Kwara Utd

VS Scheduled Sunday 4 Oct 202616:00

Nigeria 26/27 NPFL · Matchday 7

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	26/27	Kun Khalifat1–0Kwara Utd
2026-09-23	26/27	Kwara Utd2–1Nasarawa Utd
2026-09-20	26/27	Warri1–0Kwara Utd
2026-09-13	26/27	Kwara Utd3–0Katsina Utd
2026-09-06	26/27	Plateau Utd1–0Kwara Utd
2026-08-30	26/27	Kwara Utd2–2Kano Pillars

Ranchers Bees

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-28	26/27	Ranchers Bees0–0Rivers Utd
2026-09-23	26/27	Enugu1–0Ranchers Bees
2026-09-19	26/27	Ranchers Bees2–1Bendel Ins.
2026-09-13	26/27	Barau3–1Ranchers Bees
2026-09-07	26/27	Ranchers Bees4–0Abia
2026-08-30	26/27	Ikorodu City3–1Ranchers Bees

Kwara Utd Ranchers Bees

Wins

33%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

67%

Both teams scored

33%

50%

Clean sheets

17%

33%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Kwara Utd

Home · NPFL

Home			Away		1st goal
10	Kwara Utd		Barau	1
10	Kwara Utd		Rivers Utd	2
10	Kwara Utd		Plateau Utd	3
10	Kwara Utd		Enugu	4
10	Kwara Utd		Doma United	5
10	Kwara Utd	2–2	Kano Pillars	6	11′ Away
10	Kwara Utd		Bendel Ins.	7
10	Kwara Utd		Ikorodu City	8
10	Kwara Utd		Abia	9
10 · Kwara Utd
10	Kwara Utd		Ranchers Bees	11
10	Kwara Utd		Sporting Lagos	12
10	Kwara Utd		Warri	13
10	Kwara Utd	2–1	Nasarawa Utd	14	13′ Home
10	Kwara Utd	3–0	Katsina Utd	15	35′ Home
10	Kwara Utd		Shooting Stars	16
10	Kwara Utd		Tornadoes	17
10	Kwara Utd		Kun Khalifat	18
10	Kwara Utd		Inter Lagos	19
10	Kwara Utd		Enyimba	20

Ranchers Bees

Away · NPFL

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Barau	3–1	Ranchers Bees	11	29′ Home
2	Rivers Utd		Ranchers Bees	11
3	Plateau Utd		Ranchers Bees	11
4	Enugu	1–0	Ranchers Bees	11	79′ Home
5	Doma United		Ranchers Bees	11
6	Kano Pillars		Ranchers Bees	11
7	Bendel Ins.		Ranchers Bees	11
8	Ikorodu City	3–1	Ranchers Bees	11	6′ Away
9	Abia		Ranchers Bees	11
10	Kwara Utd		Ranchers Bees	11
11 · Ranchers Bees
12	Sporting Lagos		Ranchers Bees	11
13	Warri		Ranchers Bees	11
14	Nasarawa Utd		Ranchers Bees	11
15	Katsina Utd		Ranchers Bees	11
16	Shooting Stars		Ranchers Bees	11
17	Tornadoes		Ranchers Bees	11
18	Kun Khalifat		Ranchers Bees	11
19	Inter Lagos		Ranchers Bees	11
20	Enyimba		Ranchers Bees	11

Kwara Utd Home Ranchers Bees Away

Wins

67%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

67%

Over 2.5

100%

67%

Over 3.5

33%

67%

Both teams scored

67%

Clean sheets

33%

0%

Scores first

67%

33%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

NPFL · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Kwara Utd

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.33	0.00	1.17
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	2.33	0.00	1.17
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Total goals / match	3.33	1.00	2.17
Failed to score	0.0%	100.0%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	100.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 1	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	1
16–30	0	2
31–45	1	0
46–60	2	0
61–75	2	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Ranchers Bees

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.33	0.00	1.17
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	2.00	0.67	1.33
Goals conceded / match	0.33	2.33	1.33
Total goals / match	2.33	3.00	2.67
Failed to score	33.3%	33.3%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	0 of 1	0%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	2
31–45	0	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	1	4

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Kwara Utd	Draw	Ranchers Bees	How it works
Strength (Elo)	44.4%	24.5%	31.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	19.7%	23.5%	55.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.92–1.74 Model expected goals

48.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals

49.0% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 12.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-112.2%

1-111.2%

0-210.6%

1-29.7%

0-07.0%

1-06.4%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Kwara Utd	Ranchers Bees	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1494	1492	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-4	5	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1486	1514	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Kwara Utd	0.33	0.83	0.83	0.17
Ranchers Bees	0.50	0.83	0.50	0.83

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Kwara Utd	0%	50%	0%	33%	17%
Ranchers Bees	17%	17%	0%	17%	50%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.33 Kwara Utd at home, 3 matches

0.00 Ranchers Bees away, 3 matches

7d Days of rest for Kwara Utd

6d Days of rest for Ranchers Bees

— Manager of Kwara Utd

— Manager of Ranchers Bees

3 Matches for Kwara Utd in the last 14 days

2 Matches for Ranchers Bees in the last 14 days

5 Points for Kwara Utd behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

5 Points for Ranchers Bees behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

2.45 League goals per match

25.5% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Kwara Utd, the right bar represents Ranchers Bees.

On the ball

20 matches

1.0

corners

4.0

16.0

fouls

16.5

—

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Kwara Utd	LWLWLD	1.17	1.17–1.00	1L
Ranchers Bees	DLWLWL	1.17	1.33–1.33	1D

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Kwara Utd	1	2	3	0	0
Ranchers Bees	1	3	2	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Kwara Utd

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Ranchers Bees

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.