Polessya

VS Scheduled Saturday 17 Oct 202601:00

Ukraine 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 9

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Polessya1–0Hirnyk
2026-09-13	26/27	Polessya1–0Livyi Bereh
2026-09-04	26/27	Polessya5–1Kudrivka
2026-08-29	26/27	Shakhtar0–2Polessya
2026-08-17	26/27	Polessya1–2Zorya
2026-08-10	26/27	Polessya3–1Metalist 1925
2026-08-02	26/27	Chornomorets1–2Polessya

Dínamo Kiev

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Zorya0–2Dínamo Kiev
2026-09-14	26/27	Dínamo Kiev3–0Epitsentr
2026-09-06	26/27	Dínamo Kiev0–0LNZ Cherkasy
2026-08-31	26/27	Bukovyna3–0Dínamo Kiev
2026-08-16	26/27	Dínamo Kiev2–1Kolos
2026-08-09	26/27	Veres Rivne1–2Dínamo Kiev

Polessya Dínamo Kiev

Wins

86%

67%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

67%

Both teams scored

57%

33%

Clean sheets

43%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Polessya

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
2	Polessya		Shakhtar	1
2 · Polessya
2	Polessya		Karpaty	3
2	Polessya		Dínamo Kiev	4
2	Polessya	3–1	Metalist 1925	5	28′ Home
2	Polessya		Epitsentr	6
2	Polessya		LNZ Cherkasy	7
2	Polessya	1–2	Zorya	8	16′ Home
2	Polessya	1–0	Livyi Bereh	9	—
2	Polessya		Bukovyna	10
2	Polessya		Veres Rivne	11
2	Polessya	1–0	Hirnyk	12	6′ Home
2	Polessya		Kolos	13
2	Polessya		Chornomorets	14
2	Polessya		Obolon' Kyiv	15
2	Polessya	5–1	Kudrivka	16	—

Dínamo Kiev

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Shakhtar		Dínamo Kiev	4
2	Polessya		Dínamo Kiev	4
3	Karpaty		Dínamo Kiev	4
4 · Dínamo Kiev
5	Metalist 1925		Dínamo Kiev	4
6	Epitsentr		Dínamo Kiev	4
7	LNZ Cherkasy		Dínamo Kiev	4
8	Zorya	0–2	Dínamo Kiev	4	82′ Away
9	Livyi Bereh		Dínamo Kiev	4
10	Bukovyna	3–0	Dínamo Kiev	4	—
11	Veres Rivne	1–2	Dínamo Kiev	4	38′ Away
12	Hirnyk		Dínamo Kiev	4
13	Kolos		Dínamo Kiev	4
14	Chornomorets		Dínamo Kiev	4
15	Obolon' Kyiv		Dínamo Kiev	4
16	Kudrivka		Dínamo Kiev	4

Polessya Home Dínamo Kiev Away

Wins

80%

67%

Over 1.5

60%

100%

Over 2.5

60%

67%

Over 3.5

40%

0%

Both teams scored

60%

33%

Clean sheets

40%

33%

Scores first

N/A

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Polessya

7 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away2 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	2.40	3.00	2.57
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	2.20	2.00	2.14
Goals conceded / match	0.80	0.50	0.71
Total goals / match	3.00	2.50	2.86
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	50.0%	42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 4/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Dínamo Kiev

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.33	2.00	2.17
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	1.67	1.33	1.50
Goals conceded / match	0.33	1.33	0.83
Total goals / match	2.00	2.67	2.33
Failed to score	33.3%	33.3%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Polessya	Draw	Dínamo Kiev	How it works
Strength (Elo)	44.1%	28.7%	27.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	41.2%	27.0%	31.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.34–1.13 Model expected goals

44.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

49.7% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 12.8%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-112.8%

1-011.3%

0-19.6%

2-18.6%

0-08.5%

2-07.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Polessya	Dínamo Kiev	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1556	1532	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	45	21	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1500	1492	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Polessya	1.14	1.00	0.29	0.43
Dínamo Kiev	0.50	1.00	0.33	0.50

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Polessya	0%	29%	14%	29%	29%
Dínamo Kiev	17%	0%	17%	67%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.40 Polessya at home, 5 matches

2.00 Dínamo Kiev away, 3 matches

29d Days of rest for Polessya

28d Days of rest for Dínamo Kiev

— Manager of Polessya

— Manager of Dínamo Kiev

0 Matches for Polessya in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Dínamo Kiev in the last 14 days

0 Points for Polessya behind the leaders, and 13 above the relegation zone

5 Points for Dínamo Kiev behind the leaders, and 8 above the relegation zone

2.27 League goals per match

30.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Polessya, the right bar represents Dínamo Kiev.

On the ball

20 matches

5.29

corners

6.33

10.75

fouls

10.4

2.0

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Polessya	WWWWLWW	2.57	2.14–0.71	4W
Dínamo Kiev	WWDLWW	2.17	1.50–0.83	2W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Polessya	6	1	0	0	1
Dínamo Kiev	2	3	1	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Polessya

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Dínamo Kiev

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.