Ahly

VS Scheduled Tuesday 15 Dec 202615:00

Egypt 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 11

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-15	26/27	Ahly2–0Abu Qair Semad
2026-09-09	26/27	Mokawloon1–1Ahly
2026-09-03	26/27	Ahly1–0Smouha
2026-08-28	26/27	Zed FC0–2Ahly
2026-08-23	26/27	Ahly3–2ENPPI

Asyut Petrol

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-15	26/27	Asyut Petrol0–2Modern Sport
2026-09-07	26/27	Al-Ittihad1–0Asyut Petrol
2026-08-31	26/27	Asyut Petrol0–1National Bank
2026-08-26	26/27	Smouha0–0Asyut Petrol
2026-08-22	26/27	Asyut Petrol1–1Petrojet

Ahly Asyut Petrol

Wins

80%

0%

Over 2.5 goals

20%

0%

Both teams scored

40%

20%

Clean sheets

60%

20%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Ahly

Home · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
3	Ahly		Pyramids	1
3	Ahly		Zamalek	2
3 · Ahly
3	Ahly		Cleopatra FC	4
3	Ahly		Modern Sport	5
3	Ahly		Al-Ittihad	6
3	Ahly		Mokawloon	7
3	Ahly		Petrojet	8
3	Ahly		El Geish	9
3	Ahly		Zed FC	10
3	Ahly		El Qanah	11
3	Ahly		Al Masry	12
3	Ahly		National Bank	13
3	Ahly		Wadi Degla	14
3	Ahly	3–2	ENPPI	15	17′ Away
3	Ahly	1–0	Smouha	16	87′ Home
3	Ahly	2–0	Abu Qair Semad	17	16′ Home
3	Ahly		El Gouna	18
3	Ahly		Asyut Petrol	19
3	Ahly		Ghazl	20

Asyut Petrol

Away · Premier League

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Pyramids		Asyut Petrol	19
2	Zamalek		Asyut Petrol	19
3	Ahly		Asyut Petrol	19
4	Cleopatra FC		Asyut Petrol	19
5	Modern Sport		Asyut Petrol	19
6	Al-Ittihad	1–0	Asyut Petrol	19	74′ Home
7	Mokawloon		Asyut Petrol	19
8	Petrojet		Asyut Petrol	19
9	El Geish		Asyut Petrol	19
10	Zed FC		Asyut Petrol	19
11	El Qanah		Asyut Petrol	19
12	Al Masry		Asyut Petrol	19
13	National Bank		Asyut Petrol	19
14	Wadi Degla		Asyut Petrol	19
15	ENPPI		Asyut Petrol	19
16	Smouha	0–0	Asyut Petrol	19	–
17	Abu Qair Semad		Asyut Petrol	19
18	El Gouna		Asyut Petrol	19
19 · Asyut Petrol
20	Ghazl		Asyut Petrol	19

Ahly Home Asyut Petrol Away

Wins

100%

0%

Over 1.5

67%

0%

Over 2.5

33%

0%

Over 3.5

33%

0%

Both teams scored

33%

0%

Clean sheets

67%

50%

Scores first

67%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Ahly

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	3.00	2.00	2.60
Draws	0.0%	50.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.50	1.80
Goals conceded / match	0.67	0.50	0.60
Total goals / match	2.67	2.00	2.40
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	100.0%	80.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	1 of 1	100%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	1	2
31–45	1	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	1	0
76–90	3	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Asyut Petrol

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	0.33	0.50	0.40
Draws	33.3%	50.0%	40.0%
Goals scored / match	0.33	0.00	0.20
Goals conceded / match	1.33	0.50	1.00
Total goals / match	1.67	0.50	1.20
Failed to score	66.7%	100.0%	80.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	100.0%	100.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	1
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Ahly	Draw	Asyut Petrol	How it works
Strength (Elo)	57.8%	16.4%	25.8%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	71.0%	19.9%	7.8%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

1.88–0.44 Model expected goals

39.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

29.7% Both teams to score

1-0 Most likely score, at 18.5%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

1-018.5%

2-017.4%

3-010.9%

0-09.9%

1-18.1%

2-17.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Ahly	Asyut Petrol	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1543	1463	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	35	-35	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1490	1495	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Ahly	0.60	1.20	0.60	0.00
Asyut Petrol	0.00	0.20	0.20	0.80

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Ahly	0%	20%	60%	0%	20%
Asyut Petrol	20%	40%	40%	0%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Ahly at home, 3 matches

0.50 Asyut Petrol away, 2 matches

91d Days of rest for Ahly

91d Days of rest for Asyut Petrol

— Manager of Ahly

— Manager of Asyut Petrol

0 Matches for Ahly in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Asyut Petrol in the last 14 days

2 Points for Ahly behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone

13 Points for Asyut Petrol behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

2.06 League goals per match

20.0% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Ahly, the right bar represents Asyut Petrol.

On the ball

20 matches

7.2

corners

3.25

10.6

fouls

14.8

1.5

yellow cards

2.25

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Ahly	WDWWW	2.60	1.80–0.60	1W
Asyut Petrol	LLLDD	0.40	0.20–1.00	3L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Ahly	2	1	2	1	0
Asyut Petrol	0	4	1	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Ahly

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Asyut Petrol

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.