Pardubice

Pardubice

VS Scheduled Saturday 17 Oct 202614:00

Czechia 26/27 Czech First League · Matchday 11

Zlín

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Pardubice2–1Bohemians '05
2026-09-13	26/27	Baník1–2Pardubice
2026-09-05	26/27	Slovácko0–0Pardubice
2026-08-29	26/27	Pardubice1–2Líšeň
2026-08-23	26/27	Sigma Olomouc3–1Pardubice
2026-08-15	26/27	Pardubice1–1Mladá Boleslav
2026-08-09	26/27	Slavia Praga2–1Pardubice
2026-08-02	26/27	Pardubice0–2Jablonec

Zlín

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Jablonec1–1Zlín
2026-09-13	26/27	Zlín1–2Králové
2026-09-06	26/27	Zlín1–3Teplice
2026-08-29	26/27	FCZ Brno3–2Zlín
2026-08-22	26/27	Zlín0–1Slov Liberec
2026-08-15	26/27	Viktoria Plzeň3–2Zlín
2026-08-08	26/27	Zlín0–2Bohemians '05
2026-07-31	26/27	Sparta Praga3–1Zlín

Pardubice Zlín

Wins

25%

0%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

Both teams scored

75%

Clean sheets

12%

0%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Pardubice

Home · Czech First League

Home			Away		1st goal
13	Pardubice		Slavia Praga	1
13	Pardubice		Slov Liberec	2
13	Pardubice	1–1	Mladá Boleslav	3	10′ Home
13	Pardubice		Sigma Olomouc	4
13	Pardubice		Teplice	5
13	Pardubice		FCZ Brno	6
13	Pardubice		Sparta Praga	7
13	Pardubice	0–2	Jablonec	8	—
13	Pardubice		Králové	9
13	Pardubice		Viktoria Plzeň	10
13	Pardubice		Baník	11
13	Pardubice	2–1	Bohemians '05	12	2′ Home
13 · Pardubice
13	Pardubice	1–2	Líšeň	14	16′ Home
13	Pardubice		Slovácko	15
13	Pardubice		Zlín	16

Zlín

Away · Czech First League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Slavia Praga		Zlín	16
2	Slov Liberec		Zlín	16
3	Mladá Boleslav		Zlín	16
4	Sigma Olomouc		Zlín	16
5	Teplice		Zlín	16
6	FCZ Brno	3–2	Zlín	16	—
7	Sparta Praga	3–1	Zlín	16	14′ Home
8	Jablonec	1–1	Zlín	16	3′ Away
9	Králové		Zlín	16
10	Viktoria Plzeň	3–2	Zlín	16	—
11	Baník		Zlín	16
12	Bohemians '05		Zlín	16
13	Pardubice		Zlín	16
14	Líšeň		Zlín	16
15	Slovácko		Zlín	16
16 · Zlín

Pardubice Home Zlín Away

Wins

25%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

50%

75%

Over 3.5

0%

75%

Both teams scored

75%

100%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

75%

N/A

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Czech First League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Pardubice

9 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away5 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	1.00	0.80	0.89
Draws	25.0%	20.0%	22.2%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Goals conceded / match	1.50	1.60	1.56
Total goals / match	2.50	2.60	2.56
Failed to score	25.0%	20.0%	22.2%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	20.0%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 3	67%
Scores first → wins	1 of 3	33%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Zlín

9 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away4 matches	Overall9 matches
Points / match	0.00	0.25	0.11
Draws	0.0%	25.0%	11.1%
Goals scored / match	0.40	1.50	0.89
Goals conceded / match	1.80	2.50	2.11
Total goals / match	2.20	4.00	3.00
Failed to score	60.0%	0.0%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	25.0%	44.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 3/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Pardubice	Draw	Zlín	How it works
Strength (Elo)	53.7%	18.5%	27.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	44.1%	26.9%	28.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.39–1.06 Model expected goals

43.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

48.8% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 12.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-112.7%

1-012.0%

0-19.2%

2-18.8%

0-08.7%

2-08.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Pardubice	Zlín	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1470	1415	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-22	-73	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1497	1501	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Pardubice	0.44	0.56	0.56	1.00
Zlín	0.33	0.56	0.78	1.33

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Pardubice	11%	0%	22%	56%	11%
Zlín	0%	22%	22%	11%	44%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Pardubice at home, 4 matches

0.25 Zlín away, 4 matches

28d Days of rest for Pardubice

27d Days of rest for Zlín

— Manager of Pardubice

— Manager of Zlín

0 Matches for Pardubice in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Zlín in the last 14 days

15 Points for Pardubice behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

22 Points for Zlín behind the leaders, and -7 above the relegation zone

2.83 League goals per match

21.1% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Pardubice, the right bar represents Zlín.

On the ball

20 matches

4.12

corners

4.78

15.33

fouls

13.78

2.2

yellow cards

2.4

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Pardubice	WWDLLDLLL	0.89	1.00–1.56	2W
Zlín	DLLLLLLLL	0.11	0.89–2.11	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Pardubice	3	3	3	0	2
Zlín	1	3	5	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Pardubice

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Zlín

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.