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Zorya
VS Scheduled Ukraine 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 11
Epitsentr
Recent matches

Zorya

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Zorya0–2Dínamo Kiev
2026-09-13 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Bukovyna1–1Zorya
2026-09-06 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Veres Rivne1–1Zorya
2026-08-30 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Zorya0–3Metalist 1925
2026-08-17 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Polessya1–2Zorya
2026-08-09 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Zorya1–3Hirnyk
2026-07-31 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Zorya2–0Kolos

Epitsentr

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Epitsentr0–2Livyi Bereh
2026-09-14 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Dínamo Kiev3–0Epitsentr
2026-09-06 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Epitsentr0–0Bukovyna
2026-08-29 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Kudrivka0–3Epitsentr
2026-08-14 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Epitsentr0–0Veres Rivne
2026-08-09 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Epitsentr0–2Shakhtar
2026-08-02 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Epitsentr3–0Obolon' Kyiv
Zorya Epitsentr

Wins

29%
29%

Over 2.5 goals

43%
43%

Both teams scored

57%
0%

Clean sheets

14%
57%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Zorya

Home · Premier League
HomeAway1st goal
8 Zorya Shakhtar 1
8 Zorya Polessya 2
8 Zorya Karpaty 3
8 Zorya 0–2 Dínamo Kiev 4 82′ Away
8 Zorya 0–3 Metalist 1925 5 14′ Away
8 Zorya Epitsentr 6
8 Zorya LNZ Cherkasy 7
8 · Zorya
8 Zorya Livyi Bereh 9
8 Zorya Bukovyna 10
8 Zorya Veres Rivne 11
8 Zorya 1–3 Hirnyk 12 —
8 Zorya 2–0 Kolos 13 69′ Home
8 Zorya Chornomorets 14
8 Zorya Obolon' Kyiv 15
8 Zorya Kudrivka 16

Epitsentr

Away · Premier League
Zorya Home Epitsentr Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Zorya

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway3 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match0.751.671.14
Draws0.0%66.7%28.6%
Goals scored / match0.751.331.00
Goals conceded / match2.001.001.57
Total goals / match2.752.332.57
Failed to score50.0%0.0%28.6%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%66.7%57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 1 of 2 50%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Epitsentr

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome5 matchesAway2 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match1.001.501.14
Draws40.0%0.0%28.6%
Goals scored / match0.601.500.86
Goals conceded / match0.801.501.00
Total goals / match1.403.001.86
Failed to score80.0%50.0%71.4%
Under 2.5 goals80.0%0.0%57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3000
31–4511
46–6001
61–7510
76–9011

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelZoryaDraw EpitsentrHow it works
Strength (Elo) 40.3% 29.9% 29.8% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 19.7% 27.1% 52.9% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.75–1.43 Model expected goals
37.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals
40.1% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 16.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-116.1%
1-112.1%
0-211.5%
0-011.2%
1-28.7%
1-08.5%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureZoryaEpitsentr How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1472 1480 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -40 -35 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1500 1496 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Zorya 0.430.57 0.431.14
Epitsentr 0.140.71 0.290.71

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Zorya 0%0%57%29%14%
Epitsentr 29%0%29%43%0%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.75 Zorya at home, 4 matches
1.50 Epitsentr away, 2 matches
42d Days of rest for Zorya
42d Days of rest for Epitsentr
— Manager of Zorya
— Manager of Epitsentr
0 Matches for Zorya in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Epitsentr in the last 14 days
10 Points for Zorya behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
10 Points for Epitsentr behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
2.27 League goals per match
30.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Zorya, the right bar represents Epitsentr.

On the ball

20 matches
4.14
corners
6.0
4.75
fouls
8.25
2.25
yellow cards
2.33

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Zorya LDDLWLW 1.14 1.00–1.57 1L
Epitsentr LLDWDLW 1.14 0.86–1.00 2L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Zorya2 32 12
Epitsentr1 42 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Zorya

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Epitsentr

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.