Inter Lagos

VS Scheduled Sunday 4 Oct 202616:00

Nigeria 26/27 NPFL · Matchday 7

Recent matches

Inter Lagos

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	26/27	Plateau Utd2–0Inter Lagos
2026-09-23	26/27	Inter Lagos1–1Kano Pillars
2026-09-20	26/27	Enyimba0–1Inter Lagos
2026-09-13	26/27	Inter Lagos0–3Sporting Lagos
2026-09-05	26/27	Inter Lagos0–1Doma United
2026-08-28	26/27	Shooting Stars2–1Inter Lagos

Katsina Utd

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	26/27	Katsina Utd2–1Doma United
2026-09-23	26/27	Shooting Stars2–0Katsina Utd
2026-09-19	26/27	Katsina Utd1–0Tornadoes
2026-09-13	26/27	Kwara Utd3–0Katsina Utd
2026-08-30	26/27	Enugu1–1Katsina Utd

Inter Lagos Katsina Utd

Wins

17%

40%

Over 2.5 goals

33%

40%

Both teams scored

33%

40%

Clean sheets

17%

20%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Inter Lagos

Home · NPFL

Home			Away		1st goal
19	Inter Lagos		Barau	1
19	Inter Lagos		Rivers Utd	2
19	Inter Lagos		Plateau Utd	3
19	Inter Lagos		Enugu	4
19	Inter Lagos	0–1	Doma United	5	71′ Away
19	Inter Lagos	1–1	Kano Pillars	6	32′ Away
19	Inter Lagos		Bendel Ins.	7
19	Inter Lagos		Ikorodu City	8
19	Inter Lagos		Abia	9
19	Inter Lagos		Kwara Utd	10
19	Inter Lagos		Ranchers Bees	11
19	Inter Lagos	0–3	Sporting Lagos	12	6′ Away
19	Inter Lagos		Warri	13
19	Inter Lagos		Nasarawa Utd	14
19	Inter Lagos		Katsina Utd	15
19	Inter Lagos		Shooting Stars	16
19	Inter Lagos		Tornadoes	17
19	Inter Lagos		Kun Khalifat	18
19 · Inter Lagos
19	Inter Lagos		Enyimba	20

Katsina Utd

Away · NPFL

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Barau		Katsina Utd	15
2	Rivers Utd		Katsina Utd	15
3	Plateau Utd		Katsina Utd	15
4	Enugu	1–1	Katsina Utd	15	—
5	Doma United		Katsina Utd	15
6	Kano Pillars		Katsina Utd	15
7	Bendel Ins.		Katsina Utd	15
8	Ikorodu City		Katsina Utd	15
9	Abia		Katsina Utd	15
10	Kwara Utd	3–0	Katsina Utd	15	35′ Home
11	Ranchers Bees		Katsina Utd	15
12	Sporting Lagos		Katsina Utd	15
13	Warri		Katsina Utd	15
14	Nasarawa Utd		Katsina Utd	15
15 · Katsina Utd
16	Shooting Stars	2–0	Katsina Utd	15	20′ Home
17	Tornadoes		Katsina Utd	15
18	Kun Khalifat		Katsina Utd	15
19	Inter Lagos		Katsina Utd	15
20	Enyimba		Katsina Utd	15

Inter Lagos Home Katsina Utd Away

Wins

0%

Over 1.5

67%

100%

Over 2.5

33%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

33%

Clean sheets

0%

Scores first

0%

33%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

NPFL · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Inter Lagos

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	0.33	1.00	0.67
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	0.33	0.67	0.50
Goals conceded / match	1.67	1.33	1.50
Total goals / match	2.00	2.00	2.00
Failed to score	66.7%	33.3%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	66.7%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	0	0
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	1
61–75	0	1
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Katsina Utd

5 matches

Goals & results	Home2 matches	Away3 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	3.00	0.33	1.40
Draws	0.0%	33.3%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	1.50	0.33	0.80
Goals conceded / match	0.50	2.00	1.40
Total goals / match	2.00	2.33	2.20
Failed to score	0.0%	66.7%	40.0%
Under 2.5 goals	50.0%	66.7%	60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 1	100%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Inter Lagos	Draw	Katsina Utd	How it works
Strength (Elo)	40.6%	25.2%	34.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	15.9%	25.2%	58.4%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.68–1.57 Model expected goals

38.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

38.7% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 16.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-116.6%

0-213.0%

1-111.2%

0-010.6%

1-28.8%

1-07.1%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Inter Lagos	Katsina Utd	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1462	1492	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-30	-10	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1503	1500	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Inter Lagos	0.33	0.17	0.67	0.83
Katsina Utd	0.60	0.20	0.60	0.80

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Inter Lagos	0%	33%	33%	33%	0%
Katsina Utd	0%	20%	40%	40%	0%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.33 Inter Lagos at home, 3 matches

0.33 Katsina Utd away, 3 matches

7d Days of rest for Inter Lagos

7d Days of rest for Katsina Utd

— Manager of Inter Lagos

— Manager of Katsina Utd

3 Matches for Inter Lagos in the last 14 days

2 Matches for Katsina Utd in the last 14 days

8 Points for Inter Lagos behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone

5 Points for Katsina Utd behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

2.45 League goals per match

25.5% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Inter Lagos, the right bar represents Katsina Utd.

On the ball

20 matches

3.5

corners

4.0

25.67

fouls

—

2.33

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Inter Lagos	LDWLLL	0.67	0.50–1.50	1L
Katsina Utd	WLWLD	1.40	0.80–1.40	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Inter Lagos	1	2	3	0	0
Katsina Utd	2	1	2	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Inter Lagos

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Katsina Utd

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.