Valletta

Valletta

VS Scheduled Sunday 25 Oct 202614:30

Malta 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 10

Hamrun

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Birzebbuga0–3Valletta
2026-09-13	26/27	Valletta2–2Balzan
2026-09-02	26/27	Hibernians0–2Valletta
2026-08-28	26/27	Valletta1–2Marsaxlokk
2026-08-23	26/27	Gzira Utd0–3Valletta
2026-08-16	26/27	Valletta4–2Zabbar

Hamrun

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Hamrun4–1Marsaxlokk
2026-09-11	26/27	Birzebbuga0–2Hamrun
2026-09-06	26/27	Zabbar1–2Hamrun
2026-08-29	26/27	Hamrun1–1Floriana
2026-08-22	26/27	Birkirkara1–0Hamrun
2026-08-17	26/27	Hamrun0–2Mosta

Valletta Hamrun

Wins

67%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

83%

33%

Both teams scored

50%

Clean sheets

50%

17%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Valletta

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
2	Valletta		Floriana	1
2 · Valletta
2	Valletta	1–2	Marsaxlokk	3	11′ Away
2	Valletta		Birkirkara	4
2	Valletta		Hamrun	5
2	Valletta		Mosta	6
2	Valletta		Sliema	7
2	Valletta	2–2	Balzan	8	6′ Away
2	Valletta	4–2	Zabbar	9	17′ Away
2	Valletta		Hibernians	10
2	Valletta		Gzira Utd	11
2	Valletta		Birzebbuga	12

Hamrun

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Floriana		Hamrun	5
2	Valletta		Hamrun	5
3	Marsaxlokk		Hamrun	5
4	Birkirkara	1–0	Hamrun	5	88′ Home
5 · Hamrun
6	Mosta		Hamrun	5
7	Sliema		Hamrun	5
8	Balzan		Hamrun	5
9	Zabbar	1–2	Hamrun	5	16′ Home
10	Hibernians		Hamrun	5
11	Gzira Utd		Hamrun	5
12	Birzebbuga	0–2	Hamrun	5	42′ Away

Valletta Home Hamrun Away

Wins

33%

67%

Over 1.5

100%

67%

Over 2.5

100%

33%

Over 3.5

67%

0%

Both teams scored

100%

33%

Clean sheets

0%

33%

Scores first

0%

33%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Valletta

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.33	3.00	2.17
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	2.33	2.67	2.50
Goals conceded / match	2.00	0.00	1.00
Total goals / match	4.33	2.67	3.50
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	33.3%	16.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	1 of 3	33%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	3
16–30	0	1
31–45	2	2
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	4	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Hamrun

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.33	2.00	1.67
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	1.67	1.33	1.50
Goals conceded / match	1.33	0.67	1.00
Total goals / match	3.00	2.00	2.50
Failed to score	33.3%	33.3%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	66.7%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 2	50%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	1
31–45	1	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Valletta	Draw	Hamrun	How it works
Goals (Poisson)	58.0%	21.3%	19.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.99–1.03 Model expected goals

56.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

54.4% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 10.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-110.0%

2-110.0%

1-09.7%

2-09.7%

3-16.6%

3-06.4%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Valletta	Hamrun	How to read it

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Valletta	0.67	1.83	1.00	0.00
Hamrun	0.67	0.83	0.50	0.50

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Valletta	0%	0%	17%	50%	33%
Hamrun	0%	17%	50%	17%	17%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.33 Valletta at home, 3 matches

2.00 Hamrun away, 3 matches

36d Days of rest for Valletta

37d Days of rest for Hamrun

— Manager of Valletta

— Manager of Hamrun

0 Matches for Valletta in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Hamrun in the last 14 days

0 Points for Valletta behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone

3 Points for Hamrun behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

2.71 League goals per match

22.9% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Valletta, the right bar represents Hamrun.

On the ball

20 matches

5.8

corners

6.33

5.25

fouls

8.0

2.6

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Valletta	WDWLWW	2.17	2.50–1.00	1W
Hamrun	WWWDLL	1.67	1.50–1.00	3W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Valletta	2	1	3	1	0
Hamrun	2	3	1	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Valletta

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Hamrun

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.