Polessya

VS Scheduled Saturday 24 Oct 202601:00

Ukraine 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 10

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Polessya1–0Hirnyk
2026-09-13	26/27	Polessya1–0Livyi Bereh
2026-09-04	26/27	Polessya5–1Kudrivka
2026-08-29	26/27	Shakhtar0–2Polessya
2026-08-17	26/27	Polessya1–2Zorya
2026-08-10	26/27	Polessya3–1Metalist 1925
2026-08-02	26/27	Chornomorets1–2Polessya

Obolon' Kyiv

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Chornomorets1–1Obolon' Kyiv
2026-09-12	26/27	LNZ Cherkasy3–1Obolon' Kyiv
2026-09-05	26/27	Metalist 19255–0Obolon' Kyiv
2026-08-28	26/27	Kolos0–0Obolon' Kyiv
2026-08-15	26/27	Kudrivka0–0Obolon' Kyiv
2026-08-08	26/27	Bukovyna0–0Obolon' Kyiv
2026-08-02	26/27	Epitsentr3–0Obolon' Kyiv

Polessya Obolon' Kyiv

Wins

86%

0%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

43%

Both teams scored

57%

29%

Clean sheets

43%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Polessya

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
2	Polessya		Shakhtar	1
2 · Polessya
2	Polessya		Karpaty	3
2	Polessya		Dínamo Kiev	4
2	Polessya	3–1	Metalist 1925	5	28′ Home
2	Polessya		Epitsentr	6
2	Polessya		LNZ Cherkasy	7
2	Polessya	1–2	Zorya	8	16′ Home
2	Polessya	1–0	Livyi Bereh	9	—
2	Polessya		Bukovyna	10
2	Polessya		Veres Rivne	11
2	Polessya	1–0	Hirnyk	12	6′ Home
2	Polessya		Kolos	13
2	Polessya		Chornomorets	14
2	Polessya		Obolon' Kyiv	15
2	Polessya	5–1	Kudrivka	16	—

Obolon' Kyiv

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Shakhtar		Obolon' Kyiv	15
2	Polessya		Obolon' Kyiv	15
3	Karpaty		Obolon' Kyiv	15
4	Dínamo Kiev		Obolon' Kyiv	15
5	Metalist 1925	5–0	Obolon' Kyiv	15	9′ Home
6	Epitsentr	3–0	Obolon' Kyiv	15	59′ Home
7	LNZ Cherkasy	3–1	Obolon' Kyiv	15	10′ Home
8	Zorya		Obolon' Kyiv	15
9	Livyi Bereh		Obolon' Kyiv	15
10	Bukovyna	0–0	Obolon' Kyiv	15	–
11	Veres Rivne		Obolon' Kyiv	15
12	Hirnyk		Obolon' Kyiv	15
13	Kolos	0–0	Obolon' Kyiv	15	–
14	Chornomorets	1–1	Obolon' Kyiv	15	37′ Home
15 · Obolon' Kyiv
16	Kudrivka	0–0	Obolon' Kyiv	15	–

Polessya Home Obolon' Kyiv Away

Wins

80%

0%

Over 1.5

60%

57%

Over 2.5

60%

43%

Over 3.5

40%

29%

Both teams scored

60%

29%

Clean sheets

40%

43%

Scores first

N/A

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Polessya

7 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away2 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	2.40	3.00	2.57
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	2.20	2.00	2.14
Goals conceded / match	0.80	0.50	0.71
Total goals / match	3.00	2.50	2.86
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	40.0%	50.0%	42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 4/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Obolon' Kyiv

7 matches

Goals & results	Home0 matches	Away7 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	—	0.57	0.57
Draws	—	57.1%	57.1%
Goals scored / match	—	0.29	0.29
Goals conceded / match	—	1.71	1.71
Total goals / match	—	2.00	2.00
Failed to score	—	71.4%	71.4%
Under 2.5 goals	—	57.1%	57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 4	0%

Scoring order known: 7/7 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	5
16–30	0	1
31–45	0	3
46–60	0	1
61–75	1	1
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Polessya	Draw	Obolon' Kyiv	How it works
Strength (Elo)	53.2%	24.5%	22.3%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	80.5%	10.2%	3.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

2.76–0.38 Model expected goals

54.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

27.5% Both teams to score

2-0 Most likely score, at 16.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

2-016.5%

3-015.2%

1-012.0%

4-010.5%

2-16.2%

5-05.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Polessya	Obolon' Kyiv	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1556	1465	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	45	-20	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1500	1491	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Polessya	1.14	1.00	0.29	0.43
Obolon' Kyiv	0.00	0.29	1.29	0.43

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Polessya	0%	29%	14%	29%	29%
Obolon' Kyiv	43%	0%	14%	14%	29%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.40 Polessya at home, 5 matches

0.57 Obolon' Kyiv away, 7 matches

36d Days of rest for Polessya

36d Days of rest for Obolon' Kyiv

— Manager of Polessya

— Manager of Obolon' Kyiv

0 Matches for Polessya in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Obolon' Kyiv in the last 14 days

0 Points for Polessya behind the leaders, and 13 above the relegation zone

14 Points for Obolon' Kyiv behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

2.27 League goals per match

30.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Polessya, the right bar represents Obolon' Kyiv.

On the ball

20 matches

5.29

corners

2.33

10.75

fouls

7.0

2.0

yellow cards

3.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Polessya	WWWWLWW	2.57	2.14–0.71	4W
Obolon' Kyiv	DLLDDDL	0.57	0.29–1.71	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Polessya	6	1	0	0	1
Obolon' Kyiv	0	4	3	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Polessya

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Obolon' Kyiv

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.