Metalist 1925

Metalist 1925

VS Scheduled Saturday 7 Nov 202600:00

Ukraine 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 12

Karpaty

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Metalist 19252–0Bukovyna
2026-09-05	26/27	Metalist 19255–0Obolon' Kyiv
2026-08-30	26/27	Zorya0–3Metalist 1925
2026-08-16	26/27	Metalist 19250–1Shakhtar
2026-08-10	26/27	Polessya3–1Metalist 1925
2026-08-01	26/27	Metalist 19251–0Veres Rivne

Karpaty

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Karpaty1–1Veres Rivne
2026-09-11	26/27	Kolos0–2Karpaty
2026-09-05	26/27	Karpaty1–2Shakhtar
2026-08-29	26/27	Livyi Bereh1–1Karpaty
2026-08-15	26/27	Karpaty3–0Bukovyna
2026-08-10	26/27	Karpaty3–0LNZ Cherkasy
2026-08-01	26/27	Hirnyk1–4Karpaty

Metalist 1925 Karpaty

Wins

67%

57%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

57%

Both teams scored

17%

57%

Clean sheets

67%

43%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Metalist 1925

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
5	Metalist 1925	0–1	Shakhtar	1	1′ Away
5	Metalist 1925		Polessya	2
5	Metalist 1925		Karpaty	3
5	Metalist 1925		Dínamo Kiev	4
5 · Metalist 1925
5	Metalist 1925		Epitsentr	6
5	Metalist 1925		LNZ Cherkasy	7
5	Metalist 1925		Zorya	8
5	Metalist 1925		Livyi Bereh	9
5	Metalist 1925	2–0	Bukovyna	10	53′ Home
5	Metalist 1925	1–0	Veres Rivne	11	90′ Home
5	Metalist 1925		Hirnyk	12
5	Metalist 1925		Kolos	13
5	Metalist 1925		Chornomorets	14
5	Metalist 1925	5–0	Obolon' Kyiv	15	9′ Home
5	Metalist 1925		Kudrivka	16

Karpaty

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Shakhtar		Karpaty	3
2	Polessya		Karpaty	3
3 · Karpaty
4	Dínamo Kiev		Karpaty	3
5	Metalist 1925		Karpaty	3
6	Epitsentr		Karpaty	3
7	LNZ Cherkasy		Karpaty	3
8	Zorya		Karpaty	3
9	Livyi Bereh	1–1	Karpaty	3	60′ Away
10	Bukovyna		Karpaty	3
11	Veres Rivne		Karpaty	3
12	Hirnyk	1–4	Karpaty	3	22′ Home
13	Kolos	0–2	Karpaty	3	9′ Away
14	Chornomorets		Karpaty	3
15	Obolon' Kyiv		Karpaty	3
16	Kudrivka		Karpaty	3

Metalist 1925 Home Karpaty Away

Wins

75%

67%

Over 1.5

50%

100%

Over 2.5

25%

33%

Over 3.5

25%

33%

Both teams scored

0%

67%

Clean sheets

75%

33%

Scores first

75%

67%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Metalist 1925

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.25	1.50	2.00
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	2.00	2.00	2.00
Goals conceded / match	0.25	1.50	0.67
Total goals / match	2.25	3.50	2.67
Failed to score	25.0%	0.0%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	0.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 3	33%
Scores first → wins	3 of 3	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	3	1
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	1	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Karpaty

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.75	2.33	2.00
Draws	25.0%	33.3%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	2.00	2.33	2.14
Goals conceded / match	0.75	0.67	0.71
Total goals / match	2.75	3.00	2.86
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	66.7%	42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	1	1
31–45	1	0
46–60	2	0
61–75	2	0
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Metalist 1925	Draw	Karpaty	How it works
Strength (Elo)	39.7%	30.1%	30.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	26.6%	25.6%	47.2%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.07–1.52 Model expected goals

47.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

51.0% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 12.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-112.2%

0-111.4%

1-29.3%

0-28.7%

1-08.0%

0-07.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Metalist 1925	Karpaty	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1534	1547	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	26	26	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1507	1499	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Metalist 1925	1.00	1.00	0.33	0.33
Karpaty	1.00	1.14	0.29	0.43

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Metalist 1925	0%	33%	17%	17%	33%
Karpaty	0%	0%	43%	43%	14%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.25 Metalist 1925 at home, 4 matches

2.33 Karpaty away, 3 matches

49d Days of rest for Metalist 1925

48d Days of rest for Karpaty

— Manager of Metalist 1925

— Manager of Karpaty

0 Matches for Metalist 1925 in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Karpaty in the last 14 days

6 Points for Metalist 1925 behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

4 Points for Karpaty behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone

2.27 League goals per match

30.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Metalist 1925, the right bar represents Karpaty.

On the ball

20 matches

5.0

corners

7.17

10.4

fouls

10.2

1.0

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Metalist 1925	WWWLLW	2.00	2.00–0.67	3W
Karpaty	DWLDWWW	2.00	2.14–0.71	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Metalist 1925	2	2	2	0	0
Karpaty	3	4	0	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Metalist 1925

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Karpaty

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.