OFK Belgrado

OFK Belgrado

VS Scheduled Saturday 24 Oct 202601:00

Serbia 26/27 Super Liga · Matchday 13

Estrela Vermelha

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	OFK Belgrado3–5Radnicki 1923
2026-09-13	26/27	Radnički Niš3–1OFK Belgrado
2026-09-07	26/27	OFK Belgrado1–1FK IMT
2026-08-31	26/27	Partizan3–1OFK Belgrado
2026-08-22	26/27	OFK Belgrado1–0Zemun
2026-08-15	26/27	Čukarički2–0OFK Belgrado
2026-08-09	26/27	OFK Belgrado2–2Železničar P
2026-08-01	26/27	Novi Pazar1–4OFK Belgrado

Estrela Vermelha

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Estrela Vermelha3–0Radnički Niš
2026-09-17	26/27	Železničar P1–2Estrela Vermelha
2026-09-13	26/27	FK IMT0–1Estrela Vermelha
2026-09-10	26/27	Radnik0–0Estrela Vermelha
2026-09-06	26/27	Estrela Vermelha2–1Partizan
2026-08-30	26/27	Zemun0–2Estrela Vermelha
2026-08-23	26/27	Estrela Vermelha4–0Čukarički
2026-08-08	26/27	Estrela Vermelha2–0Novi Pazar

OFK Belgrado Estrela Vermelha

Wins

25%

88%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

50%

Both teams scored

75%

25%

Clean sheets

12%

75%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

OFK Belgrado

Home · Super Liga

Home			Away		1st goal
10	OFK Belgrado		Estrela Vermelha	1
10	OFK Belgrado		Vojvodina	2
10	OFK Belgrado	3–5	Radnicki 1923	3	6′ Home
10	OFK Belgrado		Mladost Lučani	4
10	OFK Belgrado	1–1	FK IMT	5	—
10	OFK Belgrado	2–2	Železničar P	6	6′ Away
10	OFK Belgrado	0–0	Radnik	7	–
10	OFK Belgrado		Novi Pazar	8
10	OFK Belgrado		Čukarički	9
10 · OFK Belgrado
10	OFK Belgrado		Partizan	11
10	OFK Belgrado		Radnički Niš	12
10	OFK Belgrado		Mačva	13
10	OFK Belgrado	1–0	Zemun	14	29′ Home

Estrela Vermelha

Away · Super Liga

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Estrela Vermelha
2	Vojvodina		Estrela Vermelha	1
3	Radnicki 1923		Estrela Vermelha	1
4	Mladost Lučani		Estrela Vermelha	1
5	FK IMT	0–1	Estrela Vermelha	1	31′ Away
6	Železničar P	1–2	Estrela Vermelha	1	13′ Away
7	Radnik	0–0	Estrela Vermelha	1	–
8	Novi Pazar		Estrela Vermelha	1
9	Čukarički		Estrela Vermelha	1
10	OFK Belgrado		Estrela Vermelha	1
11	Partizan		Estrela Vermelha	1
12	Radnički Niš		Estrela Vermelha	1
13	Mačva		Estrela Vermelha	1
14	Zemun	0–2	Estrela Vermelha	1	57′ Away

OFK Belgrado Home Estrela Vermelha Away

Wins

20%

75%

Over 1.5

60%

50%

Over 2.5

40%

25%

Over 3.5

40%

0%

Both teams scored

60%

25%

Clean sheets

40%

75%

Scores first

60%

75%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Super Liga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

OFK Belgrado

10 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away5 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	1.20	0.60	0.90
Draws	60.0%	0.0%	30.0%
Goals scored / match	1.40	1.20	1.30
Goals conceded / match	1.60	2.60	2.10
Total goals / match	3.00	3.80	3.40
Failed to score	20.0%	40.0%	30.0%
Under 2.5 goals	60.0%	20.0%	40.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 3	67%
Scores first → wins	1 of 3	33%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Estrela Vermelha

10 matches

Goals & results	Home6 matches	Away4 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.50	2.80
Draws	0.0%	25.0%	10.0%
Goals scored / match	3.17	1.25	2.40
Goals conceded / match	0.33	0.25	0.30
Total goals / match	3.50	1.50	2.70
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	10.0%
Under 2.5 goals	16.7%	75.0%	40.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 3	33%
Scores first → wins	3 of 3	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	1	1
46–60	1	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	2	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	OFK Belgrado	Draw	Estrela Vermelha	How it works
Strength (Elo)	28.5%	24.6%	46.9%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	8.2%	15.2%	72.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.68–2.46 Model expected goals

56.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

43.0% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 13.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-213.1%

0-310.8%

0-110.7%

1-28.9%

1-37.3%

1-17.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	OFK Belgrado	Estrela Vermelha	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1457	1603	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-27	87	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1500	1500	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
OFK Belgrado	0.70	0.60	0.80	1.30
Estrela Vermelha	1.30	1.10	0.30	0.00

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
OFK Belgrado	10%	10%	20%	0%	60%
Estrela Vermelha	10%	10%	20%	30%	30%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.20 OFK Belgrado at home, 5 matches

2.50 Estrela Vermelha away, 4 matches

35d Days of rest for OFK Belgrado

34d Days of rest for Estrela Vermelha

— Manager of OFK Belgrado

— Manager of Estrela Vermelha

0 Matches for OFK Belgrado in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Estrela Vermelha in the last 14 days

19 Points for OFK Belgrado behind the leaders, and 1 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Estrela Vermelha behind the leaders, and 20 above the relegation zone

2.68 League goals per match

26.5% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents OFK Belgrado, the right bar represents Estrela Vermelha.

On the ball

20 matches

3.0

corners

4.33

14.8

fouls

10.8

2.2

yellow cards

2.88

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
OFK Belgrado	LLDLWLDWDL	0.90	1.30–2.10	2L
Estrela Vermelha	WWWDWWWWWW	2.80	2.40–0.30	3W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
OFK Belgrado	3	3	4	0	1
Estrela Vermelha	7	3	0	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

OFK Belgrado

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Estrela Vermelha

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.