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Warri
VS Scheduled Nigeria 26/27 NPFL · Matchday 8
Inter Lagos
Recent matches

Warri

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Warri1–0Shooting Stars
2026-09-23 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Tornadoes0–0Warri
2026-09-20 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Warri1–0Kwara Utd
2026-09-16 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Rivers Utd2–0Warri
2026-08-30 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Bendel Ins.2–1Warri

Inter Lagos

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Plateau Utd2–0Inter Lagos
2026-09-23 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Inter Lagos1–1Kano Pillars
2026-09-20 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Enyimba0–1Inter Lagos
2026-09-13 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Inter Lagos0–3Sporting Lagos
2026-09-05 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Inter Lagos0–1Doma United
2026-08-28 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Shooting Stars2–1Inter Lagos
Warri Inter Lagos

Wins

40%
17%

Over 2.5 goals

20%
33%

Both teams scored

20%
33%

Clean sheets

60%
17%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Warri

Home · NPFL
HomeAway1st goal
13 Warri Barau 1
13 Warri Rivers Utd 2
13 Warri Plateau Utd 3
13 Warri Enugu 4
13 Warri Doma United 5
13 Warri Kano Pillars 6
13 Warri Bendel Ins. 7
13 Warri Ikorodu City 8
13 Warri Abia 9
13 Warri 1–0 Kwara Utd 10 8′ Home
13 Warri Ranchers Bees 11
13 Warri Sporting Lagos 12
13 · Warri
13 Warri Nasarawa Utd 14
13 Warri Katsina Utd 15
13 Warri 1–0 Shooting Stars 16 7′ Home
13 Warri Tornadoes 17
13 Warri Kun Khalifat 18
13 Warri Inter Lagos 19
13 Warri Enyimba 20
Warri Home Inter Lagos Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

NPFL · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Warri

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome2 matchesAway3 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match3.000.331.40
Draws0.0%33.3%20.0%
Goals scored / match1.000.330.60
Goals conceded / match0.001.330.80
Total goals / match1.001.671.40
Failed to score0.0%66.7%40.0%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%66.7%80.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1520
16–3000
31–4500
46–6000
61–7500
76–9000

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Inter Lagos

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match0.331.000.67
Draws33.3%0.0%16.7%
Goals scored / match0.330.670.50
Goals conceded / match1.671.331.50
Total goals / match2.002.002.00
Failed to score66.7%33.3%50.0%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%66.7%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelWarriDraw Inter LagosHow it works
Strength (Elo) 49.0% 23.1% 27.9% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 33.9% 41.8% 24.3% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.68–0.52 Model expected goals
12.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals
20.0% Both teams to score
0-0 Most likely score, at 30.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-030.1%
1-020.4%
0-115.8%
1-110.7%
2-06.9%
0-24.1%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureWarriInter Lagos How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1500 1462 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 8 -30 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1503 1503 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Warri 0.600.00 0.400.40
Inter Lagos 0.330.17 0.670.83

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Warri 20%40%20%20%0%
Inter Lagos 0%33%33%33%0%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Warri at home, 2 matches
1.00 Inter Lagos away, 3 matches
14d Days of rest for Warri
14d Days of rest for Inter Lagos
— Manager of Warri
— Manager of Inter Lagos
1 Matches for Warri in the last 14 days
1 Matches for Inter Lagos in the last 14 days
5 Points for Warri behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
8 Points for Inter Lagos behind the leaders, and -1 above the relegation zone
2.45 League goals per match
25.5% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Warri, the right bar represents Inter Lagos.

On the ball

20 matches
1.0
corners
3.5
26.0
fouls
25.67
1.5
yellow cards
2.33

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Warri WDWLL 1.40 0.60–0.80 1W
Inter Lagos LDWLLL 0.67 0.50–1.50 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Warri2 21 00
Inter Lagos1 23 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Warri

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Inter Lagos

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.