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Sporting Lagos
VS Scheduled Nigeria 26/27 NPFL · Matchday 12
Rivers Utd
Recent matches

Sporting Lagos

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Sporting Lagos1–1Barau
2026-09-23 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Enyimba2–3Sporting Lagos
2026-09-20 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Sporting Lagos0–2Abia
2026-09-13 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Inter Lagos0–3Sporting Lagos
2026-08-30 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Doma United2–0Sporting Lagos

Rivers Utd

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-28 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Ranchers Bees0–0Rivers Utd
2026-09-24 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Rivers Utd5–0Kun Khalifat
2026-09-20 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Nasarawa Utd1–1Rivers Utd
2026-09-16 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Rivers Utd2–0Warri
2026-08-30 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Rivers Utd2–0Plateau Utd
Sporting Lagos Rivers Utd

Wins

40%
60%

Over 2.5 goals

40%
20%

Both teams scored

40%
20%

Clean sheets

20%
80%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Sporting Lagos Home Rivers Utd Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

NPFL · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Sporting Lagos

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome2 matchesAway3 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match0.502.001.40
Draws50.0%0.0%20.0%
Goals scored / match0.502.001.40
Goals conceded / match1.501.331.40
Total goals / match2.003.332.80
Failed to score50.0%33.3%40.0%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%33.3%60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 0 of 0 —
Scores first → wins 0 of 0 —
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1500
16–3000
31–4501
46–6000
61–7510
76–9002

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Rivers Utd

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway2 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match3.001.002.20
Draws0.0%100.0%40.0%
Goals scored / match3.000.502.00
Goals conceded / match0.000.500.20
Total goals / match3.001.002.20
Failed to score0.0%50.0%20.0%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%100.0%80.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 1/2 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelSporting LagosDraw Rivers UtdHow it works
Strength (Elo) 39.6% 25.3% 35.1% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 12.4% 20.9% 65.4% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.68–1.91 Model expected goals
46.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals
41.2% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 14.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-114.4%
0-213.7%
1-19.7%
1-29.3%
0-38.7%
0-07.5%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureSporting LagosRivers Utd How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1500 1539 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 12 26 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1494 1489 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Sporting Lagos 0.201.20 0.600.80
Rivers Utd 0.801.20 0.000.20

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Sporting Lagos 0%0%60%20%20%
Rivers Utd 20%0%60%0%20%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

0.50 Sporting Lagos at home, 2 matches
1.00 Rivers Utd away, 2 matches
42d Days of rest for Sporting Lagos
40d Days of rest for Rivers Utd
— Manager of Sporting Lagos
— Manager of Rivers Utd
0 Matches for Sporting Lagos in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Rivers Utd in the last 14 days
5 Points for Sporting Lagos behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
1 Points for Rivers Utd behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone
2.45 League goals per match
25.5% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Sporting Lagos, the right bar represents Rivers Utd.

On the ball

20 matches
5.8
corners
7.0
12.0
fouls
16.67
2.0
yellow cards
1.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Sporting Lagos DWLWL 1.40 1.40–1.40 1D
Rivers Utd DWDWW 2.20 2.00–0.20 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Sporting Lagos1 13 10
Rivers Utd3 20 00
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Sporting Lagos

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Rivers Utd

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.