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Nasarawa Utd
VS Scheduled Nigeria 26/27 NPFL · Matchday 12
Plateau Utd
Recent matches

Nasarawa Utd

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Nasarawa Utd1–0Tornadoes
2026-09-23 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Kwara Utd2–1Nasarawa Utd
2026-09-20 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Nasarawa Utd1–1Rivers Utd
2026-09-18 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Enugu2–1Nasarawa Utd
2026-09-06 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Nasarawa Utd1–0Bendel Ins.
2026-08-30 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Barau3–1Nasarawa Utd

Plateau Utd

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Plateau Utd2–0Inter Lagos
2026-09-23 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Doma United2–2Plateau Utd
2026-09-20 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Plateau Utd3–1Shooting Stars
2026-09-14 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Tornadoes1–1Plateau Utd
2026-09-06 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Plateau Utd1–0Kwara Utd
2026-08-30 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Rivers Utd2–0Plateau Utd
Nasarawa Utd Plateau Utd

Wins

33%
50%

Over 2.5 goals

50%
33%

Both teams scored

67%
50%

Clean sheets

33%
33%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Nasarawa Utd Home Plateau Utd Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

NPFL · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Nasarawa Utd

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match2.330.001.17
Draws33.3%0.0%16.7%
Goals scored / match1.001.001.00
Goals conceded / match0.332.331.33
Total goals / match1.333.332.33
Failed to score0.0%0.0%0.0%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%0.0%50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time — —
Scores first → wins — —
Concedes first → wins — —

Scoring order known: 2/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–15——
16–30——
31–45——
46–60——
61–75——
76–90——

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Plateau Utd

6 matches
Goals & resultsHome3 matchesAway3 matchesOverall6 matches
Points / match3.000.671.83
Draws0.0%66.7%33.3%
Goals scored / match2.001.001.50
Goals conceded / match0.331.671.00
Total goals / match2.332.672.50
Failed to score0.0%33.3%16.7%
Under 2.5 goals66.7%66.7%66.7%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 0 of 1 0%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 2 0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1501
16–3000
31–4512
46–6011
61–7500
76–9011

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelNasarawa UtdDraw Plateau UtdHow it works
Strength (Elo) 40.0% 25.3% 34.7% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 12.4% 20.9% 65.4% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.68–1.91 Model expected goals
46.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals
41.2% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 14.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-114.4%
0-213.7%
1-19.7%
1-29.3%
0-38.7%
0-07.5%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureNasarawa UtdPlateau Utd How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1488 1524 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 0 36 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1502 1500 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Nasarawa Utd 0.670.33 0.500.83
Plateau Utd 0.331.17 0.670.33

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Nasarawa Utd 0%33%17%33%17%
Plateau Utd 0%17%50%0%33%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.33 Nasarawa Utd at home, 3 matches
0.67 Plateau Utd away, 3 matches
42d Days of rest for Nasarawa Utd
42d Days of rest for Plateau Utd
— Manager of Nasarawa Utd
— Manager of Plateau Utd
0 Matches for Nasarawa Utd in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Plateau Utd in the last 14 days
5 Points for Nasarawa Utd behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
1 Points for Plateau Utd behind the leaders, and 6 above the relegation zone
2.45 League goals per match
25.5% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Nasarawa Utd, the right bar represents Plateau Utd.

On the ball

20 matches
8.0
corners
7.67
17.5
fouls
9.0
1.0
yellow cards
1.33

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Nasarawa Utd WLDLWL 1.17 1.00–1.33 1W
Plateau Utd WDWDWL 1.83 1.50–1.00 1W

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Nasarawa Utd1 50 00
Plateau Utd2 13 11
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Nasarawa Utd

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Plateau Utd

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.