Chornomorets

Chornomorets

VS Scheduled Saturday 24 Oct 202601:00

Ukraine 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 10

Karpaty

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Chornomorets1–1Obolon' Kyiv
2026-09-14	26/27	Shakhtar2–0Chornomorets
2026-09-04	26/27	Chornomorets0–0Livyi Bereh
2026-08-30	26/27	Chornomorets1–0Hirnyk
2026-08-16	26/27	LNZ Cherkasy2–0Chornomorets
2026-08-02	26/27	Chornomorets1–2Polessya

Karpaty

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Karpaty1–1Veres Rivne
2026-09-11	26/27	Kolos0–2Karpaty
2026-09-05	26/27	Karpaty1–2Shakhtar
2026-08-29	26/27	Livyi Bereh1–1Karpaty
2026-08-15	26/27	Karpaty3–0Bukovyna
2026-08-10	26/27	Karpaty3–0LNZ Cherkasy
2026-08-01	26/27	Hirnyk1–4Karpaty

Chornomorets Karpaty

Wins

17%

57%

Over 2.5 goals

17%

57%

Both teams scored

33%

57%

Clean sheets

33%

43%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Chornomorets

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
14	Chornomorets		Shakhtar	1
14	Chornomorets	1–2	Polessya	2	13′ Home
14	Chornomorets		Karpaty	3
14	Chornomorets		Dínamo Kiev	4
14	Chornomorets		Metalist 1925	5
14	Chornomorets		Epitsentr	6
14	Chornomorets		LNZ Cherkasy	7
14	Chornomorets		Zorya	8
14	Chornomorets	0–0	Livyi Bereh	9	–
14	Chornomorets		Bukovyna	10
14	Chornomorets		Veres Rivne	11
14	Chornomorets	1–0	Hirnyk	12	77′ Home
14	Chornomorets		Kolos	13
14 · Chornomorets
14	Chornomorets	1–1	Obolon' Kyiv	15	37′ Home
14	Chornomorets		Kudrivka	16

Karpaty

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Shakhtar		Karpaty	3
2	Polessya		Karpaty	3
3 · Karpaty
4	Dínamo Kiev		Karpaty	3
5	Metalist 1925		Karpaty	3
6	Epitsentr		Karpaty	3
7	LNZ Cherkasy		Karpaty	3
8	Zorya		Karpaty	3
9	Livyi Bereh	1–1	Karpaty	3	60′ Away
10	Bukovyna		Karpaty	3
11	Veres Rivne		Karpaty	3
12	Hirnyk	1–4	Karpaty	3	22′ Home
13	Kolos	0–2	Karpaty	3	9′ Away
14	Chornomorets		Karpaty	3
15	Obolon' Kyiv		Karpaty	3
16	Kudrivka		Karpaty	3

Chornomorets Home Karpaty Away

Wins

25%

67%

Over 1.5

50%

100%

Over 2.5

25%

33%

Over 3.5

0%

33%

Both teams scored

50%

67%

Clean sheets

50%

33%

Scores first

75%

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Chornomorets

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.25	0.00	0.83
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	0.75	0.00	0.50
Goals conceded / match	0.75	2.00	1.17
Total goals / match	1.50	2.00	1.67
Failed to score	25.0%	100.0%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	100.0%	83.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 3	33%
Scores first → wins	1 of 3	33%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	1	1
46–60	0	1
61–75	0	0
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Karpaty

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.75	2.33	2.00
Draws	25.0%	33.3%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	2.00	2.33	2.14
Goals conceded / match	0.75	0.67	0.71
Total goals / match	2.75	3.00	2.86
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	66.7%	42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	1	1
31–45	1	0
46–60	2	0
61–75	2	0
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Chornomorets	Draw	Karpaty	How it works
Strength (Elo)	33.1%	30.7%	36.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	6.6%	15.1%	75.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.53–2.36 Model expected goals

51.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

35.9% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 15.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-215.5%

0-113.1%

0-312.2%

1-28.2%

0-47.2%

1-17.0%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Chornomorets	Karpaty	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1471	1547	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-17	26	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1497	1499	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Chornomorets	0.33	0.17	0.67	0.50
Karpaty	1.00	1.14	0.29	0.43

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Chornomorets	17%	17%	50%	17%	0%
Karpaty	0%	0%	43%	43%	14%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.25 Chornomorets at home, 4 matches

2.33 Karpaty away, 3 matches

36d Days of rest for Chornomorets

34d Days of rest for Karpaty

— Manager of Chornomorets

— Manager of Karpaty

0 Matches for Chornomorets in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Karpaty in the last 14 days

13 Points for Chornomorets behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

4 Points for Karpaty behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone

2.27 League goals per match

30.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Chornomorets, the right bar represents Karpaty.

On the ball

20 matches

3.0

corners

7.17

9.0

fouls

10.2

2.0

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Chornomorets	DLDWLL	0.83	0.50–1.17	1D
Karpaty	DWLDWWW	2.00	2.14–0.71	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Chornomorets	1	3	2	0	1
Karpaty	3	4	0	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Chornomorets

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Karpaty

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.