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Katsina Utd
VS Scheduled Nigeria 26/27 NPFL · Matchday 2
Rivers Utd
Recent matches

Katsina Utd

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Katsina Utd2–1Doma United
2026-09-23 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Shooting Stars2–0Katsina Utd
2026-09-19 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Katsina Utd1–0Tornadoes
2026-09-13 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Kwara Utd3–0Katsina Utd
2026-08-30 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Enugu1–1Katsina Utd

Rivers Utd

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-28 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Ranchers Bees0–0Rivers Utd
2026-09-24 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Rivers Utd5–0Kun Khalifat
2026-09-20 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Nasarawa Utd1–1Rivers Utd
2026-09-16 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Rivers Utd2–0Warri
2026-08-30 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Rivers Utd2–0Plateau Utd
Katsina Utd Rivers Utd

Wins

40%
60%

Over 2.5 goals

40%
20%

Both teams scored

40%
20%

Clean sheets

20%
80%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Katsina Utd Home Rivers Utd Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

NPFL · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Katsina Utd

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome2 matchesAway3 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match3.000.331.40
Draws0.0%33.3%20.0%
Goals scored / match1.500.330.80
Goals conceded / match0.502.001.40
Total goals / match2.002.332.20
Failed to score0.0%66.7%40.0%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%66.7%60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3020
31–4501
46–6000
61–7510
76–9000

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Rivers Utd

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway2 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match3.001.002.20
Draws0.0%100.0%40.0%
Goals scored / match3.000.502.00
Goals conceded / match0.000.500.20
Total goals / match3.001.002.20
Failed to score0.0%50.0%20.0%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%100.0%80.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 1/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelKatsina UtdDraw Rivers UtdHow it works
Strength (Elo) 38.7% 25.4% 35.9% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 12.4% 20.9% 65.4% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.68–1.91 Model expected goals
46.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals
41.2% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 14.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-114.4%
0-213.7%
1-19.7%
1-29.3%
0-38.7%
0-07.5%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureKatsina UtdRivers Utd How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1492 1539 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -10 26 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1500 1489 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Katsina Utd 0.600.20 0.600.80
Rivers Utd 0.801.20 0.000.20

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Katsina Utd 0%20%40%40%0%
Rivers Utd 20%0%60%0%20%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Katsina Utd at home, 2 matches
1.00 Rivers Utd away, 2 matches
3d Days of rest for Katsina Utd
2d Days of rest for Rivers Utd
— Manager of Katsina Utd
— Manager of Rivers Utd
3 Matches for Katsina Utd in the last 14 days
4 Matches for Rivers Utd in the last 14 days
5 Points for Katsina Utd behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
1 Points for Rivers Utd behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone
2.45 League goals per match
25.5% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Katsina Utd, the right bar represents Rivers Utd.

On the ball

20 matches
4.0
corners
7.0
—
fouls
16.67
2.0
yellow cards
1.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Katsina Utd WLWLD 1.40 0.80–1.40 1W
Rivers Utd DWDWW 2.20 2.00–0.20 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Katsina Utd2 12 01
Rivers Utd3 20 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Katsina Utd

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Rivers Utd

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.