Nasarawa Utd

VS Scheduled Sunday 11 Oct 202616:00

Nigeria 26/27 NPFL · Matchday 8

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	26/27	Nasarawa Utd1–0Tornadoes
2026-09-23	26/27	Kwara Utd2–1Nasarawa Utd
2026-09-20	26/27	Nasarawa Utd1–1Rivers Utd
2026-09-18	26/27	Enugu2–1Nasarawa Utd
2026-09-06	26/27	Nasarawa Utd1–0Bendel Ins.
2026-08-30	26/27	Barau3–1Nasarawa Utd

Doma United

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	26/27	Katsina Utd2–1Doma United
2026-09-23	26/27	Doma United2–2Plateau Utd
2026-09-20	26/27	Kano Pillars4–1Doma United
2026-09-12	26/27	Doma United2–0Enyimba
2026-09-05	26/27	Inter Lagos0–1Doma United
2026-08-30	26/27	Doma United2–0Sporting Lagos

Nasarawa Utd Doma United

Wins

33%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Both teams scored

67%

50%

Clean sheets

33%

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Nasarawa Utd

Home · NPFL

Home			Away		1st goal
14	Nasarawa Utd		Barau	1
14	Nasarawa Utd	1–1	Rivers Utd	2	—
14	Nasarawa Utd		Plateau Utd	3
14	Nasarawa Utd		Enugu	4
14	Nasarawa Utd		Doma United	5
14	Nasarawa Utd		Kano Pillars	6
14	Nasarawa Utd	1–0	Bendel Ins.	7	55′ Home
14	Nasarawa Utd		Ikorodu City	8
14	Nasarawa Utd		Abia	9
14	Nasarawa Utd		Kwara Utd	10
14	Nasarawa Utd		Ranchers Bees	11
14	Nasarawa Utd		Sporting Lagos	12
14	Nasarawa Utd		Warri	13
14 · Nasarawa Utd
14	Nasarawa Utd		Katsina Utd	15
14	Nasarawa Utd		Shooting Stars	16
14	Nasarawa Utd	1–0	Tornadoes	17	20′ Home
14	Nasarawa Utd		Kun Khalifat	18
14	Nasarawa Utd		Inter Lagos	19
14	Nasarawa Utd		Enyimba	20

Doma United

Away · NPFL

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Barau		Doma United	5
2	Rivers Utd		Doma United	5
3	Plateau Utd		Doma United	5
4	Enugu		Doma United	5
5 · Doma United
6	Kano Pillars	4–1	Doma United	5	20′ Home
7	Bendel Ins.		Doma United	5
8	Ikorodu City		Doma United	5
9	Abia		Doma United	5
10	Kwara Utd		Doma United	5
11	Ranchers Bees		Doma United	5
12	Sporting Lagos		Doma United	5
13	Warri		Doma United	5
14	Nasarawa Utd		Doma United	5
15	Katsina Utd	2–1	Doma United	5	24′ Home
16	Shooting Stars		Doma United	5
17	Tornadoes		Doma United	5
18	Kun Khalifat		Doma United	5
19	Inter Lagos	0–1	Doma United	5	71′ Away
20	Enyimba		Doma United	5

Nasarawa Utd Home Doma United Away

Wins

67%

33%

Over 1.5

33%

67%

Over 2.5

0%

67%

Over 3.5

0%

33%

Both teams scored

33%

67%

Clean sheets

67%

33%

Scores first

N/A

33%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

NPFL · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Nasarawa Utd

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.33	0.00	1.17
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Goals conceded / match	0.33	2.33	1.33
Total goals / match	1.33	3.33	2.33
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	100.0%	0.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 2/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Doma United

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.33	1.00	1.67
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.00	1.50
Goals conceded / match	0.67	2.00	1.33
Total goals / match	2.67	3.00	2.83
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	33.3%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	2
31–45	1	1
46–60	1	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	0	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Nasarawa Utd	Draw	Doma United	How it works
Strength (Elo)	41.8%	25.0%	33.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	14.7%	21.4%	62.5%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.79–1.91 Model expected goals

49.2% Probability of over 2.5 goals

45.6% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 12.9%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-112.9%

0-212.3%

1-110.1%

1-29.7%

0-37.8%

0-06.7%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Nasarawa Utd	Doma United	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1488	1508	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	0	-5	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1502	1498	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Nasarawa Utd	0.67	0.33	0.50	0.83
Doma United	0.67	0.83	0.50	0.83

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Nasarawa Utd	0%	33%	17%	33%	17%
Doma United	0%	17%	33%	17%	33%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.33 Nasarawa Utd at home, 3 matches

1.00 Doma United away, 3 matches

14d Days of rest for Nasarawa Utd

14d Days of rest for Doma United

— Manager of Nasarawa Utd

— Manager of Doma United

1 Matches for Nasarawa Utd in the last 14 days

1 Matches for Doma United in the last 14 days

5 Points for Nasarawa Utd behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

2 Points for Doma United behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

2.45 League goals per match

25.5% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Nasarawa Utd, the right bar represents Doma United.

On the ball

20 matches

8.0

corners

6.25

17.5

fouls

8.0

1.0

yellow cards

4.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Nasarawa Utd	WLDLWL	1.17	1.00–1.33	1W
Doma United	LDLWWW	1.67	1.50–1.33	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Nasarawa Utd	1	5	0	0	0
Doma United	3	2	1	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Nasarawa Utd

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Doma United

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.