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Warri
VS Scheduled Nigeria 26/27 NPFL · Matchday 13
Sporting Lagos
Recent matches

Warri

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-27 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Warri1–0Shooting Stars
2026-09-23 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Tornadoes0–0Warri
2026-09-20 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Warri1–0Kwara Utd
2026-09-16 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Rivers Utd2–0Warri
2026-08-30 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Bendel Ins.2–1Warri

Sporting Lagos

DateSeasonMatch
2026-09-26 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Sporting Lagos1–1Barau
2026-09-23 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Enyimba2–3Sporting Lagos
2026-09-20 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Sporting Lagos0–2Abia
2026-09-13 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Inter Lagos0–3Sporting Lagos
2026-08-30 Nigeria, NPFL 26/27 Doma United2–0Sporting Lagos
Warri Sporting Lagos

Wins

40%
40%

Over 2.5 goals

20%
40%

Both teams scored

20%
40%

Clean sheets

60%
20%
Home & away results

This season · 26/27

Warri

Home · NPFL
HomeAway1st goal
13 Warri Barau 1
13 Warri Rivers Utd 2
13 Warri Plateau Utd 3
13 Warri Enugu 4
13 Warri Doma United 5
13 Warri Kano Pillars 6
13 Warri Bendel Ins. 7
13 Warri Ikorodu City 8
13 Warri Abia 9
13 Warri 1–0 Kwara Utd 10 8′ Home
13 Warri Ranchers Bees 11
13 Warri Sporting Lagos 12
13 · Warri
13 Warri Nasarawa Utd 14
13 Warri Katsina Utd 15
13 Warri 1–0 Shooting Stars 16 7′ Home
13 Warri Tornadoes 17
13 Warri Kun Khalifat 18
13 Warri Inter Lagos 19
13 Warri Enyimba 20

Sporting Lagos

Away · NPFL
HomeAway1st goal
1 Barau Sporting Lagos 12
2 Rivers Utd Sporting Lagos 12
3 Plateau Utd Sporting Lagos 12
4 Enugu Sporting Lagos 12
5 Doma United 2–0 Sporting Lagos 12 8′ Home
6 Kano Pillars Sporting Lagos 12
7 Bendel Ins. Sporting Lagos 12
8 Ikorodu City Sporting Lagos 12
9 Abia Sporting Lagos 12
10 Kwara Utd Sporting Lagos 12
11 Ranchers Bees Sporting Lagos 12
12 · Sporting Lagos
13 Warri Sporting Lagos 12
14 Nasarawa Utd Sporting Lagos 12
15 Katsina Utd Sporting Lagos 12
16 Shooting Stars Sporting Lagos 12
17 Tornadoes Sporting Lagos 12
18 Kun Khalifat Sporting Lagos 12
19 Inter Lagos 0–3 Sporting Lagos 12 6′ Away
20 Enyimba 2–3 Sporting Lagos 12 44′ Home
Warri Home Sporting Lagos Away

Wins

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Over 3.5

Both teams scored

Clean sheets

Scores first

Season analysis

Home, away & overall

NPFL · 26/27 · Completed league matches only.

Warri

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome2 matchesAway3 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match3.000.331.40
Draws0.0%33.3%20.0%
Goals scored / match1.000.330.60
Goals conceded / match0.001.330.80
Total goals / match1.001.671.40
Failed to score0.0%66.7%40.0%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%66.7%80.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 2 of 2 100%
Scores first → wins 2 of 2 100%
Concedes first → wins 0 of 0 —

Scoring order known: 2/2 home. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Home matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1520
16–3000
31–4500
46–6000
61–7500
76–9000

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Sporting Lagos

5 matches
Goals & resultsHome2 matchesAway3 matchesOverall5 matches
Points / match0.502.001.40
Draws50.0%0.0%20.0%
Goals scored / match0.502.001.40
Goals conceded / match1.501.331.40
Total goals / match2.003.332.80
Failed to score50.0%33.3%40.0%
Under 2.5 goals100.0%33.3%60.0%

Scoring first & comebacks

Match situation
Scores first → leads at half-time 1 of 1 100%
Scores first → wins 1 of 1 100%
Concedes first → wins 1 of 2 50%

Scoring order known: 3/3 away. Percentages are shown only when the required data is complete.

Goal timing

Away matches
MinutesScoredConceded
0–1511
16–3000
31–4501
46–6021
61–7521
76–9010

Goal-minute data is not available. “—” means unavailable, not zero. The 31–45 and 76–90 intervals include stoppage time.

Two perspectives

What each model says about this match

The strength model considers results adjusted for opponent quality; the goals model uses recent form. Differences between them deserve a closer look.

ModelWarriDraw Sporting LagosHow it works
Strength (Elo) 44.2% 24.6% 31.3% Historical results adjusted for opponent quality and the league's home advantage
Goals (Poisson) 17.2% 26.6% 55.8% Each team's recent attack and defence relative to the league average
0.68–1.47 Model expected goals
35.8% Probability of over 2.5 goals
37.6% Both teams to score
0-1 Most likely score, at 17.2%

Most likely scores

Poisson model
0-117.2%
0-212.6%
0-011.7%
1-111.6%
1-28.5%
1-07.9%
Strength and dominance

Team strength and finishing efficiency

Recent results need context. These measures account for opponent quality and the balance of play.

MeasureWarriSporting Lagos How to read it
Strength (Elo) 1500 1500 The league average is 1500. A higher rating indicates stronger results after adjusting for opponent quality.
Change over the last 10 8 12 Rating gained or lost over the last ten matches
Opposition strength 1503 1494 Average opponent rating over the last 20 matches. Above 1500 indicates a tougher schedule.
Goals

When teams score and how matches unfold

Averages hide the distribution. Teams with similar goals per match can have very different patterns of scorelines.

Goals by half

20 matches
Team1H scored2H scored 1H conceded2H conceded
Warri 0.600.00 0.400.40
Sporting Lagos 0.201.20 0.600.80

Total goals

40 matches per team
Team012 34+
Warri 20%40%20%20%0%
Sporting Lagos 0%0%60%20%20%
Context

Coming into the match

Home and away performance, rest since the last match, and each team's manager.

3.00 Warri at home, 2 matches
2.00 Sporting Lagos away, 3 matches
49d Days of rest for Warri
50d Days of rest for Sporting Lagos
— Manager of Warri
— Manager of Sporting Lagos
0 Matches for Warri in the last 14 days
0 Matches for Sporting Lagos in the last 14 days
5 Points for Warri behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
5 Points for Sporting Lagos behind the leaders, and 2 above the relegation zone
2.45 League goals per match
25.5% League draw rate
Statistics

Side-by-side comparison

Averages over each team's last 20 matches. The left bar represents Warri, the right bar represents Sporting Lagos.

On the ball

20 matches
1.0
corners
5.8
26.0
fouls
12.0
1.5
yellow cards
2.0

Recent form

10 matches
TeamLast 10PPG goalsstreak
Warri WDWLL 1.40 0.60–0.80 1W
Sporting Lagos DWLWL 1.40 1.40–1.40 1D

At half-time

20 matches
Teamaheadlevel behindcomeback winslead lost
Warri2 21 00
Sporting Lagos1 13 10
Squads

Injuries and suspensions

0 players reported unavailable or doubtful across both teams, with the reason.

Warri

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Sporting Lagos

0 unavailable

No absences reported.

Newsroom

News about both teams

No recent news linked to these teams.