Mladost Lučani

Mladost Lučani

VS Scheduled Saturday 20 Mar 202700:00

Serbia 26/27 Super Liga · Matchday 25

Estrela Vermelha

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Mačva1–2Mladost Lučani
2026-09-12	26/27	Radnicki 19235–0Mladost Lučani
2026-09-05	26/27	Mladost Lučani1–0Radnički Niš
2026-08-30	26/27	FK IMT2–0Mladost Lučani
2026-08-23	26/27	Mladost Lučani3–1Partizan
2026-08-16	26/27	Zemun0–1Mladost Lučani
2026-08-09	26/27	Mladost Lučani2–2Čukarički
2026-08-03	26/27	Železničar P0–0Mladost Lučani

Estrela Vermelha

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Estrela Vermelha3–0Radnički Niš
2026-09-17	26/27	Železničar P1–2Estrela Vermelha
2026-09-13	26/27	FK IMT0–1Estrela Vermelha
2026-09-10	26/27	Radnik0–0Estrela Vermelha
2026-09-06	26/27	Estrela Vermelha2–1Partizan
2026-08-30	26/27	Zemun0–2Estrela Vermelha
2026-08-23	26/27	Estrela Vermelha4–0Čukarički
2026-08-08	26/27	Estrela Vermelha2–0Novi Pazar

Mladost Lučani Estrela Vermelha

Wins

50%

88%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Both teams scored

38%

25%

Clean sheets

38%

75%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Mladost Lučani

Home · Super Liga

Home			Away		1st goal
4	Mladost Lučani		Estrela Vermelha	1
4	Mladost Lučani		Vojvodina	2
4	Mladost Lučani		Radnicki 1923	3
4 · Mladost Lučani
4	Mladost Lučani		FK IMT	5
4	Mladost Lučani		Železničar P	6
4	Mladost Lučani		Radnik	7
4	Mladost Lučani	0–0	Novi Pazar	8	–
4	Mladost Lučani	2–2	Čukarički	9	18′ Away
4	Mladost Lučani		OFK Belgrado	10
4	Mladost Lučani	3–1	Partizan	11	12′ Home
4	Mladost Lučani	1–0	Radnički Niš	12	12′ Home
4	Mladost Lučani		Mačva	13
4	Mladost Lučani		Zemun	14

Estrela Vermelha

Away · Super Liga

Home			Away		1st goal
1 · Estrela Vermelha
2	Vojvodina		Estrela Vermelha	1
3	Radnicki 1923		Estrela Vermelha	1
4	Mladost Lučani		Estrela Vermelha	1
5	FK IMT	0–1	Estrela Vermelha	1	31′ Away
6	Železničar P	1–2	Estrela Vermelha	1	13′ Away
7	Radnik	0–0	Estrela Vermelha	1	–
8	Novi Pazar		Estrela Vermelha	1
9	Čukarički		Estrela Vermelha	1
10	OFK Belgrado		Estrela Vermelha	1
11	Partizan		Estrela Vermelha	1
12	Radnički Niš		Estrela Vermelha	1
13	Mačva		Estrela Vermelha	1
14	Zemun	0–2	Estrela Vermelha	1	57′ Away

Mladost Lučani Home Estrela Vermelha Away

Wins

50%

75%

Over 1.5

50%

Over 2.5

50%

25%

Over 3.5

50%

0%

Both teams scored

50%

25%

Clean sheets

50%

75%

Scores first

50%

75%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Super Liga · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Mladost Lučani

10 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away6 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	2.00	1.33	1.60
Draws	50.0%	33.3%	40.0%
Goals scored / match	1.50	0.67	1.00
Goals conceded / match	0.75	1.50	1.20
Total goals / match	2.25	2.17	2.20
Failed to score	25.0%	50.0%	40.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	66.7%	60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 2	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	2	0
16–30	0	1
31–45	1	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	2	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Estrela Vermelha

10 matches

Goals & results	Home6 matches	Away4 matches	Overall10 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.50	2.80
Draws	0.0%	25.0%	10.0%
Goals scored / match	3.17	1.25	2.40
Goals conceded / match	0.33	0.25	0.30
Total goals / match	3.50	1.50	2.70
Failed to score	0.0%	25.0%	10.0%
Under 2.5 goals	16.7%	75.0%	40.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 3	33%
Scores first → wins	3 of 3	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 4/4 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	1	1
46–60	1	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	2	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Mladost Lučani	Draw	Estrela Vermelha	How it works
Strength (Elo)	33.5%	26.2%	40.3%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	8.2%	15.2%	72.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.68–2.46 Model expected goals

56.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

43.0% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 13.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-213.1%

0-310.8%

0-110.7%

1-28.9%

1-37.3%

1-17.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Mladost Lučani	Estrela Vermelha	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1512	1603	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	10	87	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1496	1500	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Mladost Lučani	0.40	0.60	0.60	0.60
Estrela Vermelha	1.30	1.10	0.30	0.00

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Mladost Lučani	20%	20%	20%	10%	30%
Estrela Vermelha	10%	10%	20%	30%	30%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.00 Mladost Lučani at home, 4 matches

2.50 Estrela Vermelha away, 4 matches

181d Days of rest for Mladost Lučani

181d Days of rest for Estrela Vermelha

— Manager of Mladost Lučani

— Manager of Estrela Vermelha

0 Matches for Mladost Lučani in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Estrela Vermelha in the last 14 days

12 Points for Mladost Lučani behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone

0 Points for Estrela Vermelha behind the leaders, and 20 above the relegation zone

2.68 League goals per match

26.5% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Mladost Lučani, the right bar represents Estrela Vermelha.

On the ball

20 matches

4.43

corners

4.33

14.0

fouls

10.8

2.75

yellow cards

2.88

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Mladost Lučani	WLWLWWDDDD	1.60	1.00–1.20	1W
Estrela Vermelha	WWWDWWWWWW	2.80	2.40–0.30	3W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Mladost Lučani	3	3	4	1	0
Estrela Vermelha	7	3	0	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Mladost Lučani

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Estrela Vermelha

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.