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Kwara Utd
VS Scheduled Nigeria 26/27 NPFL · Matchday 9
Abia
Recent matches

Kwara Utd

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Kun Khalifat1–0Kwara Utd
2026-09-23 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Kwara Utd2–1Nasarawa Utd
2026-09-20 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Warri1–0Kwara Utd
2026-09-13 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Kwara Utd3–0Katsina Utd
2026-09-06 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Plateau Utd1–0Kwara Utd
2026-08-30 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Kwara Utd2–2Kano Pillars

Abia

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Abia3–0Bendel Ins.
2026-09-23 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Barau2–0Abia
2026-09-20 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Sporting Lagos0–2Abia
2026-09-13 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Abia2–2Ikorodu City
2026-09-07 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Ranchers Bees4–0Abia
2026-08-30 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Abia0–0Kun Khalifat
Kwara Utd Abia

Wins

33%
33%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
50%

Both teams scored

33%
17%

Clean sheets

17%
50%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Kwara Utd

Home · NPFL
HomeAway1st goal
10 Kwara Utd Barau 1
10 Kwara Utd Rivers Utd 2
10 Kwara Utd Plateau Utd 3
10 Kwara Utd Enugu 4
10 Kwara Utd Doma United 5
10 Kwara Utd 2–2 Kano Pillars 6 11′ Away
10 Kwara Utd Bendel Ins. 7
10 Kwara Utd Ikorodu City 8
10 Kwara Utd Abia 9
10 · Kwara Utd
10 Kwara Utd Ranchers Bees 11
10 Kwara Utd Sporting Lagos 12
10 Kwara Utd Warri 13
10 Kwara Utd 2–1 Nasarawa Utd 14 13′ Home
10 Kwara Utd 3–0 Katsina Utd 15 35′ Home
10 Kwara Utd Shooting Stars 16
10 Kwara Utd Tornadoes 17
10 Kwara Utd Kun Khalifat 18
10 Kwara Utd Inter Lagos 19
10 Kwara Utd Enyimba 20

Abia

Away · NPFL
HomeAway1st goal
1 Barau 2–0 Abia 9 22′ Home
2 Rivers Utd Abia 9
3 Plateau Utd Abia 9
4 Enugu Abia 9
5 Doma United Abia 9
6 Kano Pillars Abia 9
7 Bendel Ins. Abia 9
8 Ikorodu City Abia 9
9 · Abia
10 Kwara Utd Abia 9
11 Ranchers Bees 4–0 Abia 9 41′ Home
12 Sporting Lagos 0–2 Abia 9 87′ Away
13 Warri Abia 9
14 Nasarawa Utd Abia 9
15 Katsina Utd Abia 9
16 Shooting Stars Abia 9
17 Tornadoes Abia 9
18 Kun Khalifat Abia 9
19 Inter Lagos Abia 9
20 Enyimba Abia 9
Kwara Utd Home Abia Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

NPFL · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Kwara Utd

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match2.330.001.17
Draws33.3%0.0%16.7%
Goals scored / match2.330.001.17
Goals conceded / match1.001.001.00
Total goals / match3.331.002.17
Failed to score0.0%100.0%50.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%100.0%50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 1 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1511
16–3002
31–4510
46–6020
61–7520
76–9010

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Abia

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match1.671.001.33
Draws66.7%0.0%33.3%
Goals scored / match1.670.671.17
Goals conceded / match0.672.001.33
Total goals / match2.332.672.50
Failed to score33.3%66.7%50.0%
Under 2.5 goals33.3%66.7%50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 1 0%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3001
31–4502
46–6000
61–7502
76–9021

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelKwara UtdDraw AbiaHow it works
Strength (Elo) 43.0% 24.8% 32.2% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 22.6% 25.8% 51.1% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.92–1.53 Model expected goals
43.9% Probability of over 2.5 goals
46.8% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 13.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-113.2%
1-112.1%
0-210.1%
1-29.3%
0-08.6%
1-07.9%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureKwara UtdAbia How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1494 1504 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -4 6 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1486 1508 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Kwara Utd 0.330.83 0.830.17
Abia 0.670.50 0.830.50

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Kwara Utd 0%50%0%33%17%
Abia 17%0%33%17%33%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.33 Kwara Utd at home, 3 matches
1.00 Abia away, 3 matches
21d Days of rest for Kwara Utd
21d Days of rest for Abia
— Manager of Kwara Utd
— Manager of Abia
0 Matches for Kwara Utd in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Abia in the last 14 days
5 Points for Kwara Utd behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
4 Points for Abia behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone
2.45 League goals per match
25.5% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Kwara Utd, the right bar represents Abia.

On the ball

20 matches
1.0
corners
3.0
16.0
fouls
20.5
—
yellow cards
2.5

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Kwara Utd LWLWLD 1.17 1.17–1.00 1L
Abia WLWDLD 1.33 1.17–1.33 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Kwara Utd1 23 00
Abia1 23 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Kwara Utd

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Abia

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.