Karpaty

Karpaty

VS Scheduled Saturday 15 May 202701:00

Ukraine 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 27

Metalist 1925

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-20	26/27	Karpaty1–1Veres Rivne
2026-09-11	26/27	Kolos0–2Karpaty
2026-09-05	26/27	Karpaty1–2Shakhtar
2026-08-29	26/27	Livyi Bereh1–1Karpaty
2026-08-15	26/27	Karpaty3–0Bukovyna
2026-08-10	26/27	Karpaty3–0LNZ Cherkasy
2026-08-01	26/27	Hirnyk1–4Karpaty

Metalist 1925

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Metalist 19252–0Bukovyna
2026-09-05	26/27	Metalist 19255–0Obolon' Kyiv
2026-08-30	26/27	Zorya0–3Metalist 1925
2026-08-16	26/27	Metalist 19250–1Shakhtar
2026-08-10	26/27	Polessya3–1Metalist 1925
2026-08-01	26/27	Metalist 19251–0Veres Rivne

Karpaty Metalist 1925

Wins

57%

67%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

50%

Both teams scored

57%

17%

Clean sheets

43%

67%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Karpaty

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
3	Karpaty	1–2	Shakhtar	1	12′ Home
3	Karpaty		Polessya	2
3 · Karpaty
3	Karpaty		Dínamo Kiev	4
3	Karpaty		Metalist 1925	5
3	Karpaty		Epitsentr	6
3	Karpaty	3–0	LNZ Cherkasy	7	67′ Home
3	Karpaty		Zorya	8
3	Karpaty		Livyi Bereh	9
3	Karpaty	3–0	Bukovyna	10	4′ Home
3	Karpaty	1–1	Veres Rivne	11	24′ Home
3	Karpaty		Hirnyk	12
3	Karpaty		Kolos	13
3	Karpaty		Chornomorets	14
3	Karpaty		Obolon' Kyiv	15
3	Karpaty		Kudrivka	16

Metalist 1925

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Shakhtar		Metalist 1925	5
2	Polessya	3–1	Metalist 1925	5	28′ Home
3	Karpaty		Metalist 1925	5
4	Dínamo Kiev		Metalist 1925	5
5 · Metalist 1925
6	Epitsentr		Metalist 1925	5
7	LNZ Cherkasy		Metalist 1925	5
8	Zorya	0–3	Metalist 1925	5	14′ Away
9	Livyi Bereh		Metalist 1925	5
10	Bukovyna		Metalist 1925	5
11	Veres Rivne		Metalist 1925	5
12	Hirnyk		Metalist 1925	5
13	Kolos		Metalist 1925	5
14	Chornomorets		Metalist 1925	5
15	Obolon' Kyiv		Metalist 1925	5
16	Kudrivka		Metalist 1925	5

Karpaty Home Metalist 1925 Away

Wins

50%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

75%

100%

Over 3.5

0%

50%

Both teams scored

50%

Clean sheets

50%

Scores first

100%

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Karpaty

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.75	2.33	2.00
Draws	25.0%	33.3%	28.6%
Goals scored / match	2.00	2.33	2.14
Goals conceded / match	0.75	0.67	0.71
Total goals / match	2.75	3.00	2.86
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	25.0%	66.7%	42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	2 of 4	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 4	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	3	0
16–30	1	1
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	2	1
76–90	2	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Metalist 1925

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.25	1.50	2.00
Draws	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Goals scored / match	2.00	2.00	2.00
Goals conceded / match	0.25	1.50	0.67
Total goals / match	2.25	3.50	2.67
Failed to score	25.0%	0.0%	16.7%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	0.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	1
31–45	0	0
46–60	1	0
61–75	1	2
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Karpaty	Draw	Metalist 1925	How it works
Strength (Elo)	42.7%	29.2%	28.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	27.1%	25.8%	46.6%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.08–1.51 Model expected goals

47.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

51.1% Both teams to score

1-1 Most likely score, at 12.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-112.2%

0-111.3%

1-29.2%

0-28.5%

1-08.1%

0-07.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Karpaty	Metalist 1925	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1547	1534	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	26	26	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1499	1507	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Karpaty	1.00	1.14	0.29	0.43
Metalist 1925	1.00	1.00	0.33	0.33

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Karpaty	0%	0%	43%	43%	14%
Metalist 1925	0%	33%	17%	17%	33%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.75 Karpaty at home, 4 matches

1.50 Metalist 1925 away, 2 matches

237d Days of rest for Karpaty

238d Days of rest for Metalist 1925

— Manager of Karpaty

— Manager of Metalist 1925

0 Matches for Karpaty in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Metalist 1925 in the last 14 days

4 Points for Karpaty behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone

6 Points for Metalist 1925 behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

2.27 League goals per match

30.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Karpaty, the right bar represents Metalist 1925.

On the ball

20 matches

7.17

corners

5.0

10.2

fouls

10.4

2.0

yellow cards

1.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Karpaty	DWLDWWW	2.00	2.14–0.71	1D
Metalist 1925	WWWLLW	2.00	2.00–0.67	3W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Karpaty	3	4	0	0	1
Metalist 1925	2	2	2	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Karpaty

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Metalist 1925

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.