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Zorya
VS Scheduled Ukraine 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 28
Karpaty
Recent matches

Zorya

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-19 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Zorya0–2Dínamo Kiev
2026-09-13 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Bukovyna1–1Zorya
2026-09-06 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Veres Rivne1–1Zorya
2026-08-30 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Zorya0–3Metalist 1925
2026-08-17 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Polessya1–2Zorya
2026-08-09 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Zorya1–3Hirnyk
2026-07-31 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Zorya2–0Kolos

Karpaty

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-20 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Karpaty1–1Veres Rivne
2026-09-11 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Kolos0–2Karpaty
2026-09-05 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Karpaty1–2Shakhtar
2026-08-29 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Livyi Bereh1–1Karpaty
2026-08-15 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Karpaty3–0Bukovyna
2026-08-10 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Karpaty3–0LNZ Cherkasy
2026-08-01 Ukraine, Premier League 26/27 Hirnyk1–4Karpaty
Zorya Karpaty

Wins

29%
57%

Over 2.5 goals

43%
57%

Both teams scored

57%
57%

Clean sheets

14%
43%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Zorya

Home · Premier League
HomeAway1st goal
8 Zorya Shakhtar 1
8 Zorya Polessya 2
8 Zorya Karpaty 3
8 Zorya 0–2 Dínamo Kiev 4 82′ Away
8 Zorya 0–3 Metalist 1925 5 14′ Away
8 Zorya Epitsentr 6
8 Zorya LNZ Cherkasy 7
8 · Zorya
8 Zorya Livyi Bereh 9
8 Zorya Bukovyna 10
8 Zorya Veres Rivne 11
8 Zorya 1–3 Hirnyk 12 —
8 Zorya 2–0 Kolos 13 69′ Home
8 Zorya Chornomorets 14
8 Zorya Obolon' Kyiv 15
8 Zorya Kudrivka 16

Karpaty

Away · Premier League
HomeAway1st goal
1 Shakhtar Karpaty 3
2 Polessya Karpaty 3
3 · Karpaty
4 Dínamo Kiev Karpaty 3
5 Metalist 1925 Karpaty 3
6 Epitsentr Karpaty 3
7 LNZ Cherkasy Karpaty 3
8 Zorya Karpaty 3
9 Livyi Bereh 1–1 Karpaty 3 60′ Away
10 Bukovyna Karpaty 3
11 Veres Rivne Karpaty 3
12 Hirnyk 1–4 Karpaty 3 22′ Home
13 Kolos 0–2 Karpaty 3 9′ Away
14 Chornomorets Karpaty 3
15 Obolon' Kyiv Karpaty 3
16 Kudrivka Karpaty 3
Zorya Home Karpaty Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Zorya

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway3 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match0.751.671.14
Draws0.0%66.7%28.6%
Goals scored / match0.751.331.00
Goals conceded / match2.001.001.57
Total goals / match2.752.332.57
Failed to score50.0%0.0%28.6%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%66.7%57.1%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 1 of 2 50%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Karpaty

7 matches
Goals & resultsHome4 matchesAway3 matchesOverall7 matches
Points / match1.752.332.00
Draws25.0%33.3%28.6%
Goals scored / match2.002.332.14
Goals conceded / match0.750.670.71
Total goals / match2.753.002.86
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals25.0%66.7%42.9%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 1 of 2 50%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 1 100%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3011
31–4510
46–6020
61–7520
76–9001

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelZoryaDraw KarpatyHow it works
Strength (Elo) 33.2% 30.7% 36.1% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 6.7% 15.1% 74.9% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.54–2.36 Model expected goals
51.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals
36.1% Both teams to score
0-2 Most likely score, at 15.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-215.4%
0-113.1%
0-312.1%
1-28.2%
0-47.1%
1-17.0%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureZoryaKarpaty How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1472 1547 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -40 26 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1500 1499 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Zorya 0.430.57 0.431.14
Karpaty 1.001.14 0.290.43

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Zorya 0%0%57%29%14%
Karpaty 0%0%43%43%14%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.75 Zorya at home, 4 matches
2.33 Karpaty away, 3 matches
245d Days of rest for Zorya
244d Days of rest for Karpaty
— Manager of Zorya
— Manager of Karpaty
0 Matches for Zorya in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Karpaty in the last 14 days
10 Points for Zorya behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
4 Points for Karpaty behind the leaders, and 9 above the relegation zone
2.27 League goals per match
30.8% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Zorya, the right bar represents Karpaty.

On the ball

20 matches
4.14
corners
7.17
4.75
fouls
10.2
2.25
yellow cards
2.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Zorya LDDLWLW 1.14 1.00–1.57 1L
Karpaty DWLDWWW 2.00 2.14–0.71 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Zorya2 32 12
Karpaty3 40 01
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Zorya

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Karpaty

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.