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Warri
VS Scheduled Nigeria 26/27 NPFL · Matchday 2
Enugu
Recent matches

Warri

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Warri1–0Shooting Stars
2026-09-23 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Tornadoes0–0Warri
2026-09-20 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Warri1–0Kwara Utd
2026-09-16 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Rivers Utd2–0Warri
2026-08-30 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Bendel Ins.2–1Warri

Enugu

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Ikorodu City2–0Enugu
2026-09-23 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Enugu1–0Ranchers Bees
2026-09-20 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Kun Khalifat2–4Enugu
2026-09-18 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Enugu2–1Nasarawa Utd
2026-08-30 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Enugu1–1Katsina Utd
Warri Enugu

Wins

40%
60%

Over 2.5 goals

20%
40%

Both teams scored

20%
60%

Clean sheets

60%
20%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Warri

Home · NPFL
HomeAway1st goal
13 Warri Barau 1
13 Warri Rivers Utd 2
13 Warri Plateau Utd 3
13 Warri Enugu 4
13 Warri Doma United 5
13 Warri Kano Pillars 6
13 Warri Bendel Ins. 7
13 Warri Ikorodu City 8
13 Warri Abia 9
13 Warri 1–0 Kwara Utd 10 8′ Home
13 Warri Ranchers Bees 11
13 Warri Sporting Lagos 12
13 · Warri
13 Warri Nasarawa Utd 14
13 Warri Katsina Utd 15
13 Warri 1–0 Shooting Stars 16 7′ Home
13 Warri Tornadoes 17
13 Warri Kun Khalifat 18
13 Warri Inter Lagos 19
13 Warri Enyimba 20

Enugu

Away · NPFL
Warri Home Enugu Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

NPFL · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Warri

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome2 matchesAway3 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match3.000.331.40
Draws0.0%33.3%20.0%
Goals scored / match1.000.330.60
Goals conceded / match0.001.330.80
Total goals / match1.001.671.40
Failed to score0.0%66.7%40.0%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%66.7%80.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1520
16–3000
31–4500
46–6000
61–7500
76–9000

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Enugu

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway2 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match2.331.502.00
Draws33.3%0.0%20.0%
Goals scored / match1.332.001.60
Goals conceded / match0.672.001.20
Total goals / match2.004.002.80
Failed to score0.0%50.0%20.0%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%50.0%60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3010
31–4511
46–6000
61–7511
76–9011

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelWarriDraw EnuguHow it works
Strength (Elo) 42.0% 25.0% 33.0% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 14.7% 23.8% 60.8% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.68–1.68 Model expected goals
41.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals
39.6% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 15.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-115.9%
0-213.4%
1-110.8%
0-09.5%
1-29.0%
0-37.5%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureWarriEnugu How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1500 1517 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 8 19 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1503 1498 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Warri 0.600.00 0.400.40
Enugu 0.601.00 0.800.40

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Warri 20%40%20%20%0%
Enugu 0%20%40%20%20%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Warri at home, 2 matches
1.50 Enugu away, 2 matches
3d Days of rest for Warri
3d Days of rest for Enugu
— Manager of Warri
— Manager of Enugu
4 Matches for Warri in the last 14 days
4 Matches for Enugu in the last 14 days
5 Points for Warri behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
2 Points for Enugu behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone
2.45 League goals per match
25.5% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Warri, the right bar represents Enugu.

On the ball

20 matches
1.0
corners
5.33
26.0
fouls
13.0
1.5
yellow cards
2.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Warri WDWLL 1.40 0.60–0.80 1W
Enugu LWWWD 2.00 1.60–1.20 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Warri2 21 00
Enugu1 22 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Warri

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Enugu

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.