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Barau
VS Scheduled Nigeria 26/27 NPFL · Matchday 10
Kwara Utd
Recent matches

Barau

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Sporting Lagos1–1Barau
2026-09-23 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Barau2–0Abia
2026-09-19 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Ikorodu City0–0Barau
2026-09-13 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Barau3–1Ranchers Bees
2026-09-06 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Kun Khalifat0–0Barau
2026-08-30 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Barau3–1Nasarawa Utd

Kwara Utd

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Kun Khalifat1–0Kwara Utd
2026-09-23 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Kwara Utd2–1Nasarawa Utd
2026-09-20 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Warri1–0Kwara Utd
2026-09-13 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Kwara Utd3–0Katsina Utd
2026-09-06 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Plateau Utd1–0Kwara Utd
2026-08-30 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Kwara Utd2–2Kano Pillars
Barau Kwara Utd

Wins

50%
33%

Over 2.5 goals

33%
50%

Both teams scored

50%
33%

Clean sheets

50%
17%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Barau

Home · NPFL
HomeAway1st goal
1 · Barau
1 Barau Rivers Utd 2
1 Barau Plateau Utd 3
1 Barau Enugu 4
1 Barau Doma United 5
1 Barau Kano Pillars 6
1 Barau Bendel Ins. 7
1 Barau Ikorodu City 8
1 Barau 2–0 Abia 9 22′ Home
1 Barau Kwara Utd 10
1 Barau 3–1 Ranchers Bees 11 29′ Home
1 Barau Sporting Lagos 12
1 Barau Warri 13
1 Barau 3–1 Nasarawa Utd 14 15′ Home
1 Barau Katsina Utd 15
1 Barau Shooting Stars 16
1 Barau Tornadoes 17
1 Barau Kun Khalifat 18
1 Barau Inter Lagos 19
1 Barau Enyimba 20

Kwara Utd

Away · NPFL
HomeAway1st goal
1 Barau Kwara Utd 10
2 Rivers Utd Kwara Utd 10
3 Plateau Utd 1–0 Kwara Utd 10 29′ Home
4 Enugu Kwara Utd 10
5 Doma United Kwara Utd 10
6 Kano Pillars Kwara Utd 10
7 Bendel Ins. Kwara Utd 10
8 Ikorodu City Kwara Utd 10
9 Abia Kwara Utd 10
10 · Kwara Utd
11 Ranchers Bees Kwara Utd 10
12 Sporting Lagos Kwara Utd 10
13 Warri 1–0 Kwara Utd 10 8′ Home
14 Nasarawa Utd Kwara Utd 10
15 Katsina Utd Kwara Utd 10
16 Shooting Stars Kwara Utd 10
17 Tornadoes Kwara Utd 10
18 Kun Khalifat 1–0 Kwara Utd 10 64′ Home
19 Inter Lagos Kwara Utd 10
20 Enyimba Kwara Utd 10
Barau Home Kwara Utd Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

NPFL · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Barau

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match3.001.002.00
Draws0.0%100.0%50.0%
Goals scored / match2.670.331.50
Goals conceded / match0.670.330.50
Total goals / match3.330.672.00
Failed to score0.0%66.7%33.3%
Under 2.5 goals33.3%100.0%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 3 67%
Scores first → wins 3 of 3 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1510
16–3021
31–4500
46–6000
61–7510
76–9041

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Kwara Utd

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match2.330.001.17
Draws33.3%0.0%16.7%
Goals scored / match2.330.001.17
Goals conceded / match1.001.001.00
Total goals / match3.331.002.17
Failed to score0.0%100.0%50.0%
Under 2.5 goals0.0%100.0%50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 3 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3001
31–4500
46–6000
61–7501
76–9000

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelBarauDraw Kwara UtdHow it works
Strength (Elo) 49.9% 22.8% 27.3% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 36.1% 34.5% 29.3% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.89–0.77 Model expected goals
23.0% Probability of over 2.5 goals
31.5% Both teams to score
0-0 Most likely score, at 19.1%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-019.1%
1-017.0%
0-114.7%
1-113.0%
2-07.5%
2-15.8%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureBarauKwara Utd How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1539 1494 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 27 -4 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1503 1486 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Barau 0.670.83 0.170.33
Kwara Utd 0.330.83 0.830.17

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Barau 33%0%33%0%33%
Kwara Utd 0%50%0%33%17%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Barau at home, 3 matches
0.00 Kwara Utd away, 3 matches
29d Days of rest for Barau
28d Days of rest for Kwara Utd
— Manager of Barau
— Manager of Kwara Utd
0 Matches for Barau in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Kwara Utd in the last 14 days
0 Points for Barau behind the leaders, and 7 above the relegation zone
5 Points for Kwara Utd behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
2.45 League goals per match
25.5% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Barau, the right bar represents Kwara Utd.

On the ball

20 matches
5.6
corners
1.0
16.75
fouls
16.0
2.5
yellow cards
—

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Barau DWDWDW 2.00 1.50–0.50 1D
Kwara Utd LWLWLD 1.17 1.17–1.00 1L

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Barau3 30 01
Kwara Utd1 23 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Barau

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Kwara Utd

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.