Progrès

Progrès

VS Scheduled Sunday 29 Nov 202615:00

Luxembourg 26/27 National Division · Matchday 14

Rosport

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-16	26/27	Progrès0–0Racing
2026-09-12	26/27	Wiltz1–2Progrès
2026-09-06	26/27	Progrès3–0Rumelange
2026-08-30	26/27	Mondorf2–1Progrès
2026-08-22	26/27	Progrès0–1Strassen
2026-08-16	26/27	Atert0–4Progrès
2026-08-09	26/27	Résidence Walferdange0–1Progrès
2026-08-01	26/27	Progrès2–1Esch

Rosport

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-16	26/27	Rosport1–1Etzella
2026-09-11	26/27	Käerjéng5–0Rosport
2026-09-05	26/27	Rosport0–2Hostert
2026-08-30	26/27	Racing2–2Rosport
2026-08-23	26/27	Rosport4–0Wiltz
2026-08-16	26/27	Rumelange3–2Rosport
2026-08-09	26/27	Rosport2–3Mondorf
2026-08-04	26/27	Strassen4–0Rosport

Progrès Rosport

Wins

62%

12%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

75%

Both teams scored

38%

50%

Clean sheets

50%

12%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Progrès

Home · National Division

Home			Away		1st goal
5	Progrès	0–1	Strassen	1	70′ Away
5	Progrès		Differdange	2
5	Progrès		Mondorf	3
5	Progrès	0–0	Racing	4	–
5 · Progrès
5	Progrès		Käerjéng	6
5	Progrès		Atert	7
5	Progrès		Résidence Walferdange	8
5	Progrès		Hostert	9
5	Progrès	2–1	Esch	10	6′ Away
5	Progrès		Dudelange	11
5	Progrès	3–0	Rumelange	12	20′ Home
5	Progrès		Rosport	13
5	Progrès		Etzella	14
5	Progrès		Wiltz	15
5	Progrès		Swift	16

Rosport

Away · National Division

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Strassen	4–0	Rosport	13	9′ Home
2	Differdange		Rosport	13
3	Mondorf		Rosport	13
4	Racing	2–2	Rosport	13	18′ Away
5	Progrès		Rosport	13
6	Käerjéng	5–0	Rosport	13	1′ Home
7	Atert		Rosport	13
8	Résidence Walferdange		Rosport	13
9	Hostert		Rosport	13
10	Esch		Rosport	13
11	Dudelange		Rosport	13
12	Rumelange	3–2	Rosport	13	34′ Home
13 · Rosport
14	Etzella		Rosport	13
15	Wiltz		Rosport	13
16	Swift		Rosport	13

Progrès Home Rosport Away

Wins

50%

0%

Over 1.5

50%

100%

Over 2.5

50%

100%

Over 3.5

0%

100%

Both teams scored

25%

50%

Clean sheets

50%

0%

Scores first

25%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

National Division · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Progrès

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.75	2.25	2.00
Draws	25.0%	0.0%	12.5%
Goals scored / match	1.25	2.00	1.62
Goals conceded / match	0.50	0.75	0.62
Total goals / match	1.75	2.75	2.25
Failed to score	50.0%	0.0%	25.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	25.0%	37.5%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 2	50%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	3	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Rosport

8 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away4 matches	Overall8 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.25	0.62
Draws	25.0%	25.0%	25.0%
Goals scored / match	1.75	1.00	1.38
Goals conceded / match	1.50	3.50	2.50
Total goals / match	3.25	4.50	3.88
Failed to score	25.0%	50.0%	37.5%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	0.0%	25.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	4
16–30	1	2
31–45	0	5
46–60	1	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	1	3

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Progrès	Draw	Rosport	How it works
Strength (Elo)	65.1%	7.5%	27.4%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	70.8%	17.3%	9.3%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.22–0.64 Model expected goals

51.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

41.1% Both teams to score

2-0 Most likely score, at 14.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-014.1%

1-012.7%

3-010.4%

2-19.1%

1-18.2%

3-16.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Progrès	Rosport	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1543	1453	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	35	-32	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1513	1498	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Progrès	0.50	1.12	0.12	0.50
Rosport	0.38	1.00	2.00	0.50

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Progrès	12%	25%	0%	50%	12%
Rosport	0%	0%	25%	0%	75%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.75 Progrès at home, 4 matches

0.25 Rosport away, 4 matches

74d Days of rest for Progrès

74d Days of rest for Rosport

— Manager of Progrès

— Manager of Rosport

0 Matches for Progrès in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Rosport in the last 14 days

8 Points for Progrès behind the leaders, and 11 above the relegation zone

19 Points for Rosport behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

3.44 League goals per match

9.4% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Progrès, the right bar represents Rosport.

On the ball

20 matches

2.5

corners

4.17

—

fouls

12.0

2.5

yellow cards

2.67

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Progrès	DWWLLWWW	2.00	1.62–0.62	1D
Rosport	DLLDWLLL	0.62	1.38–2.50	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Progrès	4	3	1	1	0
Rosport	1	0	7	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Progrès

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Rosport

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.