	12%	12%	0%	12%	62%
Wiltz	0%	0%	12%	38%	50%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.50 Racing at home, 4 matches

0.75 Wiltz away, 4 matches

67d Days of rest for Racing

67d Days of rest for Wiltz

— Manager of Racing

— Manager of Wiltz

0 Matches for Racing in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Wiltz in the last 14 days

7 Points for Racing behind the leaders, and 12 above the relegation zone

20 Points for Wiltz behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

3.44 League goals per match

9.4% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Racing, the right bar represents Wiltz.

On the ball

20 matches

5.57

corners

4.2

—

fouls

—

2.5

yellow cards

2.71

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Racing	DWWDLWWW	2.12	2.62–1.00	1D
Wiltz	LLLLLLWD	0.50	1.75–2.75	6L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Racing	3	4	1	0	1
Wiltz	1	1	6	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Racing

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Wiltz

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.