Chornomorets

Chornomorets

VS Scheduled Friday 4 Jun 202701:00

Ukraine 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 30

Bukovyna

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-18	26/27	Chornomorets1–1Obolon' Kyiv
2026-09-14	26/27	Shakhtar2–0Chornomorets
2026-09-04	26/27	Chornomorets0–0Livyi Bereh
2026-08-30	26/27	Chornomorets1–0Hirnyk
2026-08-16	26/27	LNZ Cherkasy2–0Chornomorets
2026-08-02	26/27	Chornomorets1–2Polessya

Bukovyna

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-19	26/27	Metalist 19252–0Bukovyna
2026-09-13	26/27	Bukovyna1–1Zorya
2026-09-06	26/27	Epitsentr0–0Bukovyna
2026-08-31	26/27	Bukovyna3–0Dínamo Kiev
2026-08-15	26/27	Karpaty3–0Bukovyna
2026-08-08	26/27	Bukovyna0–0Obolon' Kyiv
2026-08-03	26/27	Bukovyna0–0LNZ Cherkasy

Chornomorets Bukovyna

Wins

17%

14%

Over 2.5 goals

17%

29%

Both teams scored

33%

14%

Clean sheets

33%

57%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Chornomorets

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
14	Chornomorets		Shakhtar	1
14	Chornomorets	1–2	Polessya	2	13′ Home
14	Chornomorets		Karpaty	3
14	Chornomorets		Dínamo Kiev	4
14	Chornomorets		Metalist 1925	5
14	Chornomorets		Epitsentr	6
14	Chornomorets		LNZ Cherkasy	7
14	Chornomorets		Zorya	8
14	Chornomorets	0–0	Livyi Bereh	9	–
14	Chornomorets		Bukovyna	10
14	Chornomorets		Veres Rivne	11
14	Chornomorets	1–0	Hirnyk	12	77′ Home
14	Chornomorets		Kolos	13
14 · Chornomorets
14	Chornomorets	1–1	Obolon' Kyiv	15	37′ Home
14	Chornomorets		Kudrivka	16

Bukovyna

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Shakhtar		Bukovyna	10
2	Polessya		Bukovyna	10
3	Karpaty	3–0	Bukovyna	10	4′ Home
4	Dínamo Kiev		Bukovyna	10
5	Metalist 1925	2–0	Bukovyna	10	53′ Home
6	Epitsentr	0–0	Bukovyna	10	–
7	LNZ Cherkasy		Bukovyna	10
8	Zorya		Bukovyna	10
9	Livyi Bereh		Bukovyna	10
10 · Bukovyna
11	Veres Rivne		Bukovyna	10
12	Hirnyk		Bukovyna	10
13	Kolos		Bukovyna	10
14	Chornomorets		Bukovyna	10
15	Obolon' Kyiv		Bukovyna	10
16	Kudrivka		Bukovyna	10

Chornomorets Home Bukovyna Away

Wins

25%

0%

Over 1.5

50%

67%

Over 2.5

25%

33%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

50%

0%

Clean sheets

50%

33%

Scores first

75%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Chornomorets

6 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away2 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.25	0.00	0.83
Draws	50.0%	0.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	0.75	0.00	0.50
Goals conceded / match	0.75	2.00	1.17
Total goals / match	1.50	2.00	1.67
Failed to score	25.0%	100.0%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	100.0%	83.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 3	33%
Scores first → wins	1 of 3	33%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 4/4 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	1	1
46–60	0	1
61–75	0	0
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Bukovyna

7 matches

Goals & results	Home4 matches	Away3 matches	Overall7 matches
Points / match	1.50	0.33	1.00
Draws	75.0%	33.3%	57.1%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.00	0.57
Goals conceded / match	0.25	1.67	0.86
Total goals / match	1.25	1.67	1.43
Failed to score	50.0%	100.0%	71.4%
Under 2.5 goals	75.0%	66.7%	71.4%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	2
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	1
61–75	0	2
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Chornomorets	Draw	Bukovyna	How it works
Strength (Elo)	39.2%	30.2%	30.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	24.0%	40.9%	35.1%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.53–0.71 Model expected goals

12.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals

20.9% Both teams to score

0-0 Most likely score, at 29.0%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-029.0%

0-120.5%

1-015.4%

1-110.9%

0-27.3%

2-04.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Chornomorets	Bukovyna	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1471	1488	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-17	-10	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1497	1509	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Chornomorets	0.33	0.17	0.67	0.50
Bukovyna	0.14	0.43	0.43	0.43

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Chornomorets	17%	17%	50%	17%	0%
Bukovyna	43%	0%	29%	29%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.25 Chornomorets at home, 4 matches

0.33 Bukovyna away, 3 matches

259d Days of rest for Chornomorets

258d Days of rest for Bukovyna

— Manager of Chornomorets

— Manager of Bukovyna

0 Matches for Chornomorets in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Bukovyna in the last 14 days

13 Points for Chornomorets behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

11 Points for Bukovyna behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

2.27 League goals per match

30.8% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Chornomorets, the right bar represents Bukovyna.

On the ball

20 matches

3.0

corners

7.14

9.0

fouls

7.0

2.0

yellow cards

2.67

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Chornomorets	DLDWLL	0.83	0.50–1.17	1D
Bukovyna	LDDWLDD	1.00	0.57–0.86	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Chornomorets	1	3	2	0	1
Bukovyna	1	4	2	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Chornomorets

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Bukovyna

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.