Doma United

VS Scheduled Saturday 31 Oct 202615:00

Nigeria 26/27 NPFL · Matchday 11

Recent matches

Doma United

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	26/27	Katsina Utd2–1Doma United
2026-09-23	26/27	Doma United2–2Plateau Utd
2026-09-20	26/27	Kano Pillars4–1Doma United
2026-09-12	26/27	Doma United2–0Enyimba
2026-09-05	26/27	Inter Lagos0–1Doma United
2026-08-30	26/27	Doma United2–0Sporting Lagos

Ikorodu City

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	26/27	Ikorodu City2–0Enugu
2026-09-23	26/27	Bendel Ins.2–1Ikorodu City
2026-09-19	26/27	Ikorodu City0–0Barau
2026-09-13	26/27	Abia2–2Ikorodu City
2026-08-30	26/27	Ikorodu City3–1Ranchers Bees

Doma United Ikorodu City

Wins

50%

40%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

60%

Both teams scored

50%

60%

Clean sheets

50%

40%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Doma United

Home · NPFL

Home			Away		1st goal
5	Doma United		Barau	1
5	Doma United		Rivers Utd	2
5	Doma United	2–2	Plateau Utd	3	35′ Home
5	Doma United		Enugu	4
5 · Doma United
5	Doma United		Kano Pillars	6
5	Doma United		Bendel Ins.	7
5	Doma United		Ikorodu City	8
5	Doma United		Abia	9
5	Doma United		Kwara Utd	10
5	Doma United		Ranchers Bees	11
5	Doma United	2–0	Sporting Lagos	12	8′ Home
5	Doma United		Warri	13
5	Doma United		Nasarawa Utd	14
5	Doma United		Katsina Utd	15
5	Doma United		Shooting Stars	16
5	Doma United		Tornadoes	17
5	Doma United		Kun Khalifat	18
5	Doma United		Inter Lagos	19
5	Doma United	2–0	Enyimba	20	32′ Home

Ikorodu City

Away · NPFL

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Barau		Ikorodu City	8
2	Rivers Utd		Ikorodu City	8
3	Plateau Utd		Ikorodu City	8
4	Enugu		Ikorodu City	8
5	Doma United		Ikorodu City	8
6	Kano Pillars		Ikorodu City	8
7	Bendel Ins.	2–1	Ikorodu City	8	49′ Home
8 · Ikorodu City
9	Abia	2–2	Ikorodu City	8	15′ Home
10	Kwara Utd		Ikorodu City	8
11	Ranchers Bees		Ikorodu City	8
12	Sporting Lagos		Ikorodu City	8
13	Warri		Ikorodu City	8
14	Nasarawa Utd		Ikorodu City	8
15	Katsina Utd		Ikorodu City	8
16	Shooting Stars		Ikorodu City	8
17	Tornadoes		Ikorodu City	8
18	Kun Khalifat		Ikorodu City	8
19	Inter Lagos		Ikorodu City	8
20	Enyimba		Ikorodu City	8

Doma United Home Ikorodu City Away

Wins

67%

0%

Over 1.5

100%

Over 2.5

33%

100%

Over 3.5

33%

50%

Both teams scored

33%

100%

Clean sheets

67%

0%

Scores first

100%

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

NPFL · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Doma United

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.33	1.00	1.67
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.00	1.50
Goals conceded / match	0.67	2.00	1.33
Total goals / match	2.67	3.00	2.83
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	33.3%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	3 of 3	100%
Scores first → wins	2 of 3	67%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	0	0
31–45	2	0
46–60	1	1
61–75	1	0
76–90	1	1

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Ikorodu City

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	2.33	0.50	1.60
Draws	33.3%	50.0%	40.0%
Goals scored / match	1.67	1.50	1.60
Goals conceded / match	0.33	2.00	1.00
Total goals / match	2.00	3.50	2.60
Failed to score	33.3%	0.0%	20.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	0.0%	40.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	1	0
31–45	1	0
46–60	0	1
61–75	1	0
76–90	0	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Doma United	Draw	Ikorodu City	How it works
Strength (Elo)	43.1%	24.8%	32.1%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	16.9%	21.7%	60.0%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.89–1.91 Model expected goals

51.6% Probability of over 2.5 goals

49.3% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 11.7%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-111.7%

0-211.1%

1-110.3%

1-29.9%

0-37.1%

1-36.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Doma United	Ikorodu City	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1508	1517	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	-5	5	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1498	1508	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Doma United	0.67	0.83	0.50	0.83
Ikorodu City	1.00	0.60	0.40	0.60

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Doma United	0%	17%	33%	17%	33%
Ikorodu City	20%	0%	20%	20%	40%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.33 Doma United at home, 3 matches

0.50 Ikorodu City away, 2 matches

34d Days of rest for Doma United

34d Days of rest for Ikorodu City

— Manager of Doma United

— Manager of Ikorodu City

0 Matches for Doma United in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Ikorodu City in the last 14 days

2 Points for Doma United behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

4 Points for Ikorodu City behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

2.45 League goals per match

25.5% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Doma United, the right bar represents Ikorodu City.

On the ball

20 matches

6.25

corners

5.67

8.0

fouls

17.67

4.0

yellow cards

2.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Doma United	LDLWWW	1.67	1.50–1.33	1L
Ikorodu City	WLDDW	1.60	1.60–1.00	1W

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Doma United	3	2	1	0	1
Ikorodu City	3	2	0	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Doma United

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Ikorodu City

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.