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Karpaty
VS Scheduled Ukraine 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 16
Hirnyk

Head-to-head overview

1 meetings
KarpatyWins
1
Draws0.0% of meetings
0
HirnykWins
0
Goals per match
5.00
Over 2.5 goals
100.0%
Both teams scored
100.0%
DateSeasonMatch
2026-08-01 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Hirnyk1–4Karpaty
Recent matches

Karpaty

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Karpaty1–1Veres Rivne
2026-09-11 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Kolos0–2Karpaty
2026-09-05 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Karpaty1–2Shakhtar
2026-08-29 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Livyi Bereh1–1Karpaty
2026-08-15 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Karpaty3–0Bukovyna
2026-08-10 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Karpaty3–0LNZ Cherkasy
2026-08-01 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Hirnyk1–4Karpaty

Hirnyk

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-18 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Polessya1–0Hirnyk
2026-09-05 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Hirnyk2–2Kolos
2026-08-30 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Chornomorets1–0Hirnyk
2026-08-15 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Hirnyk1–1Livyi Bereh
2026-08-09 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Zorya1–3Hirnyk
2026-08-01 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Hirnyk1–4Karpaty
Karpaty Hirnyk

Wins

57%
17%

Over 2.5 goals

57%
50%

Both teams scored

57%
67%

Clean sheets

43%
0%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Karpaty

Home · Premier League
HomeAway1st goal
3 Karpaty 1–2 Shakhtar 1 12′ Home
3 Karpaty Polessya 2
3 · Karpaty
3 Karpaty Dínamo Kiev 4
3 Karpaty Metalist 1925 5
3 Karpaty Epitsentr 6
3 Karpaty 3–0 LNZ Cherkasy 7 67′ Home
3 Karpaty Zorya 8
3 Karpaty Livyi Bereh 9
3 Karpaty 3–0 Bukovyna 10 4′ Home
3 Karpaty 1–1 Veres Rivne 11 24′ Home
3 Karpaty Hirnyk 12
3 Karpaty Kolos 13
3 Karpaty Chornomorets 14
3 Karpaty Obolon' Kyiv 15
3 Karpaty Kudrivka 16

Hirnyk

Away · Premier League
HomeAway1st goal
1 Shakhtar Hirnyk 12
2 Polessya 1–0 Hirnyk 12 6′ Home
3 Karpaty Hirnyk 12
4 Dínamo Kiev Hirnyk 12
5 Metalist 1925 Hirnyk 12
6 Epitsentr Hirnyk 12
7 LNZ Cherkasy Hirnyk 12
8 Zorya 1–3 Hirnyk 12 —
9 Livyi Bereh Hirnyk 12
10 Bukovyna Hirnyk 12
11 Veres Rivne Hirnyk 12
12 · Hirnyk
13 Kolos Hirnyk 12
14 Chornomorets 1–0 Hirnyk 12 77′ Home
15 Obolon' Kyiv Hirnyk 12
16 Kudrivka Hirnyk 12
Karpaty Home Hirnyk Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Karpaty

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway3 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match1.752.332.00
Draws25.0%33.3%28.6%
Goals scored / match2.002.332.14
Goals conceded / match0.750.670.71
Total goals / match2.753.002.86
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%66.7%42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 4 50%
Scores first → wins 2 of 4 50%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1530
16–3011
31–4500
46–6000
61–7521
76–9021

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Hirnyk

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match0.671.000.83
Draws66.7%0.0%33.3%
Goals scored / match1.331.001.17
Goals conceded / match2.331.001.67
Total goals / match3.672.002.83
Failed to score0.0%66.7%33.3%
Under 2.5 goals33.3%66.7%50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 1 of 3 33%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelKarpatyDraw HirnykHow it works
Strength (Elo) 49.9% 26.2% 23.9% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 70.0% 14.6% 9.7% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
2.69–0.88 Model expected goals
63.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals
51.3% Both teams to score
2-0 Most likely score, at 10.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
2-010.2%
3-09.1%
2-19.0%
3-18.0%
1-07.5%
1-16.7%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureKarpatyHirnyk How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1547 1479 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 26 -0 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1499 1502 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Karpaty 1.001.14 0.290.43
Hirnyk 0.500.67 0.671.00

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Karpaty 0%0%43%43%14%
Hirnyk 0%33%17%0%50%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.75 Karpaty at home, 4 matches
1.00 Hirnyk away, 3 matches
83d Days of rest for Karpaty
85d Days of rest for Hirnyk
— Manager of Karpaty
— Manager of Hirnyk
0 Matches for Karpaty in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Hirnyk in the last 14 days
4 Points for Karpaty behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone
13 Points for Hirnyk behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone
2.27 League goals per match
30.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Karpaty, the right bar represents Hirnyk.

On the ball

20 matches
7.17
corners
4.0
10.2
fouls
10.75
2.0
yellow cards
2.67

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Karpaty DWLDWWW 2.00 2.14–0.71 1D
Hirnyk LDLDWL 0.83 1.17–1.67 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Karpaty3 40 01
Hirnyk1 32 11
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Karpaty

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Hirnyk

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.