Ghazl

Ghazl

VS Scheduled Thursday 10 Dec 202618:00

Egypt 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 10

Ahly

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-16	26/27	Ghazl0–1Zamalek
2026-09-07	26/27	National Bank3–1Ghazl
2026-09-01	26/27	Ghazl0–0ENPPI
2026-08-27	26/27	Modern Sport2–0Ghazl
2026-08-22	26/27	Ghazl0–3Pyramids

Ahly

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-15	26/27	Ahly2–0Abu Qair Semad
2026-09-09	26/27	Mokawloon1–1Ahly
2026-09-03	26/27	Ahly1–0Smouha
2026-08-28	26/27	Zed FC0–2Ahly
2026-08-23	26/27	Ahly3–2ENPPI

Ghazl Ahly

Wins

0%

80%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

20%

Both teams scored

20%

40%

Clean sheets

20%

60%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Ghazl

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
20	Ghazl	0–3	Pyramids	1	41′ Away
20	Ghazl	0–1	Zamalek	2	88′ Away
20	Ghazl		Ahly	3
20	Ghazl		Cleopatra FC	4
20	Ghazl		Modern Sport	5
20	Ghazl		Al-Ittihad	6
20	Ghazl		Mokawloon	7
20	Ghazl		Petrojet	8
20	Ghazl		El Geish	9
20	Ghazl		Zed FC	10
20	Ghazl		El Qanah	11
20	Ghazl		Al Masry	12
20	Ghazl		National Bank	13
20	Ghazl		Wadi Degla	14
20	Ghazl	0–0	ENPPI	15	–
20	Ghazl		Smouha	16
20	Ghazl		Abu Qair Semad	17
20	Ghazl		El Gouna	18
20	Ghazl		Asyut Petrol	19
20 · Ghazl

Ahly

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Pyramids		Ahly	3
2	Zamalek		Ahly	3
3 · Ahly
4	Cleopatra FC		Ahly	3
5	Modern Sport		Ahly	3
6	Al-Ittihad		Ahly	3
7	Mokawloon	1–1	Ahly	3	39′ Home
8	Petrojet		Ahly	3
9	El Geish		Ahly	3
10	Zed FC	0–2	Ahly	3	21′ Away
11	El Qanah		Ahly	3
12	Al Masry		Ahly	3
13	National Bank		Ahly	3
14	Wadi Degla		Ahly	3
15	ENPPI		Ahly	3
16	Smouha		Ahly	3
17	Abu Qair Semad		Ahly	3
18	El Gouna		Ahly	3
19	Asyut Petrol		Ahly	3
20	Ghazl		Ahly	3

Ghazl Home Ahly Away

Wins

0%

50%

Over 1.5

33%

100%

Over 2.5

33%

0%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

0%

50%

Clean sheets

33%

50%

Scores first

0%

50%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Ghazl

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	0.33	0.00	0.20
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	0.00	0.50	0.20
Goals conceded / match	1.33	2.50	1.80
Total goals / match	1.33	3.00	2.00
Failed to score	100.0%	50.0%	80.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	50.0%	60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	2
76–90	0	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Ahly

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.00	2.60
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.50	1.80
Goals conceded / match	0.67	0.50	0.60
Total goals / match	2.67	2.00	2.40
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	100.0%	80.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	0
31–45	0	1
46–60	1	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Ghazl	Draw	Ahly	How it works
Strength (Elo)	35.8%	19.7%	44.5%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	3.2%	10.3%	80.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.38–2.75 Model expected goals

54.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

27.9% Both teams to score

0-2 Most likely score, at 16.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-216.5%

0-315.1%

0-112.0%

0-410.4%

1-26.3%

1-35.8%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Ghazl	Ahly	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1445	1543	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-34	35	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1499	1490	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Ghazl	0.20	0.00	0.60	1.20
Ahly	0.60	1.20	0.60	0.00

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Ghazl	20%	20%	20%	20%	20%
Ahly	0%	20%	60%	0%	20%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.33 Ghazl at home, 3 matches

2.00 Ahly away, 2 matches

85d Days of rest for Ghazl

86d Days of rest for Ahly

— Manager of Ghazl

— Manager of Ahly

0 Matches for Ghazl in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Ahly in the last 14 days

14 Points for Ghazl behind the leaders, and -2 above the relegation zone

2 Points for Ahly behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone

2.06 League goals per match

20.0% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Ghazl, the right bar represents Ahly.

On the ball

20 matches

4.0

corners

7.2

11.6

fouls

10.6

2.0

yellow cards

1.5

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Ghazl	LLDLL	0.20	0.20–1.80	2L
Ahly	WDWWW	2.60	1.80–0.60	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Ghazl	0	3	2	0	0
Ahly	2	1	2	1	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Ghazl

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Ahly

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.