Abia

VS Scheduled Sunday 8 Nov 202615:00

Nigeria 26/27 NPFL · Matchday 12

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	26/27	Abia3–0Bendel Ins.
2026-09-23	26/27	Barau2–0Abia
2026-09-20	26/27	Sporting Lagos0–2Abia
2026-09-13	26/27	Abia2–2Ikorodu City
2026-09-07	26/27	Ranchers Bees4–0Abia
2026-08-30	26/27	Abia0–0Kun Khalifat

Doma United

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	26/27	Katsina Utd2–1Doma United
2026-09-23	26/27	Doma United2–2Plateau Utd
2026-09-20	26/27	Kano Pillars4–1Doma United
2026-09-12	26/27	Doma United2–0Enyimba
2026-09-05	26/27	Inter Lagos0–1Doma United
2026-08-30	26/27	Doma United2–0Sporting Lagos

Abia Doma United

Wins

33%

50%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

Both teams scored

17%

50%

Clean sheets

50%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Abia

Home · NPFL

Home			Away		1st goal
9	Abia		Barau	1
9	Abia		Rivers Utd	2
9	Abia		Plateau Utd	3
9	Abia		Enugu	4
9	Abia		Doma United	5
9	Abia		Kano Pillars	6
9	Abia	3–0	Bendel Ins.	7	16′ Home
9	Abia	2–2	Ikorodu City	8	15′ Home
9 · Abia
9	Abia		Kwara Utd	10
9	Abia		Ranchers Bees	11
9	Abia		Sporting Lagos	12
9	Abia		Warri	13
9	Abia		Nasarawa Utd	14
9	Abia		Katsina Utd	15
9	Abia		Shooting Stars	16
9	Abia		Tornadoes	17
9	Abia	0–0	Kun Khalifat	18	–
9	Abia		Inter Lagos	19
9	Abia		Enyimba	20

Doma United

Away · NPFL

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Barau		Doma United	5
2	Rivers Utd		Doma United	5
3	Plateau Utd		Doma United	5
4	Enugu		Doma United	5
5 · Doma United
6	Kano Pillars	4–1	Doma United	5	20′ Home
7	Bendel Ins.		Doma United	5
8	Ikorodu City		Doma United	5
9	Abia		Doma United	5
10	Kwara Utd		Doma United	5
11	Ranchers Bees		Doma United	5
12	Sporting Lagos		Doma United	5
13	Warri		Doma United	5
14	Nasarawa Utd		Doma United	5
15	Katsina Utd	2–1	Doma United	5	24′ Home
16	Shooting Stars		Doma United	5
17	Tornadoes		Doma United	5
18	Kun Khalifat		Doma United	5
19	Inter Lagos	0–1	Doma United	5	71′ Away
20	Enyimba		Doma United	5

Abia Home Doma United Away

Wins

33%

Over 1.5

67%

Over 2.5

67%

Over 3.5

33%

Both teams scored

33%

67%

Clean sheets

67%

33%

Scores first

67%

33%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

NPFL · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Abia

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	1.67	1.00	1.33
Draws	66.7%	0.0%	33.3%
Goals scored / match	1.67	0.67	1.17
Goals conceded / match	0.67	2.00	1.33
Total goals / match	2.33	2.67	2.50
Failed to score	33.3%	66.7%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	33.3%	66.7%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	1 of 2	50%
Scores first → wins	1 of 2	50%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 0	—

Scoring order known: 3/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	1	0
16–30	2	1
31–45	1	1
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	0
76–90	1	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Doma United

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.33	1.00	1.67
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	2.00	1.00	1.50
Goals conceded / match	0.67	2.00	1.33
Total goals / match	2.67	3.00	2.83
Failed to score	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	33.3%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 1	0%
Scores first → wins	1 of 1	100%
Concedes first → wins	0 of 2	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	0
16–30	0	2
31–45	1	1
46–60	1	0
61–75	1	1
76–90	0	2

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Abia	Draw	Doma United	How it works
Strength (Elo)	43.8%	24.7%	31.6%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	17.6%	21.8%	59.2%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.92–1.91 Model expected goals

52.4% Probability of over 2.5 goals

50.4% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 11.3%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-111.3%

0-210.8%

1-110.4%

1-29.9%

0-36.8%

1-36.3%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Abia	Doma United	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1504	1508	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	6	-5	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1508	1498	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Abia	0.67	0.50	0.83	0.50
Doma United	0.67	0.83	0.50	0.83

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Abia	17%	0%	33%	17%	33%
Doma United	0%	17%	33%	17%	33%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

1.67 Abia at home, 3 matches

1.00 Doma United away, 3 matches

42d Days of rest for Abia

42d Days of rest for Doma United

— Manager of Abia

— Manager of Doma United

0 Matches for Abia in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Doma United in the last 14 days

4 Points for Abia behind the leaders, and 3 above the relegation zone

2 Points for Doma United behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

2.45 League goals per match

25.5% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Abia, the right bar represents Doma United.

On the ball

20 matches

3.0

corners

6.25

20.5

fouls

8.0

2.5

yellow cards

4.0

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Abia	WLWDLD	1.33	1.17–1.33	1W
Doma United	LDLWWW	1.67	1.50–1.33	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Abia	1	2	3	0	0
Doma United	3	2	1	0	1

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Abia

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Doma United

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.