Epitsentr

Epitsentr

VS Scheduled Saturday 24 Oct 202601:00

Ukraine 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 10

Metalist 1925

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Epitsentr0–2Livyi Bereh
2026-09-14	26/27	Dínamo Kiev3–0Epitsentr
2026-09-06	26/27	Epitsentr0–0Bukovyna
2026-08-29	26/27	Kudrivka0–3Epitsentr
2026-08-14	26/27	Epitsentr0–0Veres Rivne
2026-08-09	26/27	Epitsentr0–2Shakhtar
2026-08-02	26/27	Epitsentr3–0Obolon' Kyiv

Metalist 1925

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Metalist 19252–0Bukovyna
2026-09-05	26/27	Metalist 19255–0Obolon' Kyiv
2026-08-30	26/27	Zorya0–3Metalist 1925
2026-08-16	26/27	Metalist 19250–1Shakhtar
2026-08-10	26/27	Polessya3–1Metalist 1925
2026-08-01	26/27	Metalist 19251–0Veres Rivne

Epitsentr Metalist 1925

Wins

29%

67%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

50%

Both teams scored

0%

17%

Clean sheets

57%

67%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Epitsentr

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
6	Epitsentr	0–2	Shakhtar	1	49′ Away
6	Epitsentr		Polessya	2
6	Epitsentr		Karpaty	3
6	Epitsentr		Dínamo Kiev	4
6	Epitsentr		Metalist 1925	5
6 · Epitsentr
6	Epitsentr		LNZ Cherkasy	7
6	Epitsentr		Zorya	8
6	Epitsentr	0–2	Livyi Bereh	9	20′ Away
6	Epitsentr	0–0	Bukovyna	10	–
6	Epitsentr	0–0	Veres Rivne	11	–
6	Epitsentr		Hirnyk	12
6	Epitsentr		Kolos	13
6	Epitsentr		Chornomorets	14
6	Epitsentr	3–0	Obolon' Kyiv	15	59′ Home
6	Epitsentr		Kudrivka	16

Metalist 1925

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Shakhtar		Metalist 1925	5
2	Polessya	3–1	Metalist 1925	5	28′ Home
3	Karpaty		Metalist 1925	5
4	Dínamo Kiev		Metalist 1925	5
5 · Metalist 1925
6	Epitsentr		Metalist 1925	5
7	LNZ Cherkasy		Metalist 1925	5
8	Zorya	0–3	Metalist 1925	5	14′ Away
9	Livyi Bereh		Metalist 1925	5
10	Bukovyna		Metalist 1925	5
11	Veres Rivne		Metalist 1925	5
12	Hirnyk		Metalist 1925	5
13	Kolos		Metalist 1925	5
14	Chornomorets		Metalist 1925	5
15	Obolon' Kyiv		Metalist 1925	5
16	Kudrivka		Metalist 1925	5

Epitsentr Home Metalist 1925 Away

Wins

20%

50%

Over 1.5

60%

100%

Over 2.5

20%

100%

Over 3.5

0%

50%

Both teams scored

0%

50%

Clean sheets

60%

50%

Scores first

20%

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Epitsentr

7 matches

Goals & results	Home5 matches	Away2 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.00	1.50	1.14
Draws	40.0%	0.0%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	0.60	1.50	0.86
Goals conceded / match	0.80	1.50	1.00
Total goals / match	1.40	3.00	1.86
Failed to score	80.0%	50.0%	71.4%
Under 2.5 goals	80.0%	0.0%	57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 5/5 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	1
31–45	0	0
46–60	1	1
61–75	1	1
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Metalist 1925

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.25	1.50	2.00
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	2.00	2.00	2.00
Goals conceded / match	0.25	1.50	0.67
Total goals / match	2.25	3.50	2.67
Failed to score	25.0%	0.0%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	0.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	1
31–45	0	0
46–60	1	0
61–75	1	2
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Epitsentr	Draw	Metalist 1925	How it works
Strength (Elo)	35.2%	30.8%	34.0%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	8.0%	17.5%	72.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.53–2.12 Model expected goals

47.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

35.4% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 15.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-215.9%

0-114.9%

0-311.2%

1-28.4%

1-17.9%

0-07.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Epitsentr	Metalist 1925	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1480	1534	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-35	26	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1496	1507	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Epitsentr	0.14	0.71	0.29	0.71
Metalist 1925	1.00	1.00	0.33	0.33

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Epitsentr	29%	0%	29%	43%	0%
Metalist 1925	0%	33%	17%	17%	33%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.00 Epitsentr at home, 5 matches

1.50 Metalist 1925 away, 2 matches

35d Days of rest for Epitsentr

35d Days of rest for Metalist 1925

— Manager of Epitsentr

— Manager of Metalist 1925

0 Matches for Epitsentr in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Metalist 1925 in the last 14 days

10 Points for Epitsentr behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

6 Points for Metalist 1925 behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

2.27 League goals per match

30.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Epitsentr, the right bar represents Metalist 1925.

On the ball

20 matches

6.0

corners

5.0

8.25

fouls

10.4

2.33

yellow cards

1.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Epitsentr	LLDWDLW	1.14	0.86–1.00	2L
Metalist 1925	WWWLLW	2.00	2.00–0.67	3W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Epitsentr	1	4	2	0	0
Metalist 1925	2	2	2	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Epitsentr

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Metalist 1925

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.