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National Bank
VS Scheduled Egypt 26/27 Premier League · Matchday 16
Ahly
Recent matches

National Bank

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-14 Egypt, Premier League 26/27 Cleopatra FC2–0National Bank
2026-09-07 Egypt, Premier League 26/27 National Bank3–1Ghazl
2026-08-31 Egypt, Premier League 26/27 Asyut Petrol0–1National Bank
2026-08-26 Egypt, Premier League 26/27 National Bank0–3Zamalek
2026-08-21 Egypt, Premier League 26/27 Abu Qair Semad1–0National Bank

Ahly

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-15 Egypt, Premier League 26/27 Ahly2–0Abu Qair Semad
2026-09-09 Egypt, Premier League 26/27 Mokawloon1–1Ahly
2026-09-03 Egypt, Premier League 26/27 Ahly1–0Smouha
2026-08-28 Egypt, Premier League 26/27 Zed FC0–2Ahly
2026-08-23 Egypt, Premier League 26/27 Ahly3–2ENPPI
National Bank Ahly

Wins

40%
80%

Over 2.5 goals

40%
20%

Both teams scored

20%
40%

Clean sheets

20%
60%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Ahly

Away · Premier League
HomeAway1st goal
1 Pyramids Ahly 3
2 Zamalek Ahly 3
3 · Ahly
4 Cleopatra FC Ahly 3
5 Modern Sport Ahly 3
6 Al-Ittihad Ahly 3
7 Mokawloon 1–1 Ahly 3 39′ Home
8 Petrojet Ahly 3
9 El Geish Ahly 3
10 Zed FC 0–2 Ahly 3 21′ Away
11 El Qanah Ahly 3
12 Al Masry Ahly 3
13 National Bank Ahly 3
14 Wadi Degla Ahly 3
15 ENPPI Ahly 3
16 Smouha Ahly 3
17 Abu Qair Semad Ahly 3
18 El Gouna Ahly 3
19 Asyut Petrol Ahly 3
20 Ghazl Ahly 3
National Bank Home Ahly Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

Premier League · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

National Bank

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome2 matchesAway3 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match1.501.001.20
Draws0.0%0.0%0.0%
Goals scored / match1.500.330.80
Goals conceded / match2.001.001.40
Total goals / match3.501.332.20
Failed to score50.0%66.7%60.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%100.0%60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3010
31–4511
46–6011
61–7500
76–9002

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Ahly

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway2 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match3.002.002.60
Draws0.0%50.0%20.0%
Goals scored / match2.001.501.80
Goals conceded / match0.670.500.60
Total goals / match2.672.002.40
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%100.0%80.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3010
31–4501
46–6010
61–7510
76–9000

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelNational BankDraw AhlyHow it works
Strength (Elo) 40.2% 20.0% 39.8% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 6.5% 15.5% 75.1% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.50–2.29 Model expected goals
49.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals
34.2% Both teams to score
0-2 Most likely score, at 16.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-216.1%
0-114.1%
0-312.3%
1-28.1%
0-47.0%
1-17.0%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureNational BankAhly How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1485 1543 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -7 35 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1500 1490 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
National Bank 0.400.40 0.201.20
Ahly 0.601.20 0.600.00

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
National Bank 0%40%20%20%20%
Ahly 0%20%60%0%20%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.50 National Bank at home, 2 matches
2.00 Ahly away, 2 matches
140d Days of rest for National Bank
139d Days of rest for Ahly
— Manager of National Bank
— Manager of Ahly
0 Matches for National Bank in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Ahly in the last 14 days
9 Points for National Bank behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
2 Points for Ahly behind the leaders, and 10 above the relegation zone
2.06 League goals per match
20.0% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents National Bank, the right bar represents Ahly.

On the ball

20 matches
5.75
corners
7.2
11.0
fouls
10.6
3.5
yellow cards
1.5

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
National Bank LWWLL 1.20 0.80–1.40 1L
Ahly WDWWW 2.60 1.80–0.60 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
National Bank1 40 00
Ahly2 12 10
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

National Bank

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Ahly

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.