Zorya

Zorya

VS Scheduled Saturday 17 Oct 202601:00

Ukraine 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 9

Chornomorets

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Zorya0–2Dínamo Kiev
2026-09-13	26/27	Bukovyna1–1Zorya
2026-09-06	26/27	Veres Rivne1–1Zorya
2026-08-30	26/27	Zorya0–3Metalist 1925
2026-08-17	26/27	Polessya1–2Zorya
2026-08-09	26/27	Zorya1–3Hirnyk
2026-07-31	26/27	Zorya2–0Kolos

Chornomorets

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Chornomorets1–1Obolon' Kyiv
2026-09-14	26/27	Shakhtar2–0Chornomorets
2026-09-04	26/27	Chornomorets0–0Livyi Bereh
2026-08-30	26/27	Chornomorets1–0Hirnyk
2026-08-16	26/27	LNZ Cherkasy2–0Chornomorets
2026-08-02	26/27	Chornomorets1–2Polessya

Zorya Chornomorets

Wins

29%

17%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

17%

Both teams scored

57%

33%

Clean sheets

14%

33%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Zorya

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
8	Zorya		Shakhtar	1
8	Zorya		Polessya	2
8	Zorya		Karpaty	3
8	Zorya	0–2	Dínamo Kiev	4	82′ Away
8	Zorya	0–3	Metalist 1925	5	14′ Away
8	Zorya		Epitsentr	6
8	Zorya		LNZ Cherkasy	7
8 · Zorya
8	Zorya		Livyi Bereh	9
8	Zorya		Bukovyna	10
8	Zorya		Veres Rivne	11
8	Zorya	1–3	Hirnyk	12	—
8	Zorya	2–0	Kolos	13	69′ Home
8	Zorya		Chornomorets	14
8	Zorya		Obolon' Kyiv	15
8	Zorya		Kudrivka	16

Chornomorets

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Shakhtar	2–0	Chornomorets	14	12′ Home
2	Polessya		Chornomorets	14
3	Karpaty		Chornomorets	14
4	Dínamo Kiev		Chornomorets	14
5	Metalist 1925		Chornomorets	14
6	Epitsentr		Chornomorets	14
7	LNZ Cherkasy	2–0	Chornomorets	14	41′ Home
8	Zorya		Chornomorets	14
9	Livyi Bereh		Chornomorets	14
10	Bukovyna		Chornomorets	14
11	Veres Rivne		Chornomorets	14
12	Hirnyk		Chornomorets	14
13	Kolos		Chornomorets	14
14 · Chornomorets
15	Obolon' Kyiv		Chornomorets	14
16	Kudrivka		Chornomorets	14

Zorya Home Chornomorets Away

Wins

25%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

50%

0%

Over 3.5

25%

0%

Both teams scored

25%

0%

Clean sheets

25%

0%

Scores first

50%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Zorya

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	0.75	1.67	1.14
Draws	0.0%	66.7%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	0.75	1.33	1.00
Goals conceded / match	2.00	1.00	1.57
Total goals / match	2.75	2.33	2.57
Failed to score	50.0%	0.0%	28.6%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	66.7%	57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Chornomorets

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.25	0.00	0.83
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	0.75	0.00	0.50
Goals conceded / match	0.75	2.00	1.17
Total goals / match	1.50	2.00	1.67
Failed to score	25.0%	100.0%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	100.0%	83.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	2
46–60	0	1
61–75	0	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Zorya	Draw	Chornomorets	How it works
Strength (Elo)	41.3%	29.6%	29.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	34.4%	33.9%	31.7%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.88–0.83 Model expected goals

24.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals

33.1% Both teams to score

0-0 Most likely score, at 18.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-018.0%

1-015.9%

0-115.0%

1-113.2%

2-07.0%

0-26.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Zorya	Chornomorets	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1472	1471	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-40	-17	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1500	1497	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Zorya	0.43	0.57	0.43	1.14
Chornomorets	0.33	0.17	0.67	0.50

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Zorya	0%	0%	57%	29%	14%
Chornomorets	17%	17%	50%	17%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.75 Zorya at home, 4 matches

0.00 Chornomorets away, 2 matches

28d Days of rest for Zorya

29d Days of rest for Chornomorets

— Manager of Zorya

— Manager of Chornomorets

0 Matches for Zorya in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Chornomorets in the last 14 days

10 Points for Zorya behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

13 Points for Chornomorets behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.27 League goals per match

30.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Zorya, the right bar represents Chornomorets.

On the ball

20 matches

4.14

corners

3.0

4.75

fouls

9.0

2.25

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Zorya	LDDLWLW	1.14	1.00–1.57	1L
Chornomorets	DLDWLL	0.83	0.50–1.17	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Zorya	2	3	2	1	2
Chornomorets	1	3	2	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Zorya

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Chornomorets

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.