Ahly

Ahly

VS Scheduled Wednesday 21 Oct 202618:00

Egypt 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 7

El Qanah

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-15	26/27	Ahly2–0Abu Qair Semad
2026-09-09	26/27	Mokawloon1–1Ahly
2026-09-03	26/27	Ahly1–0Smouha
2026-08-28	26/27	Zed FC0–2Ahly
2026-08-23	26/27	Ahly3–2ENPPI

El Qanah

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-17	26/27	Zed FC2–1El Qanah
2026-09-07	26/27	El Qanah1–1El Geish
2026-09-01	26/27	Wadi Degla0–0El Qanah
2026-08-28	26/27	El Qanah1–1El Gouna
2026-08-23	26/27	Cleopatra FC1–2El Qanah

Ahly El Qanah

Wins

80%

20%

Over 2.5 goals

20%

40%

Both teams scored

40%

80%

Clean sheets

60%

20%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Ahly

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
3	Ahly		Pyramids	1
3	Ahly		Zamalek	2
3 · Ahly
3	Ahly		Cleopatra FC	4
3	Ahly		Modern Sport	5
3	Ahly		Al-Ittihad	6
3	Ahly		Mokawloon	7
3	Ahly		Petrojet	8
3	Ahly		El Geish	9
3	Ahly		Zed FC	10
3	Ahly		El Qanah	11
3	Ahly		Al Masry	12
3	Ahly		National Bank	13
3	Ahly		Wadi Degla	14
3	Ahly	3–2	ENPPI	15	17′ Away
3	Ahly	1–0	Smouha	16	87′ Home
3	Ahly	2–0	Abu Qair Semad	17	16′ Home
3	Ahly		El Gouna	18
3	Ahly		Asyut Petrol	19
3	Ahly		Ghazl	20

El Qanah

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Pyramids		El Qanah	11
2	Zamalek		El Qanah	11
3	Ahly		El Qanah	11
4	Cleopatra FC	1–2	El Qanah	11	10′ Home
5	Modern Sport		El Qanah	11
6	Al-Ittihad		El Qanah	11
7	Mokawloon		El Qanah	11
8	Petrojet		El Qanah	11
9	El Geish		El Qanah	11
10	Zed FC	2–1	El Qanah	11	49′ Home
11 · El Qanah
12	Al Masry		El Qanah	11
13	National Bank		El Qanah	11
14	Wadi Degla	0–0	El Qanah	11	–
15	ENPPI		El Qanah	11
16	Smouha		El Qanah	11
17	Abu Qair Semad		El Qanah	11
18	El Gouna		El Qanah	11
19	Asyut Petrol		El Qanah	11
20	Ghazl		El Qanah	11

Ahly Home El Qanah Away

Wins

100%

33%

Over 1.5

67%

Over 2.5

33%

67%

Over 3.5

33%

0%

Both teams scored

33%

67%

Clean sheets

67%

33%

Scores first

67%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Ahly

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.00	2.60
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.50	1.80
Goals conceded / match	0.67	0.50	0.60
Total goals / match	2.67	2.00	2.40
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	100.0%	80.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	2
31–45	1	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	3	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

El Qanah

5 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away3 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	1.00	1.33	1.20
Draws	100.0%	33.3%	60.0%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Total goals / match	2.00	2.00	2.00
Failed to score	0.0%	33.3%	20.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	33.3%	60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	1 of 2	50%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	1	1
61–75	0	0
76–90	2	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Ahly	Draw	El Qanah	How it works
Strength (Elo)	52.8%	18.0%	29.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	68.2%	20.6%	10.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.88–0.55 Model expected goals

42.3% Probability of over 2.5 goals

35.1% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 16.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-016.7%

2-015.6%

3-09.8%

1-19.1%

0-08.9%

2-18.5%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Ahly	El Qanah	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1543	1501	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	35	-11	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1490	1502	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Ahly	0.60	1.20	0.60	0.00
El Qanah	0.40	0.60	0.40	0.60

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Ahly	0%	20%	60%	0%	20%
El Qanah	20%	0%	40%	40%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Ahly at home, 3 matches

1.33 El Qanah away, 3 matches

36d Days of rest for Ahly

34d Days of rest for El Qanah

— Manager of Ahly

— Manager of El Qanah

0 Matches for Ahly in the last 14 days

0 Matches for El Qanah in the last 14 days

2 Points for Ahly behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone

9 Points for El Qanah behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

2.06 League goals per match

20.0% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Ahly, the right bar represents El Qanah.

On the ball

20 matches

7.2

corners

1.6

10.6

fouls

13.0

1.5

yellow cards

1.4

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Ahly	WDWWW	2.60	1.80–0.60	1W
El Qanah	LDDDW	1.20	1.00–1.00	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Ahly	2	1	2	1	0
El Qanah	1	3	1	1	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Ahly

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

El Qanah

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.