Modern Sport

Modern Sport

VS Scheduled Thursday 29 Oct 202614:00

Egypt 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 8

Ahly

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-15	26/27	Asyut Petrol0–2Modern Sport
2026-09-09	26/27	Modern Sport2–1Wadi Degla
2026-09-02	26/27	Cleopatra FC2–0Modern Sport
2026-08-27	26/27	Modern Sport2–0Ghazl
2026-08-23	26/27	El Gouna1–1Modern Sport

Ahly

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-15	26/27	Ahly2–0Abu Qair Semad
2026-09-09	26/27	Mokawloon1–1Ahly
2026-09-03	26/27	Ahly1–0Smouha
2026-08-28	26/27	Zed FC0–2Ahly
2026-08-23	26/27	Ahly3–2ENPPI

Modern Sport Ahly

Wins

60%

80%

Over 2.5 goals

20%

Both teams scored

40%

Clean sheets

40%

60%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Modern Sport

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
5	Modern Sport		Pyramids	1
5	Modern Sport		Zamalek	2
5	Modern Sport		Ahly	3
5	Modern Sport		Cleopatra FC	4
5 · Modern Sport
5	Modern Sport		Al-Ittihad	6
5	Modern Sport		Mokawloon	7
5	Modern Sport		Petrojet	8
5	Modern Sport		El Geish	9
5	Modern Sport		Zed FC	10
5	Modern Sport		El Qanah	11
5	Modern Sport		Al Masry	12
5	Modern Sport		National Bank	13
5	Modern Sport	2–1	Wadi Degla	14	53′ Away
5	Modern Sport		ENPPI	15
5	Modern Sport		Smouha	16
5	Modern Sport		Abu Qair Semad	17
5	Modern Sport		El Gouna	18
5	Modern Sport		Asyut Petrol	19
5	Modern Sport	2–0	Ghazl	20	78′ Home

Ahly

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Pyramids		Ahly	3
2	Zamalek		Ahly	3
3 · Ahly
4	Cleopatra FC		Ahly	3
5	Modern Sport		Ahly	3
6	Al-Ittihad		Ahly	3
7	Mokawloon	1–1	Ahly	3	39′ Home
8	Petrojet		Ahly	3
9	El Geish		Ahly	3
10	Zed FC	0–2	Ahly	3	21′ Away
11	El Qanah		Ahly	3
12	Al Masry		Ahly	3
13	National Bank		Ahly	3
14	Wadi Degla		Ahly	3
15	ENPPI		Ahly	3
16	Smouha		Ahly	3
17	Abu Qair Semad		Ahly	3
18	El Gouna		Ahly	3
19	Asyut Petrol		Ahly	3
20	Ghazl		Ahly	3

Modern Sport Home Ahly Away

Wins

100%

50%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

50%

0%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

50%

Clean sheets

50%

Scores first

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Modern Sport

5 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away3 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	3.00	1.33	2.00
Draws	0.0%	33.3%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.00	1.40
Goals conceded / match	0.50	1.00	0.80
Total goals / match	2.50	2.00	2.20
Failed to score	0.0%	33.3%	20.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	100.0%	80.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	1	1
61–75	1	0
76–90	2	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Ahly

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.00	2.60
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.50	1.80
Goals conceded / match	0.67	0.50	0.60
Total goals / match	2.67	2.00	2.40
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	100.0%	80.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	1
46–60	1	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Modern Sport	Draw	Ahly	How it works
Strength (Elo)	45.0%	19.6%	35.3%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	24.9%	28.4%	46.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.87–1.31 Model expected goals

37.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals

42.4% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 14.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-114.7%

1-112.9%

0-011.3%

1-09.9%

0-29.6%

1-28.4%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Modern Sport	Ahly	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1525	1543	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	24	35	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1496	1490	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Modern Sport	0.20	1.20	0.20	0.60
Ahly	0.60	1.20	0.60	0.00

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Modern Sport	0%	0%	80%	20%	0%
Ahly	0%	20%	60%	0%	20%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Modern Sport at home, 2 matches

2.00 Ahly away, 2 matches

44d Days of rest for Modern Sport

44d Days of rest for Ahly

— Manager of Modern Sport

— Manager of Ahly

0 Matches for Modern Sport in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Ahly in the last 14 days

5 Points for Modern Sport behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone

2 Points for Ahly behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone

2.06 League goals per match

20.0% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Modern Sport, the right bar represents Ahly.

On the ball

20 matches

5.5

corners

7.2

12.0

fouls

10.6

1.25

yellow cards

1.5

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Modern Sport	WWLWD	2.00	1.40–0.80	2W
Ahly	WDWWW	2.60	1.80–0.60	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Modern Sport	1	3	1	0	0
Ahly	2	1	2	1	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Modern Sport

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Ahly

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.