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Katsina Utd
VS Scheduled Nigeria 26/27 NPFL · Matchday 11
Sporting Lagos
Recent matches

Katsina Utd

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Katsina Utd2–1Doma United
2026-09-23 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Shooting Stars2–0Katsina Utd
2026-09-19 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Katsina Utd1–0Tornadoes
2026-09-13 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Kwara Utd3–0Katsina Utd
2026-08-30 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Enugu1–1Katsina Utd

Sporting Lagos

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Sporting Lagos1–1Barau
2026-09-23 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Enyimba2–3Sporting Lagos
2026-09-20 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Sporting Lagos0–2Abia
2026-09-13 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Inter Lagos0–3Sporting Lagos
2026-08-30 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Doma United2–0Sporting Lagos
Katsina Utd Sporting Lagos

Wins

40%
40%

Over 2.5 goals

40%
40%

Both teams scored

40%
40%

Clean sheets

20%
20%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Katsina Utd Home Sporting Lagos Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

NPFL · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Katsina Utd

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome2 matchesAway3 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match3.000.331.40
Draws0.0%33.3%20.0%
Goals scored / match1.500.330.80
Goals conceded / match0.502.001.40
Total goals / match2.002.332.20
Failed to score0.0%66.7%40.0%
Under 2.5 goals50.0%66.7%60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 2 50%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3020
31–4501
46–6000
61–7510
76–9000

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Sporting Lagos

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome2 matchesAway3 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match0.502.001.40
Draws50.0%0.0%20.0%
Goals scored / match0.502.001.40
Goals conceded / match1.501.331.40
Total goals / match2.003.332.80
Failed to score50.0%33.3%40.0%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%33.3%60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 2 50%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1511
16–3000
31–4501
46–6021
61–7521
76–9010

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelKatsina UtdDraw Sporting LagosHow it works
Strength (Elo) 43.3% 24.8% 32.0% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 12.4% 20.9% 65.4% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.68–1.91 Model expected goals
46.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals
41.2% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 14.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-114.4%
0-213.7%
1-19.7%
1-29.3%
0-38.7%
0-07.5%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureKatsina UtdSporting Lagos How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1492 1500 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 -10 12 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1500 1494 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Katsina Utd 0.600.20 0.600.80
Sporting Lagos 0.201.20 0.600.80

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Katsina Utd 0%20%40%40%0%
Sporting Lagos 0%0%60%20%20%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Katsina Utd at home, 2 matches
2.00 Sporting Lagos away, 3 matches
35d Days of rest for Katsina Utd
36d Days of rest for Sporting Lagos
— Manager of Katsina Utd
— Manager of Sporting Lagos
0 Matches for Katsina Utd in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Sporting Lagos in the last 14 days
5 Points for Katsina Utd behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
5 Points for Sporting Lagos behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
2.45 League goals per match
25.5% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Katsina Utd, the right bar represents Sporting Lagos.

On the ball

20 matches
4.0
corners
5.8
—
fouls
12.0
2.0
yellow cards
2.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Katsina Utd WLWLD 1.40 0.80–1.40 1W
Sporting Lagos DWLWL 1.40 1.40–1.40 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Katsina Utd2 12 01
Sporting Lagos1 13 10
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Katsina Utd

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Sporting Lagos

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.