Ranchers Bees

VS Scheduled Sunday 11 Oct 202616:00

Nigeria 26/27 NPFL · Matchday 8

Recent matches

Ranchers Bees

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-28	26/27	Ranchers Bees0–0Rivers Utd
2026-09-23	26/27	Enugu1–0Ranchers Bees
2026-09-19	26/27	Ranchers Bees2–1Bendel Ins.
2026-09-13	26/27	Barau3–1Ranchers Bees
2026-09-07	26/27	Ranchers Bees4–0Abia
2026-08-30	26/27	Ikorodu City3–1Ranchers Bees

Tornadoes

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	26/27	Nasarawa Utd1–0Tornadoes
2026-09-23	26/27	Tornadoes0–0Warri
2026-09-19	26/27	Katsina Utd1–0Tornadoes
2026-09-14	26/27	Tornadoes1–1Plateau Utd
2026-09-06	26/27	Kano Pillars3–2Tornadoes
2026-08-30	26/27	Tornadoes2–1Enyimba

Ranchers Bees Tornadoes

Wins

33%

17%

Over 2.5 goals

67%

33%

Both teams scored

50%

Clean sheets

33%

17%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Ranchers Bees

Home · NPFL

Home			Away		1st goal
11	Ranchers Bees		Barau	1
11	Ranchers Bees	0–0	Rivers Utd	2	–
11	Ranchers Bees		Plateau Utd	3
11	Ranchers Bees		Enugu	4
11	Ranchers Bees		Doma United	5
11	Ranchers Bees		Kano Pillars	6
11	Ranchers Bees	2–1	Bendel Ins.	7	49′ Home
11	Ranchers Bees		Ikorodu City	8
11	Ranchers Bees	4–0	Abia	9	41′ Home
11	Ranchers Bees		Kwara Utd	10
11 · Ranchers Bees
11	Ranchers Bees		Sporting Lagos	12
11	Ranchers Bees		Warri	13
11	Ranchers Bees		Nasarawa Utd	14
11	Ranchers Bees		Katsina Utd	15
11	Ranchers Bees		Shooting Stars	16
11	Ranchers Bees		Tornadoes	17
11	Ranchers Bees		Kun Khalifat	18
11	Ranchers Bees		Inter Lagos	19
11	Ranchers Bees		Enyimba	20

Tornadoes

Away · NPFL

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Barau		Tornadoes	17
2	Rivers Utd		Tornadoes	17
3	Plateau Utd		Tornadoes	17
4	Enugu		Tornadoes	17
5	Doma United		Tornadoes	17
6	Kano Pillars	3–2	Tornadoes	17	40′ Home
7	Bendel Ins.		Tornadoes	17
8	Ikorodu City		Tornadoes	17
9	Abia		Tornadoes	17
10	Kwara Utd		Tornadoes	17
11	Ranchers Bees		Tornadoes	17
12	Sporting Lagos		Tornadoes	17
13	Warri		Tornadoes	17
14	Nasarawa Utd	1–0	Tornadoes	17	20′ Home
15	Katsina Utd	1–0	Tornadoes	17	21′ Home
16	Shooting Stars		Tornadoes	17
17 · Tornadoes
18	Kun Khalifat		Tornadoes	17
19	Inter Lagos		Tornadoes	17
20	Enyimba		Tornadoes	17

Ranchers Bees Home Tornadoes Away

Wins

67%

0%

Over 1.5

67%

33%

Over 2.5

67%

33%

Over 3.5

33%

Both teams scored

33%

Clean sheets

67%

0%

Scores first

67%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

NPFL · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Ranchers Bees

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.33	0.00	1.17
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	2.00	0.67	1.33
Goals conceded / match	0.33	2.33	1.33
Total goals / match	2.33	3.00	2.67
Failed to score	33.3%	33.3%	33.3%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	2 of 2	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	2	0
46–60	1	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	2	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Tornadoes

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.67	0.00	0.83
Draws	66.7%	0.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	1.00	0.67	0.83
Goals conceded / match	0.67	1.67	1.17
Total goals / match	1.67	2.33	2.00
Failed to score	33.3%	66.7%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	66.7%	66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	2
31–45	0	2
46–60	0	1
61–75	1	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Ranchers Bees	Draw	Tornadoes	How it works
Strength (Elo)	45.8%	24.1%	30.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	24.0%	26.7%	48.9%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.92–1.45 Model expected goals

41.7% Probability of over 2.5 goals

45.7% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 13.6%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-113.6%

1-112.5%

0-29.8%

0-09.4%

1-29.0%

1-08.6%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Ranchers Bees	Tornadoes	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1492	1479	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	5	-29	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1514	1492	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Ranchers Bees	0.50	0.83	0.50	0.83
Tornadoes	0.17	0.67	0.83	0.33

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Ranchers Bees	17%	17%	0%	17%	50%
Tornadoes	17%	33%	17%	17%	17%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.33 Ranchers Bees at home, 3 matches

0.00 Tornadoes away, 3 matches

13d Days of rest for Ranchers Bees

14d Days of rest for Tornadoes

— Manager of Ranchers Bees

— Manager of Tornadoes

1 Matches for Ranchers Bees in the last 14 days

1 Matches for Tornadoes in the last 14 days

5 Points for Ranchers Bees behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

7 Points for Tornadoes behind the leaders, and 0 above the relegation zone

2.45 League goals per match

25.5% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Ranchers Bees, the right bar represents Tornadoes.

On the ball

20 matches

4.0

corners

5.67

16.5

fouls

17.0

2.0

yellow cards

1.25

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Ranchers Bees	DLWLWL	1.17	1.33–1.33	1D
Tornadoes	LDLDLW	0.83	0.83–1.17	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Ranchers Bees	1	3	2	0	0
Tornadoes	1	1	4	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Ranchers Bees

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Tornadoes

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.