Enugu

Enugu

VS Scheduled Sunday 8 Nov 202615:00

Nigeria 26/27 NPFL · Matchday 12

Kwara Utd

Recent matches

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	26/27	Ikorodu City2–0Enugu
2026-09-23	26/27	Enugu1–0Ranchers Bees
2026-09-20	26/27	Kun Khalifat2–4Enugu
2026-09-18	26/27	Enugu2–1Nasarawa Utd
2026-08-30	26/27	Enugu1–1Katsina Utd

Kwara Utd

Date	Season	Match
2026-09-27	26/27	Kun Khalifat1–0Kwara Utd
2026-09-23	26/27	Kwara Utd2–1Nasarawa Utd
2026-09-20	26/27	Warri1–0Kwara Utd
2026-09-13	26/27	Kwara Utd3–0Katsina Utd
2026-09-06	26/27	Plateau Utd1–0Kwara Utd
2026-08-30	26/27	Kwara Utd2–2Kano Pillars

Enugu Kwara Utd

Wins

60%

33%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

50%

Both teams scored

60%

33%

Clean sheets

20%

17%

Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Enugu

Home · NPFL

Home			Away		1st goal
4	Enugu		Barau	1
4	Enugu		Rivers Utd	2
4	Enugu		Plateau Utd	3
4 · Enugu
4	Enugu		Doma United	5
4	Enugu		Kano Pillars	6
4	Enugu		Bendel Ins.	7
4	Enugu		Ikorodu City	8
4	Enugu		Abia	9
4	Enugu		Kwara Utd	10
4	Enugu	1–0	Ranchers Bees	11	79′ Home
4	Enugu		Sporting Lagos	12
4	Enugu		Warri	13
4	Enugu	2–1	Nasarawa Utd	14	—
4	Enugu	1–1	Katsina Utd	15	—
4	Enugu		Shooting Stars	16
4	Enugu		Tornadoes	17
4	Enugu		Kun Khalifat	18
4	Enugu		Inter Lagos	19
4	Enugu		Enyimba	20

Kwara Utd

Away · NPFL

Home			Away		1st goal
1	Barau		Kwara Utd	10
2	Rivers Utd		Kwara Utd	10
3	Plateau Utd	1–0	Kwara Utd	10	29′ Home
4	Enugu		Kwara Utd	10
5	Doma United		Kwara Utd	10
6	Kano Pillars		Kwara Utd	10
7	Bendel Ins.		Kwara Utd	10
8	Ikorodu City		Kwara Utd	10
9	Abia		Kwara Utd	10
10 · Kwara Utd
11	Ranchers Bees		Kwara Utd	10
12	Sporting Lagos		Kwara Utd	10
13	Warri	1–0	Kwara Utd	10	8′ Home
14	Nasarawa Utd		Kwara Utd	10
15	Katsina Utd		Kwara Utd	10
16	Shooting Stars		Kwara Utd	10
17	Tornadoes		Kwara Utd	10
18	Kun Khalifat	1–0	Kwara Utd	10	64′ Home
19	Inter Lagos		Kwara Utd	10
20	Enyimba		Kwara Utd	10

Enugu Home Kwara Utd Away

Wins

67%

0%

Over 1.5

67%

0%

Over 2.5

33%

0%

Over 3.5

0%

Both teams scored

67%

0%

Clean sheets

33%

0%

Scores first

N/A

0%

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

NPFL · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Enugu

5 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away2 matches	Overall5 matches
Points / match	2.33	1.50	2.00
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	20.0%
Goals scored / match	1.33	2.00	1.60
Goals conceded / match	0.67	2.00	1.20
Total goals / match	2.00	4.00	2.80
Failed to score	0.0%	50.0%	20.0%
Under 2.5 goals	66.7%	50.0%	60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	—	—
Scores first → wins	—	—
Concedes first → wins	—	—

Scoring order known: 2/3 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	—	—
16–30	—	—
31–45	—	—
46–60	—	—
61–75	—	—
76–90	—	—

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Kwara Utd

6 matches

Goals & results	Home3 matches	Away3 matches	Overall6 matches
Points / match	2.33	0.00	1.17
Draws	33.3%	0.0%	16.7%
Goals scored / match	2.33	0.00	1.17
Goals conceded / match	1.00	1.00	1.00
Total goals / match	3.33	1.00	2.17
Failed to score	0.0%	100.0%	50.0%
Under 2.5 goals	0.0%	100.0%	50.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time	0 of 0	—
Scores first → wins	0 of 0	—
Concedes first → wins	0 of 3	0%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches

Minutes	Scored	Conceded
0–15	0	1
16–30	0	1
31–45	0	0
46–60	0	0
61–75	0	1
76–90	0	0

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

Model	Enugu	Draw	Kwara Utd	How it works
Strength (Elo)	47.1%	23.8%	29.2%	Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson)	19.0%	22.6%	57.2%	Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average

0.95–1.84 Model expected goals

51.5% Probability of over 2.5 goals

50.7% Both teams to score

0-1 Most likely score, at 11.4%

Most likely scores

Poisson model

0-111.4%

1-110.7%

0-210.4%

1-29.9%

0-36.4%

0-06.2%

Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

Measure	Enugu	Kwara Utd	How to read it
Strength (Elo)	1517	1494	The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10	19	-4	Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength	1498	1486	Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.

Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches

Team	1H scored	2H scored	1H conceded	2H conceded
Enugu	0.60	1.00	0.80	0.40
Kwara Utd	0.33	0.83	0.83	0.17

Total goals

40 matches per team

Team	0	1	2	3	4+
Enugu	0%	20%	40%	20%	20%
Kwara Utd	0%	50%	0%	33%	17%

Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

2.33 Enugu at home, 3 matches

0.00 Kwara Utd away, 3 matches

42d Days of rest for Enugu

42d Days of rest for Kwara Utd

— Manager of Enugu

— Manager of Kwara Utd

0 Matches for Enugu in the last 14 days

0 Matches for Kwara Utd in the last 14 days

2 Points for Enugu behind the leaders, and 5 above the relegation zone

5 Points for Kwara Utd behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone

2.45 League goals per match

25.5% League draw rate

Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Enugu, the right bar represents Kwara Utd.

On the ball

20 matches

5.33

corners

1.0

13.0

fouls

16.0

2.0

yellow cards

—

Recent form

10 matches

Team	Last 10	PPG	goals	streak
Enugu	LWWWD	2.00	1.60–1.20	1L
Kwara Utd	LWLWLD	1.17	1.17–1.00	1L

At half-time

20 matches

Team	ahead	level	behind	comeback wins	lead lost
Enugu	1	2	2	0	0
Kwara Utd	1	2	3	0	0

Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Enugu

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Kwara Utd

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.