Balzan

Balzan

VS Scheduled Saturday 17 Oct 202617:00

Malta 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 8

Zabbar

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Balzan0–0Sliema
2026-09-13	26/27	Valletta2–2Balzan
2026-09-05	26/27	Balzan3–0Birzebbuga
2026-08-29	26/27	Balzan2–1Gzira Utd
2026-08-23	26/27	Mosta2–1Balzan
2026-08-14	26/27	Balzan1–1Marsaxlokk

Zabbar

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Zabbar0–2Birkirkara
2026-09-14	26/27	Gzira Utd0–0Zabbar
2026-09-06	26/27	Zabbar1–2Hamrun
2026-08-28	26/27	Hibernians1–1Zabbar
2026-08-22	26/27	Zabbar1–0Birzebbuga
2026-08-16	26/27	Valletta4–2Zabbar

Balzan Zabbar

Wins

33%

17%

Over 2.5 goals

67%

33%

Both teams scored

67%

50%

Clean sheets

33%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Balzan

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
8	Balzan		Floriana	1
8	Balzan		Valletta	2
8	Balzan	1–1	Marsaxlokk	3	37′ Away
8	Balzan		Birkirkara	4
8	Balzan		Hamrun	5
8	Balzan		Mosta	6
8	Balzan	0–0	Sliema	7	–
8 · Balzan
8	Balzan		Zabbar	9
8	Balzan		Hibernians	10
8	Balzan	2–1	Gzira Utd	11	—
8	Balzan	3–0	Birzebbuga	12	13′ Home

Zabbar

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Floriana		Zabbar	9
2	Valletta	4–2	Zabbar	9	17′ Away
3	Marsaxlokk		Zabbar	9
4	Birkirkara		Zabbar	9
5	Hamrun		Zabbar	9
6	Mosta		Zabbar	9
7	Sliema		Zabbar	9
8	Balzan		Zabbar	9
9 · Zabbar
10	Hibernians	1–1	Zabbar	9	3′ Home
11	Gzira Utd	0–0	Zabbar	9	–
12	Birzebbuga		Zabbar	9

Balzan Home Zabbar Away

Wins

50%

0%

Over 1.5

75%

67%

Over 2.5

50%

33%

Over 3.5

0%

33%

Both teams scored

50%

67%

Clean sheets

50%

33%

Scores first

N/A

33%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Balzan

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.00	0.50	1.50
Draws	50.0%	50.0%	50.0%
Goals scored / match	1.50	1.50	1.50
Goals conceded / match	0.50	2.00	1.00
Total goals / match	2.00	3.50	2.50
Failed to score	25.0%	0.0%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	0.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Zabbar

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.67	0.83
Draws	0.0%	66.7%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	0.67	1.00	0.83
Goals conceded / match	1.33	1.67	1.50
Total goals / match	2.00	2.67	2.33
Failed to score	33.3%	33.3%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	66.7%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	1
76–90	1	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Balzan	Draw	Zabbar	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	65.6%	21.9%	11.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.79–0.58 Model expected goals

41.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

36.3% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 16.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-016.7%

2-014.9%

1-19.7%

0-09.3%

3-08.9%

2-18.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Balzan	Zabbar	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Balzan	0.67	0.83	0.67	0.33
Zabbar	0.50	0.33	0.67	0.83

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Balzan	17%	0%	17%	50%	17%
Zabbar	17%	17%	33%	17%	17%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.00 Balzan at home, 4 matches

0.67 Zabbar away, 3 matches

27d Days of rest for Balzan

29d Days of rest for Zabbar

— Manager of Balzan

— Manager of Zabbar

0 Matches for Balzan in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Zabbar in the last 14 days

4 Points for Balzan behind the leaders, and 4 above the relegation zone

8 Points for Zabbar behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.71 League goals per match

22.9% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Balzan, the right bar represents Zabbar.

On the ball

20 matches

4.83

corners

3.0

15.25

fouls

7.0

3.0

yellow cards

3.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Balzan	DDWWLD	1.50	1.50–1.00	2D
Zabbar	LDLDWL	0.83	0.83–1.50	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Balzan	2	2	2	0	1
Zabbar	1	3	2	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Balzan

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Zabbar

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.